Publication:
An Empirical Economic Assessment of Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture in Zambia

dc.contributor.author Jain, Suman
dc.date.accessioned 2012-06-07T21:47:32Z
dc.date.available 2012-06-07T21:47:32Z
dc.date.issued 2007-07
dc.description.abstract This report assesses the economic impacts of climate change on agriculture in Zambia, using the Ricardian method. A multiple linear regression model with net revenue per hectare as response variable has been fitted with climate, hydrological, soil, and socioeconomic variables as explanatory variables. There is one main cropping season in Zambia, lasting from November to April. Crop production in this period depends solely on rains. Considering crop progression in three stages-germination, growing, and maturing, which require different amounts of water and temperature-the climate variables included in the model are long-term averages of the temperature and wetness index for the periods November to December, January to February, and March to April. Assuming a nonlinear relationship of farm revenue with the climate variables, quadratic terms for climate variables were also included in the model. The results indicate that most socioeconomic variables are not significant, whereas some climate variables and the corresponding quadratic variables are significant in the model. Further findings are that an increase in the November-December mean temperature and a decrease in the January-February mean rainfall have negative impacts on net farm revenue, whereas an increase in the January-February mean temperature and mean annual runoff has a positive impact. en
dc.identifier http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/07/8003696/empirical-economic-assessment-impacts-climate-change-agriculture-zambia
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7478
dc.language English
dc.publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relation.ispartofseries Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4291
dc.rights CC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holder World Bank
dc.rights.uri http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.subject ADVERSE IMPACTS
dc.subject AGRICULTURAL INPUTS
dc.subject AGRICULTURAL LAND
dc.subject AGRICULTURAL PRACTICES
dc.subject AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
dc.subject AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY
dc.subject ANTHROPOGENIC EMISSIONS
dc.subject ATMOSPHERE
dc.subject CARBON
dc.subject CARBON DIOXIDE
dc.subject CASSAVA
dc.subject CLIMATE
dc.subject CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subject CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH
dc.subject CLIMATE CHANGES
dc.subject CLIMATE FORECASTS
dc.subject CLIMATE VARIABILITY
dc.subject CLIMATE VARIABLES
dc.subject CLIMATE ZONES
dc.subject CLIMATES
dc.subject CLIMATIC RESEARCH
dc.subject CLIMATIC RESEARCH UNIT
dc.subject CLIMATOLOGY
dc.subject CLOUDS
dc.subject COMMERCIAL FARMERS
dc.subject COTTON
dc.subject CROP
dc.subject CROP FORECASTING
dc.subject CROP PRODUCTION
dc.subject CROP VARIETIES
dc.subject CROPPING
dc.subject CROPS
dc.subject CULTIVATION
dc.subject DESERTIFICATION
dc.subject DROUGHT
dc.subject DRY SEASON
dc.subject DRY SEASONS
dc.subject ECOLOGICAL ZONE
dc.subject ECOLOGICAL ZONES
dc.subject ECONOMIC IMPACTS
dc.subject FAO
dc.subject FARM
dc.subject FARM HOUSEHOLDS
dc.subject FARM PRODUCE
dc.subject FARMER
dc.subject FARMERS
dc.subject FARMING
dc.subject FARMING SYSTEMS
dc.subject FARMS
dc.subject FERTILIZATION
dc.subject FERTILIZER
dc.subject FISHERIES
dc.subject FLOODS
dc.subject FOOD SECURITY
dc.subject FRAMEWORK CONVENTION ON CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subject GDP
dc.subject GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT
dc.subject GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT FACILITY
dc.subject GLOBAL WARMING
dc.subject GRAIN
dc.subject GRAZING
dc.subject GREENHOUSE GAS
dc.subject GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS
dc.subject GREENHOUSE GASES
dc.subject GROUNDNUTS
dc.subject GROWING SEASON
dc.subject HARVESTING
dc.subject HECTARES OF LAND
dc.subject HYDROLOGICAL DATA
dc.subject HYDROLOGY
dc.subject HYDROMETEOROLOGY
dc.subject IRRIGATION
dc.subject LABOR FORCE
dc.subject LAND USE
dc.subject LAND VALUE
dc.subject LANDS
dc.subject MAIZE
dc.subject MAIZE PRODUCTION
dc.subject MARGINAL REVENUE
dc.subject METEOROLOGICAL DATA
dc.subject METEOROLOGICAL STATIONS
dc.subject MILLET
dc.subject NATURAL RESOURCES
dc.subject PADDY
dc.subject PLANTING
dc.subject POLLUTANTS
dc.subject PRECIPITATION
dc.subject PRODUCE
dc.subject RAINFALL
dc.subject RAINFED AGRICULTURE
dc.subject RANGELAND
dc.subject RICE
dc.subject RUNOFF
dc.subject SATELLITES
dc.subject SEA
dc.subject SEAS
dc.subject SEED
dc.subject SEED BANKS
dc.subject SEED COTTON
dc.subject SEEDS
dc.subject SMALL-SCALE FARMERS
dc.subject SOCIOECONOMIC VARIABLES
dc.subject SOIL
dc.subject SOIL TYPE
dc.subject SOIL TYPES
dc.subject SOILS
dc.subject SORGHUM
dc.subject SOYA BEANS
dc.subject SUNFLOWER
dc.subject SURFACE TEMPERATURE
dc.subject SWEET POTATOES
dc.subject TEMPERATURE
dc.subject TEMPERATURE CHANGE
dc.subject TOBACCO
dc.subject TOTAL REVENUE
dc.subject TROPICAL CLIMATE
dc.subject VEGETATION
dc.subject WATER HARVESTING
dc.subject WATER RESOURCES
dc.subject WATER SHORTAGES
dc.subject WEATHER
dc.subject WET SEASON
dc.subject WHEAT
dc.title An Empirical Economic Assessment of Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture in Zambia en
dspace.entity.type Publication
okr.doctype Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
okr.doctype Publications & Research
okr.docurl http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/07/8003696/empirical-economic-assessment-impacts-climate-change-agriculture-zambia
okr.globalpractice Macroeconomics and Fiscal Management
okr.globalpractice Social, Urban, Rural and Resilience
okr.globalpractice Agriculture
okr.globalpractice Environment and Natural Resources
okr.identifier.doi 10.1596/1813-9450-4291
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum 000158349_20070731100059
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum 8003696
okr.identifier.report WPS4291
okr.language.supported en
okr.pdfurl http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/WDSContentServer/WDSP/IB/2007/07/31/000158349_20070731100059/Rendered/PDF/wps4291.pdf en
okr.region.administrative Africa
okr.region.country Zambia
okr.topic Economic Theory and Research
okr.topic Rural Development :: Common Property Resource Development
okr.topic Environment :: Global Environment Facility
okr.topic Crops and Crop Management Systems
okr.topic Climate Change
okr.topic Macroeconomics and Economic Growth
okr.topic Agriculture
okr.unit Development Research Group (DECRG)
okr.volume 1 of 1
relation.isSeriesOfPublication 26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
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