Publication:
Revisiting the Effect of Food Aid on Conflict: A Methodological Caution

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dc.contributor.authorChristian, Paul
dc.contributor.authorBarrett, Christopher B.
dc.date.accessioned2017-08-24T22:12:10Z
dc.date.available2017-08-24T22:12:10Z
dc.date.issued2017-08
dc.description.abstractA popular identification strategy in non-experimental panel data uses instrumental variables constructed by interacting exogenous but potentially spurious time series or spatial variables with endogenous exposure variables to generate identifying variation through assumptions like those of differences-in-differences estimators. Revisiting a celebrated study linking food aid and conflict shows that this strategy is susceptible to bias arising from spurious trends. Re-randomization and Monte Carlo simulations show that the strategy identifies a spurious relationship even when the true effect could be non-causal or causal in the opposite direction, invalidating the claim that aid causes conflict and providing a caution for similar strategies.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/723981503518830111/Revisiting-the-effect-of-food-aid-on-conflict-a-methodological-caution
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-8171
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/27978
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relation.ispartofseriesPolicy Research Working Paper;No. 8171
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo
dc.subjectAID DELIVERY
dc.subjectFOOD AID
dc.subjectHUMANITARIAN ASSISTANCE
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL POLICIES
dc.subjectCONFLICT
dc.subjectVIOLENCE
dc.titleRevisiting the Effect of Food Aid on Conflicten
dc.title.subtitleA Methodological Cautionen
dc.typeWorking Paperen
dc.typeDocument de travailfr
dc.typeDocumento de trabajoes
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.crossref.titleRevisiting the Effect of Food Aid on Conflict: A Methodological Caution
okr.date.disclosure2017-08-23
okr.doctypePublications & Research
okr.doctypePublications & Research::Policy Research Working Paper
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/723981503518830111/Revisiting-the-effect-of-food-aid-on-conflict-a-methodological-caution
okr.guid723981503518830111
okr.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-8171
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum090224b084f2c6fa_2_0
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum27928100
okr.identifier.reportWPS8171
okr.importedtrue
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/723981503518830111/pdf/WPS8171.pdfen
okr.statistics.combined3985
okr.statistics.dr723981503518830111
okr.statistics.drstats2919
okr.topicConflict and Development::Conflict and Fragile States
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth::Development Economics & Aid Effectiveness
okr.unitImpact Evaluation Team, Development Research Group
relation.isSeriesOfPublication26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
relation.isSeriesOfPublication.latestForDiscovery26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
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