Publication:
Assessing the Global Economic and Poverty Effects of Antimicrobial Resistance

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dc.contributor.authorAhmed, Syud Amer
dc.contributor.authorBaris, Enis
dc.contributor.authorGo, Delfin S.
dc.contributor.authorLofgren, Hans
dc.contributor.authorOsorio-Rodarte, Israel
dc.contributor.authorThierfelder, Karen
dc.date.accessioned2017-07-19T16:18:12Z
dc.date.available2017-07-19T16:18:12Z
dc.date.issued2017-06
dc.description.abstractThis paper assesses the potential impact of antimicrobial resistance on global economic growth and poverty. The analysis uses a global computable general equilibrium model and a microsimulation framework that together capture impact channels related to health, mortality, labor productivity, health care financing, and production in the livestock and other sectors. The effects spread across countries via trade flows that may be affected by new trade restrictions. Relative to a world without antimicrobial resistance, the losses during 2015–50 may sum to $85 trillion in gross domestic product and $23 trillion in global trade (in present value). By 2050, the cost in global gross domestic product could range from 1.1 percent (low case) to 3.8 percent (high case). Antimicrobial resistance is expected to make it more difficult to eliminate extreme poverty. Under the high antimicrobial resistance scenario, by 2030, an additional 24.1 million people would be extremely poor, of whom 18.7 million live in low-income countries. In general, developing countries will be hurt the most, especially those with the lowest incomes.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/190151498872848485/Assessing-the-global-economic-and-poverty-effects-of-antimicrobial-resistance
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-8133
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/27636
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relation.ispartofseriesPolicy Research Working Paper;No. 8133
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo
dc.subjectPANDEMICS
dc.subjectHEALTH
dc.subjectPOVERTY MEASUREMENT
dc.subjectGENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL
dc.titleAssessing the Global Economic and Poverty Effects of Antimicrobial Resistanceen
dc.typeWorking Paperen
dc.typeDocument de travailfr
dc.typeDocumento de trabajoes
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.crossref.titleAssessing the Global Economic and Poverty Effects of Antimicrobial Resistance
okr.date.disclosure2017-06-30
okr.doctypePublications & Research
okr.doctypePublications & Research::Policy Research Working Paper
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/190151498872848485/Assessing-the-global-economic-and-poverty-effects-of-antimicrobial-resistance
okr.guid190151498872848485
okr.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-8133
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum090224b084e69180_2_0
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum27701424
okr.identifier.reportWPS8133
okr.importedtrue
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/190151498872848485/pdf/WPS8133.pdfen
okr.statistics.combined4243
okr.statistics.dr190151498872848485
okr.statistics.drstats3523
okr.topicHealth, Nutrition and Population::Disease Control & Prevention
okr.topicHealth, Nutrition and Population::Health and Poverty
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth::Economic Theory & Research
okr.topicPoverty Reduction::Poverty and Health
okr.unitDevelopment Prospects Group, Development Economics; and the Health Nutrition and Population Global Practice Group
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