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Estimating the Demand for Informal Public Transport: Evidence from Antananarivo, Madagascar

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dc.contributor.authorIimi, Atsushi
dc.date.accessioned2022-04-19T23:24:08Z
dc.date.available2022-04-19T23:24:08Z
dc.date.issued2022-04
dc.description.abstractInformal public transport has been growing rapidly in many developing countries. Because urban infrastructure development tends to lag rapid population growth, informal public transport often meets the growing gap between demand and supply in urban mobility. Despite the rich literature primarily focused on formal transport modes, the informal transport sector is relatively unknown. This paper analyzes the demand behavior in the “informal” minibus sector in Antananarivo, Madagascar, taking advantage of a recent user survey of thousands of people. It finds that the demand for informal public transport is generally inelastic. Essentially, people have no other choice. While the time elasticity is estimated at −0.02 to −0.05, the price elasticity is −0.05 to −0.06 for short-distance travelers, who may have alternative choices, such as motorcycle taxi or walking. Unlike formal public transportation, the demand also increases with income. Regardless of income level, everyone uses minibuses. The estimated demand functions indicate that people prefer safety and more flexibility in transit. The paper shows that combining these improvements and fare adjustments, the informal transport sector can contribute to increasing people’s mobility and reducing traffic congestion in the city.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099405504182221434/IDU09864799d06d5304ef90a1890ff386a5ac40a
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-10006
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/37321
dc.languageEnglish
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relation.ispartofseriesPolicy Research Working Paper;10006
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo
dc.subjectINFORMAL TRANSPORTATION
dc.subjectURBAN TRANSPORTATION
dc.subjectURBAN INFRASTRUCTURE
dc.subjectPOPULATION GROWTH
dc.subjectURBAN MOBILITY
dc.subjectTRAFFIC CONGESTION
dc.subjectDEMAND ANALYSIS
dc.subjectURBAN TRANSPORT
dc.subjectINFORMAL PUBLIC TRANSPORT
dc.subjectTRANSPORT GLOBL KNOWLEDGE & EXPERTISE
dc.titleEstimating the Demand for Informal Public Transporten
dc.title.subtitleEvidence from Antananarivo, Madagascaren
dc.typeWorking Paperen
dc.typeDocument de travailfr
dc.typeDocumento de trabajoes
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.crossref.titleEstimating the Demand for Informal Public Transport: Evidence from Antananarivo, Madagascar
okr.date.disclosure2022-04-18
okr.date.doiregistration2025-04-10T10:19:22.519837Z
okr.date.lastmodified2022-04-18T00:00:00Zen
okr.doctypePolicy Research Working Paper
okr.doctypePublications & Research
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099405504182221434/IDU09864799d06d5304ef90a1890ff386a5ac40a
okr.guid099405504182221434
okr.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-10006
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum33788531
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum33788531
okr.identifier.reportWPS10006
okr.importedtrueen
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099405504182221434/pdf/IDU09864799d06d5304ef90a1890ff386a5ac40a.pdfen
okr.region.countryMadagascar
okr.topicEnergy::Energy Production and Transportation
okr.topicUrban Development::Transport in Urban Areas
okr.topicInfrastructure Economics and Finance::Private Participation in Infrastructure
okr.topicEnvironment::Pollution Management & Control
okr.topicUrban Development::Urban Environment
okr.unitITRGK - Global Knowledge (ITRGK)
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationeeef1beb-b651-587f-bb16-a47ff170a096
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscoveryeeef1beb-b651-587f-bb16-a47ff170a096
relation.isSeriesOfPublication26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
relation.isSeriesOfPublication.latestForDiscovery26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
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