Publication:
Local Conflict in Indonesia: Measuring Incidence and Identifying patterns

dc.contributor.authorBarron, Patrick
dc.contributor.authorKaiser, Kai
dc.contributor.authorPradhan, Menno
dc.date.accessioned2013-06-24T17:21:23Z
dc.date.available2013-06-24T17:21:23Z
dc.date.issued2004-08
dc.description.abstractThe widespread presence of local conflict characterizes many developing countries such as Indonesia. Outbreaks of violent conflict not only have direct costs for lives, livelihoods, and material property, but may also have the potential to escalate further. Recent studies on large-scale "headline" conflicts have tended to exclude the systematic consideration of local conflict, in large part due to the absence of representative data at low levels of geographic specification. This paper is a first attempt to correct for that. We evaluate a unique dataset compiled by the Indonesian government, the periodic Village Potential Statistics (PODES), which seeks to map conflict across all of Indonesia's 69,000 villages/neighborhoods. The data confirm that conflict is prevalent beyond well publicized "conflict regions," and that it can be observed across the archipelago. The data report largely violent conflict in 7.1 percent of Indonesia's lowest administrative tier (rural desa and urban kelurahan). Integrating examples from qualitative fieldwork, we assess issues in the measurement of local conflict for quantitative analysis, and adopt an empirical framework to examine potential associations with poverty, inequality, shocks, ethnic and religious diversity/inequality, and community-level associational and security arrangements. The quantitative analysis shows positive correlations between local conflict and unemployment, inequality, natural disasters, changes in sources of incomes, and clustering of ethnic groups within villages. The institutional variables indicate that the presence of places of worship is associated with less conflict, while the presence of religious groups and traditional culture (adat) institutions are associated with conflict. We conclude by suggesting future areas of research, notably on the role of group inequality and inference, and suggest ways to improve the measurement of conflict in the village census.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2004/08/5108339/local-conflict-indonesia-measuring-incidence-identifying-patterns
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-3384
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/14148
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, D.C.
dc.relation.ispartofseriesPolicy, Research working paper;no. WPS 3384
dc.relation.ispartofseriesPolicy Research Working Paper;No.3384
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.subjectCONFLICT
dc.subjectCIVIL WAR
dc.subjectLOCAL CONFLICT
dc.subjectINEQUALITY
dc.subjectSTATISTICAL INFERENCE
dc.subjectRELIGIOUS GROUPS
dc.subjectDIVERSITY
dc.subjectUNEMPLOYMENT
dc.subjectLIVELIHOODS
dc.titleLocal Conflict in Indonesia: Measuring Incidence and Identifying patternsen
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.crosscuttingsolutionareaFragility, Conflict, and Violence
okr.crossref.titleLocal Conflict in Indonesia: Measuring Incidence and Identifying Patterns
okr.date.doiregistration2025-04-10T10:12:35.443635Z
okr.doctypePublications & Research::Policy Research Working Paper
okr.doctypePublications & Research
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2004/08/5108339/local-conflict-indonesia-measuring-incidence-identifying-patterns
okr.globalpracticeSocial, Urban, Rural and Resilience
okr.globalpracticeEducation
okr.globalpracticePoverty
okr.globalpracticeHealth, Nutrition, and Population
okr.guid208851468773984574
okr.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-3384
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum000009486_20040908133707
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum5108339
okr.identifier.reportWPS3384
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/WDSContentServer/WDSP/IB/2004/09/08/000009486_20040908133707/Rendered/PDF/wps3384Indonesia.pdfen
okr.region.administrativeEast Asia and Pacific
okr.region.countryIndonesia
okr.topicSocial Development::Social Conflict and Violence
okr.topicConflict and Development::Post Conflict Reconstruction
okr.topicPeace and Peacekeeping
okr.topicServices and Transfers to Poor
okr.topicPoverty Reduction::Rural Poverty Reduction
okr.topicEducation::Education and Society
okr.topicHealth, Nutrition and Population::Public Health Promotion
okr.unitOff of Sr VP Dev Econ/Chief Econ (DECVP)
okr.volume1 of 1
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationecc576e9-bd6a-5678-a56a-ce6316c93654
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscoveryecc576e9-bd6a-5678-a56a-ce6316c93654
relation.isSeriesOfPublication26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
relation.isSeriesOfPublication.latestForDiscovery26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
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