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The Impacts of Biofuel Targets on Land-Use Change and Food Supply : A Global CGE Assessment

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dc.contributor.authorTimilsina, Govinda R.
dc.contributor.authorBeghin, John C.
dc.contributor.authorvan der Mensbrugghe, Dominique
dc.contributor.authorMevel, Simon
dc.date.accessioned2012-03-19T18:43:34Z
dc.date.available2012-03-19T18:43:34Z
dc.date.issued2010-12-01
dc.description.abstractThis study analyzes the long-term impacts of large-scale expansion of biofuels on land-use change, food supply and prices, and the overall economy in various countries or regions using a global computable general equilibrium model, augmented by a land-use module and detailed representation of biofuel sectors. The study finds that an expansion of global biofuel production to meet currently articulated or even higher national targets in various countries for biofuel use would reduce gross domestic product at the global level; however, the gross domestic product impacts are mixed across countries or regions. The expansion of biofuels would cause significant land re-allocation with notable decreases in forest and pasture lands in a few countries. The results also suggest that the expansion of biofuels would cause a reduction in food supply. Although the magnitude of the impact on food supply at the global level is not as large as perceived earlier, it would be significant in developing countries like India and those in Sub-Saharan Africa. Agricultural commodities such as sugar, corn, and oil seeds, which serve as the main biofuel feedstocks, would experience significant increases in their prices in 2020 compared with the prices at baseline due to the expansion of biofuels to meet the existing targets.en
dc.identifierhttp://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20101230134933
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-5513
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/3997
dc.languageEnglish
dc.relation.ispartofseriesPaper is funded by the Knowledge for Change Program (KCP),Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5513
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.subjectACREAGE
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL ACTIVITIES
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL COMMODITY
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL CROP
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL EXPORTS
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL GOOD
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL IMPORTS
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL LAND
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL MARKETS
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL OUTPUT
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL POLICY
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL PRICE
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL PRICES
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL SECTOR
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL TRADE
dc.subjectAGRICULTURE
dc.subjectANIMAL MANURE
dc.subjectBARLEY
dc.subjectBIO-DIESEL
dc.subjectBIO-ETHANOL
dc.subjectBIODIESEL
dc.subjectBIODIVERSITY
dc.subjectBIOENERGY
dc.subjectBIOFUEL
dc.subjectBIOFUEL INDUSTRY
dc.subjectBIOFUEL PRODUCTION
dc.subjectBIOFUEL USE
dc.subjectBIOFUELS
dc.subjectBIOFUELS INDUSTRY
dc.subjectBIOFUELS PRODUCTION
dc.subjectBIOMASS
dc.subjectBIOMASS SECTORS
dc.subjectCARBON TAX
dc.subjectCEREALS
dc.subjectCLIMATE
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectCOARSE GRAINS
dc.subjectCONSTRUCTION
dc.subjectCORN
dc.subjectCORN PRICES
dc.subjectCROP
dc.subjectCROP PRICES
dc.subjectCROP PRODUCTION
dc.subjectCROPLAND
dc.subjectCROPLANDS
dc.subjectCROPS
dc.subjectDATES
dc.subjectDEFORESTATION
dc.subjectDOMESTIC MARKET
dc.subjectECOLOGICAL ZONES
dc.subjectENERGY CONSUMPTION
dc.subjectENERGY ECONOMICS
dc.subjectENERGY MARKETS
dc.subjectENERGY PRICE
dc.subjectENERGY PRICES
dc.subjectENERGY SUPPLY
dc.subjectENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
dc.subjectETHANOL MARKETS
dc.subjectETHANOL PRODUCTION
dc.subjectETHANOL PRODUCTIONS
dc.subjectEXPORT
dc.subjectEXPORTS
dc.subjectFARM
dc.subjectFARM INPUTS
dc.subjectFARM SECTOR
dc.subjectFARMING
dc.subjectFEED
dc.subjectFERTILIZER
dc.subjectFIELD CROPS
dc.subjectFOOD AVAILABILITY
dc.subjectFOOD CONSUMPTION
dc.subjectFOOD DEMAND
dc.subjectFOOD GRAINS
dc.subjectFOOD INDUSTRIES
dc.subjectFOOD MARKETS
dc.subjectFOOD PRICES
dc.subjectFOOD PROCESSING
dc.subjectFOOD PRODUCTION
dc.subjectFOOD PRODUCTS
dc.subjectFOOD SECURITY
dc.subjectFOOD SUPPLY
dc.subjectFOODS
dc.subjectFOREST
dc.subjectFOREST AREAS
dc.subjectFOREST LAND
dc.subjectFORESTRY
dc.subjectFOSSIL ENERGY
dc.subjectFOSSIL FUELS
dc.subjectFREE TRADE
dc.subjectFREE TRADE AGREEMENTS
dc.subjectFRUIT
dc.subjectFRUITS
dc.subjectFUEL CONSUMPTION
dc.subjectGAS DISTRIBUTION
dc.subjectGASOLINE PRICES
dc.subjectGAUGE
dc.subjectGHG
dc.subjectGRAIN
dc.subjectGRAIN PRICES
dc.subjectGRAINS
dc.subjectGRAZING
dc.subjectGREASE
dc.subjectGREENHOUSE GAS
dc.subjectGREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS
dc.subjectGREENHOUSE GASES
dc.subjectGROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
dc.subjectGROWTH IN AGRICULTURE
dc.subjectIFPRI
dc.subjectIMPORT DUTIES
dc.subjectIMPORTS
dc.subjectLAND AREA
dc.subjectLAND REVENUE
dc.subjectLAND USE
dc.subjectLAND USES
dc.subjectLAND­USE
dc.subjectLIQUID FUEL
dc.subjectLIQUID FUELS
dc.subjectLIVESTOCK
dc.subjectLIVESTOCK PRODUCTS
dc.subjectLIVESTOCK SECTOR
dc.subjectMITIGATION
dc.subjectMOLASSES
dc.subjectMONOCULTURE
dc.subjectNATURAL GAS
dc.subjectNATURAL RESOURCES
dc.subjectOATS
dc.subjectOIL PRICES
dc.subjectOIL SEEDS
dc.subjectOILSEED CROPS
dc.subjectOILSEEDS
dc.subjectPADDY
dc.subjectPALM OIL
dc.subjectPALM OIL PRODUCTION
dc.subjectPOPULATION GROWTH
dc.subjectPRICE INCREASES
dc.subjectPRICE INDEX
dc.subjectPRICE LEVELS
dc.subjectPRICE MOVEMENTS
dc.subjectPRIMARY PRODUCTS
dc.subjectPRODUCE
dc.subjectPRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
dc.subjectPROTEIN
dc.subjectPROTEIN MEAL
dc.subjectRAPESEED
dc.subjectRAPESEED OIL
dc.subjectRAPESEEDS
dc.subjectRENEWABLE ENERGY
dc.subjectRENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES
dc.subjectRENEWABLE FUEL
dc.subjectRICE PRODUCTION
dc.subjectSEEDS
dc.subjectSOYBEAN
dc.subjectSOYBEAN OIL
dc.subjectSOYBEANS
dc.subjectSPRING
dc.subjectSTRAW
dc.subjectSUGAR
dc.subjectSUGAR BEET
dc.subjectSUGAR CANE
dc.subjectSUGAR CROPS
dc.subjectSUGAR PRICES
dc.subjectSUGARCANE
dc.subjectTARIFF RATE
dc.subjectTRADE ASSOCIATION
dc.subjectVEGETABLE OIL
dc.subjectVEGETABLE OILS
dc.subjectVEGETABLES
dc.subjectVOLUME
dc.subjectWETLANDS
dc.subjectWHEAT
dc.subjectWHEAT PRICES
dc.subjectWOOD
dc.subjectWOOD RESIDUES
dc.subjectWORLD FOOD SUPPLY
dc.subjectWORLD PRICES
dc.subjectYIELDS
dc.titleThe Impacts of Biofuel Targets on Land-Use Change and Food Supply : A Global CGE Assessmenten
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.crosscuttingsolutionareaJobs
okr.crossref.titleThe impacts of biofuel targets on land-use change and food supply: A global CGE assessment
okr.date.disclosure2010-12-01
okr.date.doiregistration2025-04-10T11:35:25.998625Z
okr.doctypePublications & Research::Policy Research Working Paper
okr.docurlhttp://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20101230134933
okr.globalpracticeAgriculture
okr.globalpracticeTrade and Competitiveness
okr.globalpracticeWater
okr.globalpracticeEnergy and Extractives
okr.guid454291468154776919
okr.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-5513
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum000158349_20101230134933
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum13305015
okr.identifier.reportWPS5513
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/WDSContentServer/WDSP/IB/2010/12/30/000158349_20101230134933/Rendered/PDF/WPS5513.pdfen
okr.region.administrativeWorld
okr.region.administrativeWorld
okr.sectorEnergy efficiency in power sector
okr.sectorEnergy and mining
okr.topicEnergy::Renewable Energy
okr.topicIndustry::Food & Beverage Industry
okr.topicAgriculture::Agribusiness
okr.topicWater Resources::Wetlands
okr.unitDevelopment Research Group (DECRG)
okr.unitDECRG: Agriculture & Rural Devt. (DECAR)
okr.volume1 of 1
relation.isSeriesOfPublication26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
relation.isSeriesOfPublication.latestForDiscovery26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
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