Publication:
Non-Normal Empirical Bayes Prediction of Local Welfare

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dc.contributor.authorElbers, Chris
dc.contributor.authorVan der Weide, Roy
dc.date.accessioned2025-04-28T16:18:20Z
dc.date.available2025-04-28T16:18:20Z
dc.date.issued2025-04-28
dc.description.abstractEstimates of the area- and household idiosyncratic error distributions from household income and consumption regression models across 142 household surveys from 16 different countries, the type of models that underpin poverty maps, points to significant deviations from normality. Accounting for non-normality in Empirical Best estimation of local welfare is found to increase precision relative to normal-Empirical Best estimation. Although the gains in precision range between meaningful and marginal, it is always positive. Given that non-normal-Empirical Best estimation is furthermore easy to implement, there is no downside to using it.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099213104282580137
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-11107
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/43130
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.publisherWashington, DC: World Bank
dc.relation.ispartofseriesPolicy Research Working Paper; 11107
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.subjectECONOMIC GROWTH
dc.subjectNO POVERTY
dc.subjectHOUSEHOLD INCOME
dc.subjectPOVERTY MAPS
dc.titleNon-Normal Empirical Bayes Prediction of Local Welfareen
dc.typeWorking Paper
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.date.disclosure2025-04-28
okr.date.doiregistration2025-04-30T04:25:46.104351Z
okr.date.lastmodified2025-04-28T14:05:54Zen
okr.doctypePolicy Research Working Paper
okr.doctypePublications & Research
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099213104282580137
okr.guid099213104282580137
okr.identifier.docmidIDU-aef784bf-9125-45a5-8b63-f6cb29bd1dcf
okr.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-11107
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum40009455
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum40009455
okr.identifier.reportWPS11107
okr.import.id7234
okr.importedtrueen
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttps://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099213104282580137/pdf/IDU-aef784bf-9125-45a5-8b63-f6cb29bd1dcf.pdfen
okr.region.geographicalWorld
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth::Consumption
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth::Economic Growth
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth::Income
okr.topicPoverty Reduction::Poverty Monitoring & Analysis
okr.unitDECPH:Poverty
okr.unitIneq. & Human Dev (DECPH)
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationc405b12a-6ae7-5b6a-a708-1f9aa2435c0d
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscoveryc405b12a-6ae7-5b6a-a708-1f9aa2435c0d
relation.isSeriesOfPublication26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
relation.isSeriesOfPublication.latestForDiscovery26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
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