Publication:
Will African Agriculture Survive Climate Change?

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creativeworkseries.issn1564-698X
dc.contributor.authorKurukulasuriya, Pradeep
dc.contributor.authorMendelsohn, Robert
dc.contributor.authorHassan, Rashid
dc.contributor.authorBenhin, James
dc.contributor.authorDeressa, Temesgen
dc.contributor.authorDiop, Mbaye
dc.contributor.authorEid, Helmy Mohamed
dc.contributor.authorFosu, K. Yerfi
dc.contributor.authorGbetibouo, Glwadys
dc.contributor.authorJain, Suman
dc.contributor.authorMahamadou, Ali
dc.contributor.authorMano, Renneth
dc.contributor.authorKabubo-Mariara, Jane
dc.contributor.authorEl-Marsafawy, Samia
dc.contributor.authorMolua, Ernest
dc.contributor.authorOuda, Samiha
dc.contributor.authorOuedraogo, Mathieu
dc.contributor.authorSene, Isidor
dc.contributor.authorMaddison, David
dc.contributor.authorSeo, S. Niggol
dc.contributor.authorDinar, Ariel
dc.date.accessioned2013-12-20T21:06:23Z
dc.date.available2013-12-20T21:06:23Z
dc.date.issued2006-08-23
dc.description.abstractMeasurement of the likely magnitude of the economic impact of climate change on African agriculture has been a challenge. Using data from a survey of more than 9,000 farmers across 11 African countries, a cross-sectional approach estimates how farm net revenues are affected by climate change compared with current mean temperature. Revenues fall with warming for dryland crops (temperature elasticity of -1.9) and livestock (-5.4), whereas revenues rise for irrigated crops (elasticity of 0.5), which are located in relatively cool parts of Africa and are buffered by irrigation from the effects of warming. At first, warming has little net aggregate effect as the gains for irrigated crops offset the losses for dryland crops and livestock. Warming, however, will likely reduce dryland farm income immediately. The final effects will also depend on changes in precipitation, because revenues from all farm types increase with precipitation. Because irrigated farms are less sensitive to climate, where water is available, irrigation is a practical adaptation to climate change in Africa.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2006/09/17760941/african-agriculture-survive-climate-change
dc.identifier.citationWorld Bank Economic Review
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/16440
dc.identifier.otherdoi:10.1093/wber/lhl004
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/16440
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.publisherOxford University Press on behalf of the World Bank
dc.relation.ispartofseriesWorld Bank Economic Review
dc.rightsCC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL CROPS
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL POLICIES
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL TRADE
dc.subjectAGRICULTURE
dc.subjectANNUAL PRECIPITATION
dc.subjectAPPLIED METEOROLOGY
dc.subjectCALCULATION
dc.subjectCARBON
dc.subjectCARBON DIOXIDE
dc.subjectCARBON DIOXIDE LEVELS
dc.subjectCARBON FERTILIZATION
dc.subjectCLIMATE
dc.subjectCLIMATE ADAPTATION
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS
dc.subjectCLIMATE CONDITIONS
dc.subjectCLIMATE DATA
dc.subjectCLIMATE IMPACTS
dc.subjectCLIMATE MODELS
dc.subjectCLIMATE PREDICTION
dc.subjectCLIMATE RESPONSE
dc.subjectCLIMATE SCENARIO
dc.subjectCLIMATE SCENARIOS
dc.subjectCLIMATE SENSITIVITY
dc.subjectCLIMATE VARIABILITY
dc.subjectCLIMATE VARIABLE
dc.subjectCLIMATE VARIABLES
dc.subjectCLIMATE VARIATION
dc.subjectCLIMATES
dc.subjectCLIMATIC CHANGE
dc.subjectCLOUDS
dc.subjectCROP
dc.subjectCROP DEVELOPMENT
dc.subjectCROP FARM
dc.subjectCROP PRODUCTION
dc.subjectCROP PRODUCTIVITY
dc.subjectCROP REVENUE
dc.subjectCROP SIMULATION
dc.subjectCROPLAND
dc.subjectCROPS
dc.subjectDEGREE DAYS
dc.subjectECOLOGICAL SYSTEMS
dc.subjectECONOMIC CONDITIONS
dc.subjectECONOMIC IMPACT
dc.subjectECONOMIC IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectEFFECT OF TEMPERATURE
dc.subjectELASTICITIES
dc.subjectELECTRICITY
dc.subjectEMPIRICAL STUDIES
dc.subjectENVIRONMENTAL
dc.subjectENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS
dc.subjectEQUILIBRIUM
dc.subjectEQUIPMENT
dc.subjectEXTREME EVENT
dc.subjectFARM
dc.subjectFARM ACTIVITIES
dc.subjectFARM DATA
dc.subjectFARM INCOME
dc.subjectFARM SIZE
dc.subjectFARMERS
dc.subjectFARMING
dc.subjectFARMS
dc.subjectFERTILIZER
dc.subjectFOOD SECURITY
dc.subjectFOOD SUPPLY
dc.subjectGLOBAL CLIMATE
dc.subjectGLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectGLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL FACILITY
dc.subjectGLOBAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectGLOBAL WARMING
dc.subjectGREENHOUSE
dc.subjectGREENHOUSE DAMAGE
dc.subjectHIGH TEMPERATURES
dc.subjectHUNGER
dc.subjectHYDROLOGICAL DATA
dc.subjectHYDROLOGICAL MODEL
dc.subjectHYDROLOGY
dc.subjectHYDROMETEOROLOGY
dc.subjectIMPACT OF CLIMATE
dc.subjectIMPACT OF TEMPERATURE
dc.subjectIMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectINCOMES
dc.subjectINCREASE IN TEMPERATURE
dc.subjectINPUT PRICES
dc.subjectINTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectIRRIGATION WATER
dc.subjectLABOR COSTS
dc.subjectLABOR MARKETS
dc.subjectLAND ECONOMICS
dc.subjectLAND FOR LIVESTOCK
dc.subjectLAND PRODUCTIVITY
dc.subjectLAND SURFACE
dc.subjectLAND SURFACE TEMPERATURES
dc.subjectLAND USE
dc.subjectLIVESTOCK FARMERS
dc.subjectLIVESTOCK GRAZING
dc.subjectLIVESTOCK LOSSES
dc.subjectLIVESTOCK PRODUCTS
dc.subjectLIVESTOCK SECTOR
dc.subjectMARKET PRICES
dc.subjectMEAN RAINFALL
dc.subjectMEAN TEMPERATURE
dc.subjectMETEOROLOGY
dc.subjectMICROECONOMICS
dc.subjectMITIGATION OF CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectMONSOONS
dc.subjectNEGATIVE IMPACT
dc.subjectPESTICIDES
dc.subjectPESTS
dc.subjectPP
dc.subjectPRECIPITATION
dc.subjectPRICE CHANGES
dc.subjectPRIVATE SECTOR
dc.subjectPROPERTY RIGHTS
dc.subjectPUBLIC GOOD
dc.subjectRAINFALL
dc.subjectRAINY SEASONS
dc.subjectRESILIENCE OF AGRICULTURE
dc.subjectRURAL DEVELOPMENT
dc.subjectSCIENTISTS
dc.subjectSEASON
dc.subjectSOCIAL COSTS
dc.subjectSOCIAL COSTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectSOCIAL DIMENSIONS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectSOILS
dc.subjectSUMMER TEMPERATURE
dc.subjectSURFACE TEMPERATURE
dc.subjectSUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
dc.subjectTECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE
dc.subjectTEMPERATE CLIMATE
dc.subjectTEMPERATE CLIMATES
dc.subjectTEMPERATURE
dc.subjectTEMPERATURE EFFECTS
dc.subjectWAGE RATES
dc.subjectWAGES
dc.subjectWARMER TEMPERATURES
dc.subjectWELFARE EFFECTS
dc.subjectWINTER TEMPERATURE
dc.titleWill African Agriculture Survive Climate Change?en
dc.typeJournal Articleen
dc.typeArticle de journalfr
dc.typeArtículo de revistaes
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.crosscuttingsolutionareaClimate Change
okr.date.disclosure2013-05-27
okr.date.doiregistration2025-05-06T11:23:12.559468Z
okr.doctypePublications & Research::Journal Article
okr.doctypePublications & Research::Journal Article
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2006/09/17760941/african-agriculture-survive-climate-change
okr.globalpracticeSocial, Urban, Rural and Resilience
okr.globalpracticeAgriculture
okr.globalpracticeTransport and ICT
okr.globalpracticeEnvironment and Natural Resources
okr.guid243741467990936313
okr.identifier.doi10.1093/wber/lhl004
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum000333037_20130527160127
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum17760941
okr.identifier.report77529
okr.journal.nbpages367-388
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/WDSContentServer/WDSP/IB/2013/05/27/000333037_20130527160127/Rendered/PDF/775290JRN0200600African0Agriculture.pdfen
okr.peerreviewAcademic Peer Review
okr.region.administrativeAfrica
okr.region.geographicalAfrica
okr.topicScience and Technology Development::Science of Climate Change
okr.topicRural Development Knowledge and Information Systems
okr.topicAgriculture::Climate Change and Agriculture
okr.topicEnvironment::Climate Change Mitigation and Green House Gases
okr.topicEnvironmental Economics and Policies
okr.topicRural Development
okr.unitPartnerships and Capacity Building (DECPO)
okr.volume20(3)
relation.isJournalIssueOfPublication3545eec5-1d7b-4082-97bd-050c619dbd85
relation.isJournalIssueOfPublication.latestForDiscovery3545eec5-1d7b-4082-97bd-050c619dbd85
relation.isJournalOfPublicationc41eae2f-cf94-449d-86b7-f062aebe893f
relation.isJournalVolumeOfPublication91b3ab49-f93d-44b6-83b1-d6ca04c3bbcc
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