Publication:
Counting People Exposed to, Vulnerable to, or at High Risk From Climate Shocks: A Methodology

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dc.contributor.authorDoan, Miki Khanh
dc.contributor.authorHill, Ruth
dc.contributor.authorHallegatte, Stephane
dc.contributor.authorCorral, Paul
dc.contributor.authorBrunckhorst, Ben
dc.contributor.authorNguyen, Minh
dc.contributor.authorFreije-Rodriguez, Samuel
dc.contributor.authorNaikal, Esther
dc.date.accessioned2023-12-04T22:33:21Z
dc.date.available2023-12-04T22:33:21Z
dc.date.issued2023-12-04
dc.description.abstractBased on global datasets, 4.5 billion people were exposed to extreme weather events (flood, drought, cyclone, or heatwave) in 2019, an increase from 4 billion in 2010. Among exposed people in 2019, 2.3 billion people lived with less than $6.85 per day and about 400 million lived in extreme poverty (on less than $2.15 per day). This paper presents a methodology to estimate the number of people who are at high risk from extreme weather events, defined as the people who are exposed to these events and highly vulnerable to them. Vulnerability is proxied by a set of indicators measuring (1) the physical propensity to experience severe losses (proxied by the lack of access to basic infrastructure services, here water and electricity) and (2) the inability to cope with and recover from losses (proxied by low income, not having education, not having access to financial services and not having access to social protection). Estimates from 75 countries for which data on all indicators are available suggest that, in 2019, 42 percent of the total population (and 70 percent of people exposed) are at high risk from extreme weather shocks, if one indicator is enough to be considered as highly vulnerable. If high vulnerability is defined based on being vulnerable on two dimensions or more, then 12 percent of the total population (and 20 percent of people exposed) are at high risk from extreme weather shocks. The trend between 2010 and 2019 can be explored in a subset of countries covering 60 percent of the world population. In these countries, even though the population exposed to extreme weather events has been increasing, the number of people at high risk has declined. The exception is Sub-Saharan Africa where the number of people at high risk has increased between 2010 and 2019.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099602511292336760/IDU07639ca570f3cb048db09bf60fc2cc82df22d
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-10619
dc.identifier.urihttps://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/40685
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relation.ispartofseriesPolicy Research Working Papers; 10619
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.subjectCLIMATE RISK
dc.subjectEXPOSURE TO CLIMATE SHOCK
dc.subjectVULNERABIITY TO SHOCKS
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectCLIMATE SHOCK AND DEVELOPMENT
dc.subjectEXTREME WEATHER EVENTS
dc.titleCounting People Exposed to, Vulnerable to, or at High Risk From Climate Shocksen
dc.title.subtitleA Methodologyen
dc.typeWorking Paper
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.crossref.titleCounting People Exposed to, Vulnerable to, or at High Risk From Climate Shocks: A Methodology
okr.date.disclosure2023-12-04
okr.date.lastmodified2023-11-29T00:00:00Zen
okr.doctypePolicy Research Working Paper
okr.doctypePublications & Research
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099602511292336760/IDU07639ca570f3cb048db09bf60fc2cc82df22d
okr.guid099602511292336760
okr.identifier.docmidIDU-7639ca57-f3cb-48db-9bf6-fc2cc82df22d
okr.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-10619
okr.identifier.doihttp://dx.doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-10619
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum34204435
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum34204435
okr.identifier.reportWPS10619
okr.import.id2457
okr.importedtrueen
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099602511292336760/pdf/IDU07639ca570f3cb048db09bf60fc2cc82df22d.pdfen
okr.topicSocial Development::Social Aspects of Climate Change
okr.topicEnvironment::Climate Change Impacts
okr.topicEnvironment::Adaptation to Climate Change
okr.unitGGSVP-VP
okr.unitSD Practice Group
okr.unitEFI-Poverty and Equity-GE (EPVGE)
relation.isAuthorOfPublication2fea2b63-4a74-5fbd-b964-71ef895df009
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery2fea2b63-4a74-5fbd-b964-71ef895df009
relation.isSeriesOfPublication26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
relation.isSeriesOfPublication.latestForDiscovery26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
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