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Learning Losses during COVID-19: Global Estimates of an Invisible and Unequal Crisis

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dc.contributor.authorAkmal, Maryam
dc.contributor.authorAzevedo, João Pedro
dc.contributor.authorCloutier, Marie-Helene
dc.contributor.authorRogers, Halsey
dc.contributor.authorWong, Yi Ning
dc.date.accessioned2022-10-31T17:18:45Z
dc.date.available2022-10-31T17:18:45Z
dc.date.issued2022-10
dc.description.abstractThis paper presents updated simulation results of the potential effects of COVID-19-related school closures on learning outcomes globally. The simulation, which updates and extends prior work by Azevedo, Hasan et al. (2021) and Azevedo (2020), examines potential learning losses as the pandemic moves into the third year. Beyond reflecting the longer duration of the crisis, the paper extends prior work by using country-specific observed school closure information, accounts for the partial reopening of some education systems, updates the baseline Learning Poverty estimates to reflect its best estimate to date just before the pandemic (circa 2019), and uses updated June 2021 macroeconomic projections to reflect the economic magnitude of the crisis. The analysis finds that the overall learning levels are likely to fall substantially around the world. Under an “intermediate” scenario, school closures could potentially increase the share of children in Learning Poverty in low- and middle-income countries by 13 percentage points, to 70 percent. Globally, learning adjusted years of schooling could fall by 1.1 years, and the share of youth below minimum proficiency on the Programme for International Student Assessment could rise by 12.3 percentage points. Furthermore, school shutdowns could generate lifetime earning losses of $21 trillion. These results imply that decisive action is needed to recover and accelerate learning.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099822210272215882/IDU0b17fcd5600fa404cab0be570fa1cb97ba906
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-10218
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/38228
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relation.ispartofseriesPolicy Research Working Papers;10218
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo
dc.subjectFOUNDATIONAL LEARNING
dc.subjectBASIC EDUCATION
dc.subjectSTUDENT ASSESSMENT
dc.subjectEDUCATION SDG
dc.subjectLEARNING POVERTY
dc.subjectLEARNING ADJUSTED YEARS OF SCHOOLING
dc.subjectCOVID-19 IMPACT ON EDUCATION
dc.subjectPANDEMIC SCHOOL CLOSURES
dc.subjectPANDEMIC LEARNING LOSS
dc.subjectREMOTE SCHOOLING
dc.subjectEDUCATION DIGITAL DIVIDE
dc.titleLearning Losses during COVID-19en
dc.title.subtitleGlobal Estimates of an Invisible and Unequal Crisisen
dc.typeWorking Paperen
dc.typeDocument de travailfr
dc.typeDocumento de trabajoes
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.crossref.titleLearning Losses during COVID-19: Global Estimates of an Invisible and Unequal Crisis
okr.date.disclosure2022-10-27
okr.date.doiregistration2025-04-10T09:13:26.535921Z
okr.date.lastmodified2022-10-27T00:00:00Zen
okr.doctypePolicy Research Working Paper
okr.doctypePublications & Research
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099822210272215882/IDU0b17fcd5600fa404cab0be570fa1cb97ba906
okr.guid099822210272215882
okr.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-10218
okr.identifier.externaldocumentumIDU-b17fcd56-0fa4-4cab-be57-fa1cb97ba906
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum33926918
okr.identifier.reportWPS10218
okr.importedtrueen
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099822210272215882/pdf/IDU0b17fcd5600fa404cab0be570fa1cb97ba906.pdfen
okr.topicEducation::Access & Equity in Basic Education
okr.topicEducation::Education and Digital Divide
okr.topicEducation::Primary Education
okr.topicInformation and Communication Technologies::ICT Data and Statistics
okr.topicEducation::Lifelong Learning
okr.unitEducation Global (HEDGE)
relation.isAuthorOfPublication360f7a2e-0784-56e1-acf4-7f805fd50257
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery360f7a2e-0784-56e1-acf4-7f805fd50257
relation.isSeriesOfPublication26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
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