Publication:
Updating Poverty in Afghanistan Using the SWIFT-Plus Methodology

Simple item page
dc.contributor.authorBarriga-Cabanillas, Oscar
dc.contributor.authorChawla, Parth
dc.contributor.authorRedaelli, Silvia
dc.contributor.authorYoshida, Nobuo
dc.date.accessioned2023-11-29T16:41:11Z
dc.date.available2023-11-29T16:41:11Z
dc.date.issued2023-11-29
dc.description.abstractClose to half of the population of Afghanistan was living below the national poverty line prior to the regime change in August 2021, with no additional information on poverty collected in the country since the last official household survey in 2019/20. This paper fills this knowledge gap through survey-to-survey imputation using a SWIFT-plus methodology. The analysis trains a predictive model on data from the 2019/20 Expenditure and Labor Force survey and imputes poverty in the latest Afghanistan Welfare Monitoring Survey. The analysis accounts for seasonality in welfare patterns and implements several tests to assess the model’s predictive capacity. The results show that 48.3 percent of the Afghan population was poor as of April–June 2023, a relative decline of 4 percentage points compared to poverty levels observed over the same months in 2020. The reduction in poverty was concentrated among rural households, with a decline from 51 to 44 percent, while it stagnated in urban areas at around 58 percent. Although no poverty data exists since 2020, the evolution of self-reported welfare and food security makes it reasonable to conclude that poverty first increased during the immediate economic contraction following the regime change and has progressively declined since then.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099439111272329963/IDU0ed4d6e61077f404936080040a13f92c09683
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-10616
dc.identifier.urihttps://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/40660
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relation.ispartofseriesPolicy Research Working Papers; 10616
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.subjectPOVERTY MEASUREMENT
dc.subjectSURVEY-T0-SURVEY IMPUTATION
dc.subjectSHORT TERM POVERTY MONITORING
dc.subjectPOVERTY ESTIMATION METHODOLOGY
dc.titleUpdating Poverty in Afghanistan Using the SWIFT-Plus Methodologyen
dc.typeWorking Paper
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.crossref.titleUpdating Poverty in Afghanistan Using the SWIFT-Plus Methodology
okr.date.disclosure2023-11-27
okr.date.lastmodified2023-11-27T00:00:00Zen
okr.doctypePolicy Research Working Paper
okr.doctypePublications & Research
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099439111272329963/IDU0ed4d6e61077f404936080040a13f92c09683
okr.guid099439111272329963
okr.identifier.docmidIDU-ed4d6e61-77f4-4936-8004-a13f92c09683
okr.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-10616
okr.identifier.doihttp://dx.doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-10616
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum34203046
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum34203046
okr.identifier.reportWPS10616
okr.import.id2388
okr.importedtrueen
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099439111272329963/pdf/IDU0ed4d6e61077f404936080040a13f92c09683.pdfen
okr.region.administrativeSouth Asia
okr.region.countryAfghanistan
okr.topicPoverty Reduction::Living Standards
okr.topicPoverty Reduction::Poverty Lines
okr.topicPoverty Reduction::Poverty Monitoring & Analysis
okr.unitEFI-SAR-POV-Poverty and Equity (ESAPV)
relation.isSeriesOfPublication26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
relation.isSeriesOfPublication.latestForDiscovery26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
Files
Original bundle
Now showing 1 - 2 of 2
Thumbnail Image
Name:
IDU0ed4d6e61077f404936080040a13f92c09683.pdf
Size:
1.15 MB
Format:
Adobe Portable Document Format
Download
No Thumbnail Available
Name:
IDU0ed4d6e61077f404936080040a13f92c09683.txt
Size:
90.65 KB
Format:
Plain Text
Download
License bundle
Now showing 1 - 1 of 1
No Thumbnail Available
Name:
license.txt
Size:
1.71 KB
Format:
Plain Text
Description:
Download
Collections
Policy Research Working Papers