Publication:
Jamaica Jobs Diagnostic

Loading...
Thumbnail Image
Files in English
English PDF (7.78 MB)
126 downloads
English Text (545.11 KB)
16 downloads
Date
2024-07-02
ISSN
Published
2024-07-02
Editor(s)
Abstract
This report seeks to identify Jamaica’s main jobs problems, analyze their underlying causes, and provide policy options to foster debate on how to improve job outcomes. Utilizing a diagnostic approach, the assessment focuses on identifying deep-rooted jobs problems in Jamaica by considering its current level of development and conducting a comprehensive benchmarking exercise. In this framing, jobs problems (e.g., large informal sector) are viewed as symptoms that are driven by underlying factors. Hence, identifying jobs problems is insufficient to draw clear policy recommendations per se. The authors analyze potential causes, including policy fundamentals such as macroeconomic stability, and determine the likely critical factors obstructing improved jobs outcomes. Our assessment takes a holistic and iterative approach, by exploiting the data available, with its limitations, and consulting with sector specialists and many public and private sector stakeholders. This work has built on, expanded, and, in instance, informed recent work by the World Bank in Jamaica. The result of this exercise is a set of proposed evidence-based policy priorities that can promote debate on how to unlock the creation of better and more inclusive jobs.
Link to Data Set
Citation
Romero, Jose Manuel; Avila Parra, Clemente; Gordina, Alexandra. 2024. Jamaica Jobs Diagnostic. Jobs Working Paper; Issue No. 83. © World Bank. http://hdl.handle.net/10986/41815 License: CC BY 3.0 IGO.
Associated URLs
Associated content
Report Series
Other publications in this report series
Journal
Journal Volume
Journal Issue
Collections

Related items

Showing items related by metadata.

  • Publication
    What Are the Effects of Expanding a Social Pension Program on Extreme Poverty and Labor Supply?
    (World Bank, Washington, DC, 2017-10) Avila-Parra, Clemente; Escamilla-Guerrero, David
    In 2013, Mexico's Social Pension Program for the Elderly was expanded by changing its eligibility threshold from age 70 to age 65. Using pooled cross-sectional data from Mexico's National Household Income and Expenditure Survey, the exogenous variation around eligibility age was exploited to uncover the causal effects of this expansion on extreme poverty and labor supply of the newly eligible population, and to explore potential transmission mechanisms. Applying quasi-experimental methods, results show that the expansion of Mexico's Social Pension Program for the Elderly not only reduced the probability of the elderly being extreme poor, but it also reduced the extreme poverty gap, and the extreme poverty severity indexes of the elderly population. These effects on extreme poverty are generalizable to all individuals of the treated household. The results suggest that the expansion of the Social Pension Program for the Elderly did not have short-term effects on the labor force participation of the elderly. Accordingly, the analysis does not find that the program reduced labor income. In contrast with other impact evaluations of similar programs, the analysis does not find that the expansion of Mexico's program had a crowding out effect on domestic or international private transfers to the elderly.
  • Publication
    Export Quality in Advanced and Developing Economies
    (World Bank, Washington, DC, 2017-09) Henn, Christian; Papageorgiou, Chris; Romero, Jose Manuel; Spatafora, Nikola
    This paper develops new estimates of export quality, based on bilateral data, which are far more extensive than previous efforts. The data cover 166 countries and hundreds of products over 1962-2014. The analysis finds that quality upgrading is particularly rapid during the early stages of development. There is significant cross-country heterogeneity in the growth rate of quality. Within any given product line, quality converges over time to the world frontier. Institutional quality, liberal trade policies, foreign direct investment inflows, and human capital all promote quality upgrading, although their impacts vary across sectors. The results suggest that reducing barriers to entry into new sectors can allow economies to benefit from rapid quality convergence over time.
  • Publication
    Allocating Subsidies for Private Investments to Maximize Jobs Impacts
    (World Bank, Washington, DC, 2020-06) Romero, Jose Manuel; Robalino, David; Walker, Ian
    This paper develops a general framework to allocate subsidies to private investments in the presence of jobs-linked externalities (JLEs). JLEs emerge when wages exceed the opportunity cost of labor (labor externalities), or when there are social gains from creating better jobs for some classes of worker, such as women or youth (social externalities). Like all externalities, JLEs create a gap between private and social rates of return. Investments can be socially profitable (once the corresponding JLEs are internalized) but the private returns may be too low for the firm to go ahead. JLEs help to explain why many developing countries see insufficient investment in projects that would reallocate labor towards better jobs. The concept of JLEs is well established in economic literature, but there is a need for better operational approaches to address them. Like other externalities, JLEs can be corrected using a variety of possible subsidies (such as: grants, subsidized infrastructure, credit, training, technical assistance and tax exemptions). But doing this efficiently and at scale this requires mechanisms to (a) estimate the value of the externality and (b) discover the amount of subsidy needed to trigger the private investment. This paper shows that the optimal way to allocate subsidies to offset JLEs is through a competitive bidding process which selects projects based on the estimated amount of JLEs per dollar of subsidy. The bidding process provides an incentive to investors to reveal the subsidy needed for a project to become privately viable. The authors show that the proposed approach maximizes the jobs impacts of a given amount of fiscal resources that has been allotted to support better jobs outcomes.
  • Publication
    Financing the Future
    (World Bank, Yangon, 2016-01) Drees-Gross, Alexandra; Annamalai, Nagavalli; Wong, Sau Ngan; Htay, Nang Htay; De Luna Martinez, Jose; Tanaka, Kiyotaka; Natarajan, Harish; Mahadevan, Balakrishnan; Mortimer-Schutts, Ivan
    Myanmar’s financial system is undergoing a rapid transformation. A history of economic isolation has left Myanmar with small and underdeveloped financial institutions and very low access to financial services. Since 2011, however, demands on the financial system have grown exponentially with increased trade and investment, growing household income, and expanding government operations. While recent reforms have stimulated financial sector growth, much more needs to be done to establish a competitive and vibrant financial sector that can meet the needs of Myanmar’s expanding economy, boost incomes, and reduce poverty particularly among those living in rural areas. Increasing access to financial services is critical to achieving shared prosperity in Myanmar.
  • Publication
    Shaping Better Jobs Policies Through Measurement
    (World Bank, Washington, DC, 2023-11-21) Osborne, Theresa; Romero, Jose Manuel
    Quantifying the jobs impacts of development interventions is a challenge, largely because much of the impact is indirect. Yet, given the tremendous jobs challenges in developing countries, these impacts are fundamental to designing and prioritizing more effective policies and investments. How can development institutions do a better job of taking them into account We piloted some approaches and share lessons here.

Users also downloaded

Showing related downloaded files

  • Publication
    Strategic Planning for Poverty Reduction in Vietnam : Progress and Challenges for Meeting the Localized Millennium Development Goals
    (World Bank, Washington, DC, 2003-01) Swinkels, Rob; Turk, Carrie
    This paper discusses the progress that Vietnam has made toward meeting a core set of development goals that the government recently adopted as part of its Comprehensive Poverty Reduction and Growth Strategy (CPRGS). These goals are strongly related to the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), but are adapted and expanded to reflect Vietnam's national challenges and the government's ambitious development plans. For each Vietnam Development Goal, the authors describe recent trends in relation to the trajectories implied by the MDGs, outline the intermediate targets identified by the government, and discuss the challenges involved in meeting these. Relative to other countries of similar per capita expenditures, Vietnam has made rapid progress in a number of key areas. Poverty has halved over the 1990s, enrollment rates in primary education have risen to 91 percent (although there is a quality problem), indicators of gender equity have been strengthened, child mortality has been reduced, maternal health has improved, and real progress has been made in combating malaria and other communicable diseases. In contrast, Vietnam scores worse than other comparable countries in the areas of child malnutrition, access to clean water, and combating HIV/AIDS. A number of important crosscutting issues emerge from this analysis that need to be addressed. One such challenge is improving equity, both in terms of ensuring that the benefits of growth are distributed evenly across the population and in terms of access to public services. This will involve addressing the affordability of education and curative health care for poor households. Improvements in public expenditure planning are needed to align resources better to stated desired outcomes and to link nationally-defined targets to subnational planning and budgeting processes. There is also a need to address capacity and data gaps which will be crucial for effective monitoring.
  • Publication
    Kingdom of Morocco : Poverty Update, Volume 1. Main Report
    (Washington, DC, 2001-03-30) World Bank
    According to the 1998-99 Living Standards Measurement Survey conducted in Moroocco, poverty showed a disturbing increase during the 1990s, regardless of how poverty is measured. This report updates the poverty profile for Morocco following the comprehensive approach suggested by the latest World Development Report (see report no. 20888 for an overview of this report). It presents a detailed analysis of 1) Poverty trends in the 1990s (Chapter 2), 2) which factors are key in explaining the observed increase in poverty (Chapter 3), and 3) the support given to the poor by Government intervention (Chapter 4). An overview of the main initiatives taken by the authorities as well as by nongovernmental organizations and private businesses in the late 1990s is presented in the first chapter; their effects, though not captured by the 1998/99 data, are likely to have a significant impact on poverty reduction in the coming years.
  • Publication
    Case Study 2 - Andhra Pradesh, India : Participation in Macroeconomic Policy Making and Reform
    (Washington, DC, 2003-03) World Bank
    For the past six years, the State of Andhra Pradesh in India has been at the vanguard of efforts to modernize the economy and the state while pursuing policies to improve the lives of the poorest. The Chief Minister and head of the ruling Telugu Desam Party (TDP), Mr. Chandra Babu Naidu, is known by some as the "Laptop Minister" for his modernizing initiatives. He has reached out to international organizations and investors but has also maintained his base of support at home, in part through expanded programs in education, health, and rural development. "I have initiated so many things," Naidu said. "They are going on and will pay off after some time. But people need something today." The challenges facing the government are daunting. Andhra Pradesh (AP) is one of the largest and poorest states in India. Its population of almost 80 million approaches that of the Philippines, the 13th most populous country in the world. Even as its high-tech industries develop rapidly, AP's overall literacy rate remains a modest 44% and one-third of the population lives in poverty.
  • Publication
    Improving Access to Medicines in Developing Countries : Application of New Institutional Economics to the Analysis of Manufacturing and Distribution Issues
    (World Bank, Washington, DC, 2005-03) Attridge, C. James; Preker, Alexander S.
    This paper examines alternative frameworks for empirical analysis of supply side activities, namely, the manufacture and distribution of medicine, through the application of New Institutional Economics (NIE) concepts. Attention is focused particularly upon the potential utility of ideas from agency theory, transaction cost analysis and contemporary ideas from strategy theory. The major purpose of this paper is to use these theoretical frameworks to provide insight for policy makers, when faced with specific situations, whether in an international agency, or a private company, or in defining a national strategy. The analysis attempts to show the importance of distinctions between ideas of 'make' or 'buy', between 'national self sufficiency' and 'international purchasing' strategies, the limitations of contractual agreements under market governance and the crucial linkages between strategy formulation, strategy implementation and the necessary capabilities to achieve successful performance in practice. The current international situation on the investment, location and capacity of pharmaceutical manufacturing is reviewed and likely future scenarios suggested. Correspondingly current patterns of trade in medicines and their likely development within the context of the WTO and bilateral trade agreements are discussed. Against this background the promise and the pitfalls for new forms of public-private partnerships, which may offer attractive alternatives to conventional structures are evaluated. The implications of alternative future strategic options for national governments in setting the balance between health and industrial policies are examined and in particular the extent to which a national manufacturing capability should be developed or sustained. Similarly the scope for improving low cost distribution systems for medicines, based upon a mix of public and private sector channels, is assessed. We conclude with suggestions for further development of a transaction-based framework.
  • Publication
    Indonesia : Oil and Gas Sector Study
    (Washington, DC, 2000-06) World Bank
    This study attempts to provide a broad, first cut review of the most pressing issues facing the sector, and to recommend ways to ameliorate or eliminate the problems. The main problems are: 1) petroleum product prices are heavily subsidized at the aggregate level and distorted at relative levels, and thus need to be rationalized within an economic framework; 2) the functions and role of the state oil and gas company (Pertamina) are problematic, and therefore Pertamina must be fundamentally restructured to eliminate the conflicts of interest and inefficiencies; 3) some of the provisions of the production sharing contracts are relatively regressive and need to be re-evaluated with a view to maximize the contribution of the sector to the economy, and to increase upstream investment by the private sector; 4) existing laws and regulations are inadequate and must be replaced; 5) petroleum products are of poor quality and must be improved, particularly by phasing out the lead from gasoline; and 6) energy sector institutions are weak and must be strengthened. Although the issues are complex and sweeping changes are needed, given the current political climate, this is an opportune time for Indonesia to begin the process. As a first step, preparing an official and comprehensive declaration of government policy for the hydrocarbon sector is critically important--needed are the vision for the sector, policy objectives, and policy actions required to solve the sector's problems.