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Forced Displacement, the Perpetuation of Autocratic Leadership, and Development in Origin Countries

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dc.contributor.authorCabra-Ruiz, Nicolás
dc.contributor.authorRozo Villarraga, Sandra V.
dc.contributor.authorSviatschi, María Micaela
dc.date.accessioned2025-01-28T18:45:14Z
dc.date.available2025-01-28T18:45:14Z
dc.date.issued2025-01-28
dc.description.abstractHow does forced displacement shape development in origin countries This article examines the case of Venezuela, where nearly eight million people have been forcibly displaced. To do this, it compares municipalities with varying shares of foreign-born populations before and after international oil price shocks accelerated forced displacement between 2014 and 2019. The findings show that municipalities with larger foreign-born populations in 1990, which also exhibited greater out-migration from Venezuela after 2014, experienced lower economic development and higher inequality. The paper highlights a new mechanism through which forced displacement facilitates the perpetuation of autocratic rule and hinders development: by weakening political opposition and enabling the growth of organized crime and illicit income sources. Using novel election data, the article finds that areas affected by mass forced displacement experienced lower voter turnout and opposition support, limiting political and social reforms. These areas also witnessed growth in organized crime and foreign non-state drug and human trafficking, which diminished incentives for economic change.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099311301282539013/IDU16c569dbe13693148bc180a7155fdb8e85136
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-11049
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-11049
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/42736
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.publisherWashington, DC: World Bank
dc.relation.ispartofseriesPolicy Research Working Paper; 11049
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.subjectFORCED DISPLACEMENT
dc.subjectELECTORAL OUTCOMES
dc.subjectECONOMIC GROWTH
dc.subjectVENEZUELA
dc.titleForced Displacement, the Perpetuation of Autocratic Leadership, and Development in Origin Countriesen
dc.typeWorking Paper
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.date.disclosure2025-01-28
okr.date.doiregistration2025-04-14T11:50:03.687401Z
okr.date.lastmodified2025-01-28T00:00:00Zen
okr.doctypePolicy Research Working Paper
okr.doctypePublications & Research
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099311301282539013/IDU16c569dbe13693148bc180a7155fdb8e85136
okr.guid099311301282539013
okr.identifier.docmidIDU-6c569dbe-3693-48bc-80a7-55fdb8e85136
okr.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-11049
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum34450381
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum34450381
okr.identifier.reportWPS11049
okr.import.id6441
okr.importedtrueen
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099311301282539013/pdf/IDU16c569dbe13693148bc180a7155fdb8e85136.pdfen
okr.region.administrativeLatin America & Caribbean
okr.region.countryVenezuela, Republica Bolivariana de
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth::Income
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth::Economic Development
okr.topicCommunities and Human Settlements::Human Migrations & Resettlements
okr.unitDECPH:Poverty
okr.unitIneq. & Human Dev (DECPH)
relation.isSeriesOfPublication26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
relation.isSeriesOfPublication.latestForDiscovery26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
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