Publication:
Chinese Imports and Industrialization in Africa: Evidence from Ethiopia

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dc.contributor.authorMavungu, Marina Ngoma
dc.date.accessioned2025-05-12T18:26:19Z
dc.date.available2025-05-12T18:26:19Z
dc.date.issued2025-05-12
dc.description.abstractThe rise of China in the global economy has been linked with negative impacts on employment across many high- and middle-income countries. However, evidence for African countries is limited. This paper investigates the causal relationship between Chinese imports and manufacturing employment in Ethiopia. Imports may harm domestic firms through a revenue effect (lower market shares) or benefit them, indirectly if competition spurs innovation or directly through access to better quality or cheaper inputs. The analysis shows that a one unit increase in import penetration leads to a 15.2 percent increase in industry employment. The inputs effect is disentangled from the other two effects by decomposing total Chinese imports by their end-use category using input-output tables. The evidence shows that imported intermediate inputs are driving the employment gains. The findings are consistent with the idea that employment gains are a result of productivity gains and increases in capacity utilization. These employment gains appear to benefit large firms and labor-intensive industries disproportionately.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099401005122538606
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-11118
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/43179
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.publisherWashington, DC: World Bank
dc.relation.ispartofseriesPolicy Research Working Paper; 11118
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.subjectIMPORTS
dc.subjectINPUTS
dc.subjectMANUFACTURING
dc.subjectETHIOPIA
dc.subjectCHINA
dc.subjectEMPLOYMENT
dc.titleChinese Imports and Industrialization in Africaen
dc.title.subtitleEvidence from Ethiopiaen
dc.typeWorking Paper
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.date.disclosure2025-05-12
okr.date.doiregistration2025-05-14T02:17:35.794089Z
okr.date.lastmodified2025-05-12T16:04:10Zen
okr.doctypePolicy Research Working Paper
okr.doctypePublications & Research
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099401005122538606
okr.guid099401005122538606
okr.identifier.docmidIDU-8d682fe3-57c3-438e-a05d-10df1fb31e62
okr.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-11118
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum40012815
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum40012815
okr.identifier.reportWPS11118
okr.import.id7335
okr.importedtrueen
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttps://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099401005122538606/pdf/IDU-8d682fe3-57c3-438e-a05d-10df1fb31e62.pdfen
okr.region.administrativeAfrica Eastern and Southern (AFE)
okr.region.countryEthiopia
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth::Economic Modeling and Statistics
okr.topicInternational Economics and Trade::Trade Policy
okr.topicInternational Economics and Trade::Trade and Labor
okr.topicIndustry::General Manufacturing
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth::Economic Development
okr.unitDECRG: Finance & Priv Sec Devt (DECFP)
relation.isSeriesOfPublication26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
relation.isSeriesOfPublication.latestForDiscovery26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
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