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COVID-19 Age-Mortality Curves for 2020 Are Flatter in Developing Countries Using Both Official Death Counts and Excess Deaths

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dc.contributor.authorDemombynes, Gabriel
dc.contributor.authorde Walque, Damien
dc.contributor.authorGubbins, Paul
dc.contributor.authorUrdinola, Beatriz Piedad
dc.contributor.authorVeillard, Jeremy
dc.date.accessioned2021-10-28T13:38:56Z
dc.date.available2021-10-28T13:38:56Z
dc.date.issued2021-10
dc.description.abstractUsing official COVID-19 death counts for 64 countries and excess death estimates for 41 countries, this paper finds a higher share of pandemic-related deaths in 2020 were at younger ages in middle-income countries compared to high-income countries. People under age 65 constituted on average (1) 11 percent of both official deaths and excess deaths in high-income countries, (2) 40 percent of official deaths and 37 percent of excess deaths in upper-middle-income countries, and (3) 54 percent of official deaths in lower-middle-income countries. These contrasting profiles are due only in part to differences in population age structure. Both COVID-19 and excess death age-mortality curves are flatter in countries with lower incomes. This is a result of some combination of variation in age patterns of infection rates and infection fatality rates. In countries with very low death rates, excess mortality is substantially negative at older ages, suggesting that pandemic-related precautions have lowered non-COVID-19 deaths. Additionally, the United States has a younger distribution of deaths than countries with similar levels of income.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/undefined/718461634217653573/COVID-19-Age-Mortality-Curves-for-2020-Are-Flatter-in-Developing-Countries-Using-Both-Official-Death-Counts-and-Excess-Deaths
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-9807
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/36425
dc.languageEnglish
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo
dc.subjectCORONAVIRUS
dc.subjectCOVID-19
dc.subjectPANDEMIC IMPACT
dc.subjectEXCESS MORTALITY
dc.titleCOVID-19 Age-Mortality Curves for 2020 Are Flatter in Developing Countries Using Both Official Death Counts and Excess Deathsen
dc.typeWorking Paperen
dc.typeDocument de travailfr
dc.typeDocumento de trabajoes
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.date.disclosure2021-10-14
okr.date.lastmodified2021-10-15T00:00:00Zen
okr.doctypePublications & Research
okr.doctypePublications & Research::Policy Research Working Paper
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/undefined/718461634217653573/COVID-19-Age-Mortality-Curves-for-2020-Are-Flatter-in-Developing-Countries-Using-Both-Official-Death-Counts-and-Excess-Deaths
okr.guid718461634217653573
okr.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-9807
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum090224b088a88e8d_3_0
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum33488834
okr.identifier.reportWPS9807
okr.importedtrueen
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/718461634217653573/pdf/COVID-19-Age-Mortality-Curves-for-2020-Are-Flatter-in-Developing-Countries-Using-Both-Official-Death-Counts-and-Excess-Deaths.pdfen
okr.topicHealth, Nutrition and Population::Disease Control & Prevention
okr.topicHealth, Nutrition and Population::Health Indicators
okr.unitHuman Development Global Practice; and the Development Research Group, Development Economics
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationb5740416-f4ef-5235-974a-47bd257d61a4
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscoveryb5740416-f4ef-5235-974a-47bd257d61a4
relation.isSeriesOfPublication26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
relation.isSeriesOfPublication.latestForDiscovery26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
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