Publication: Uganda - Public Expenditure Review 2022-23: Summary Report - Identifying Options for an Effective and Sustainable Fiscal Adjustment
Loading...
Date
2024-04-18
ISSN
Published
2024-04-18
Author(s)
Editor(s)
Abstract
This public expenditure review (PER) 2022-2023 identifies options for an effective, sustainable, and inclusive fiscal adjustment. It therefore details Uganda’s macro-fiscal challenges and government’s current fiscal policy stance in relation to both the short-term shocks and longer-term structural issues such as demographics and structural transformation; it outlines spending problems in key sectors (e.g., infrastructure and human development) and their impact on efficiency and effectiveness of fiscal policies; and it provides an assessment of the broad options for expenditure rationalization and restructuring. The PER is organized in four modules as follows: (i) Module I identifies broad options for an effective and sustainable fiscal adjustment; (ii) Module II identifies options for enhancing effectiveness, efficiency, and equity of spending in two areas critical for service delivery: (a) public investment management; and (b) the intergovernmental fiscal transfers (IGFT) system, that includes the plans and assumptions underpinning the medium-term plan (MTP) for financing of local service delivery; (iii) Module III identifies options for enhancing spending on human development, by delving into the efficiency, effectiveness, and equity of spending within the education and health sectors; and (iv) Module IV synthesizes the findings and recommendations into a summary report. Chapter 1 presents introduction. Chapter 2 presents identifying broad macro-fiscal options for an effective and sustainable fiscal adjustment. Chapter 3 presents the options for improving effectiveness, efficiency, and equity in critical areas of service delivery, focusing on the systems for intergovernmental fiscal transfers to local governments and management of public investments. Chapter 4 elaborates on the options for enhancing spending for human capital development, focusing on education and health, chapter 5 concludes.
Link to Data Set
Citation
“World Bank. 2024. Uganda - Public Expenditure Review 2022-23: Summary Report - Identifying Options for an Effective and Sustainable Fiscal Adjustment. © World Bank. http://hdl.handle.net/10986/41436 License: CC BY-NC 3.0 IGO.”
Associated URLs
Other publications in this report series
Journal
Journal Volume
Journal Issue
Collections
Related items
Showing items related by metadata.
Publication Uganda - Public Expenditure Review 2022-23(Washington, DC: World Bank, 2024-04-18)This report focuses on Module II(a) related to raising fiscal space through efficiency improvements in public investment management (PIM). The report assessed the performance of the public investment program and how it can have contributed to the evolution of fiscal policy over the last decade. It therefore analyzed the performance of the capital budget and fiscal outcomes; outlined the gaps in public investment management and makes recommendations on the priorities for the next phase of PIM reforms to improve efficiency and create fiscal space. The diagnostic is based on information and evidence gathered through desk reviews of government documents and information gathered through interviews of a wide range of stakeholders within government, nongovernment organizations and academia, conducted during December of 2021 and April 2023.Publication Uganda - Public Expenditure Review 2022-23(Washington, DC: World Bank, 2024-04-18)This report presents a review of the intergovernmental fiscal transfer reforms program (IGFTRP) and its performance since 2015, as part of a broader Public Expenditure Review (PER) that aimed to explore avenues for improving efficiency effectiveness in cross cutting areas of service delivery. The report is based on extensive documentary review, analysis of available data on local government (LG) finances, fieldwork in selected LGs and consultations with national ministries, departments, and agencies (MDAs) involved in the management of the IGFTRP. Ministry of Finance, Planning, and Economic Development (MoFPED) provided data in various forms, and some data was publicly available at its website. It also includes data analysis on aspects of LG financing outside the IGFTRP system, but with implications to its delivery. These aspects include LG Own Source Revenues (OSR), Other Government Transfers (OGT) and External Finance that are captured by LG budgets and reports (available on the MoFPED website).Publication Uganda - Public Expenditure Review 2022-23(Washington, DC: World Bank, 2024-04-18)The Government of Uganda (GoU) with support from the World Bank Group has conducted a Public Expenditure Review (PER) of the health sector as part of the broader PER which also covers macro-fiscal adjustment, education, public investment management, and intergovernmental fiscal transfers. The overall PER seeks to provide evidence on the financing and spending in the country in order to inform the GoU on areas for fiscal savings and expenditure rationalization, raising the equity and efficiency of spending, rebalancing expenditures between hard infrastructure, investments in quality service delivery and human capital development, and strengthening institutional aspects of public financial management. The health component of the PER builds on four pieces of work that have previously been undertaken by the GoU with support from the World Bank that look at public spending on health, efficiency, resource mobilization, and service delivery. These are: (i) the 2008 PER that focused on affordability of pay reform and the health sector; (ii) the 2010 fiscal space for health analysis; (iii) the 2013 service delivery indicator survey in the health and education sectors; and (iv) the 2021 study on raising taxes for improving health in Uganda. The findings from these studies have been used to inform policy and planning. However, some challenges still persist which require more evidence for the GoU to design and implement the most appropriate interventions.Publication Uganda - Public Expenditure Review 2022-23(Washington, DC: World Bank, 2024-04-18)The Uganda Public Expenditure Review (PER) 2022-23 focused on selected aspects of fiscal policy management and outcomes with a view to supporting a fiscal adjustment to a more inclusive growth agenda. This report focuses on Module III (A) which is related to identifying options for enhancing spending efficiency and raising fiscal space to sustain and improve service delivery in Uganda’s education sector. The report assesses the evolution in spending in the education sector over the last decade. It delves into the efficiency, effectiveness, and equity of spending within the education sector, with a view to find ways of improving service provision within the sector.Publication Uganda - Public Expenditure Review 2022-23(Washington, DC: World Bank, 2024-04-18)This module of the Public Expenditure Review (PER) sought to identify options for an effective and sustainable fiscal adjustment by considering key macroeconomic variables, fiscal policy priorities, spending trends, and Uganda’s overall development needs. It has, therefore, detailed Uganda’s macro-fiscal challenges and government’s current fiscal policy stance in relation to both the short-term shocks and longer-term structural issues such as demographics and structural transformation; outlined spending problems in key sectors (e.g., infrastructure and human development) and their impact on efficiency and effectiveness of fiscal policies; and provided an assessment of the broad options for expenditure rationalization and restructuring. The report summarizes the outcome of the analysis together with options for macro-fiscal adjustment and a action plan that includes broad expenditure rationalization measures and the quantification of potential fiscal savings. This module is the first of a four-module PER and is focused on selected aspects of fiscal policy management and outcomes with a view of supporting an effective and sustainable fiscal adjustment to a more inclusive growth agenda. this report is presented in four parts. Chapter 1 gives introduction and country context. Chapter 2 discusses the macro-fiscal developments and changes to overall fiscal management; chapter 3 assesses the expenditure trends and their implication on growth and social outcomes; and chapter 4 relays the results and implications of simulations of the options for fiscal adjustment, before concluding with the final remarks and recommendations.
Users also downloaded
Showing related downloaded files
Publication Unlocking Blue Carbon Development(Washington, DC: World Bank, 2023-09-11)The purpose of this paper is to provide a practical framework to guide governments in catalyzing and scaling up public and private investment in Blue Carbon as part of their blue economy development. It does this by describing in detail a Blue Carbon Readiness Framework, a step-by-step, well-illustrated guide with simple checklists. Client countries can use the illustrations and checklists to determine their readiness to catalyze and scale up investment in blue carbon credit finance. The Blue Carbon Readiness Framework consists of three pillars: 1. Data and Analytics; 2. Policy and Institutions; 3. Finance.Publication Kenya Country Climate and Development Report(Washington, DC: World Bank, 2023-11-16)The Kenya Country Climate and Development Report (CCDR) aims to identify the impact of climate change on Kenya’s economy. Through robust and rigorous analyses that cover climate impact modeling across multiple scenarios and the overall economy, sectoral issues, investment needs and potential sources of financing, the CCDR aims to identify high impact intervention areas that would support climate positive development. Action against climate change is imperative to avoid setting back Kenya’s aspiration of being an upper-middle-income country and reducing poverty in the next decade. In a business-as-usual scenario, inaction under different climate futures could dampen real GDP by 1.25 to 2.4 percent by 2030 and 3.61 to 7.25 percent by 2050 compared to the baseline. Climate impacts Kenya’s human, natural and physical capital and the impacts vary by region. By 2050, no climate action could also result in 1.1 million additional poor compared to the baseline under the pessimistic climate scenario, with communities in the arid and semi-arid areas being most hard-hit. Kenya can also be a key player in the global climate solutions arena if it maintains a low-carbon growth path. Kenya stands out among African and lower-middle-income countries due to its well-diversified and primarily low-carbon energy mix, with about 90 percent of electricity generation coming from renewable resources. Kenya could also generate carbon offsets through large-scale landscape restoration. The CCDR identifies five key action areas that could enable Kenya to meet its growth aspirations in an inclusive and climate-resilient manner. The three multisectoral action areas are: managing water, land, and forest for climate-resilient agriculture and rural economies; delivering people-centered resilience with climate-informed basic services and urbanization; and strengthening Kenya’s competitiveness in international markets through shifts in energy, transport, and digital systems. It is necessary to complement these the three action areas with two crosscutting actions areas - improving integration and coordination of climate action in policy, planning, and investment decision-making across the economy, and developing and operationalizing policy measures for mobilizing climate finance from private and public sector. Implementing these action areas should account for regional differences to climate risk exposure.Publication Tanzania Country Climate and Development Report(Washington, DC: World Bank Group, 2024-12-12)The Country Climate and Development Report (CCDR) for Tanzania identifies the impact of climate change on the country’s economy. The CCDR uses macroeconomic, climate, sectoral, institutional, and financial models to identify the economy’s exposure to climate risks and the opportunities to integrate climate action and development. High poverty levels and dependence on rainfed, low-productivity agriculture leaves Tanzania’s economy vulnerable to climate risks. By 2050, climate change could push an additional 2.6 million people in poverty and force up to 13 million Tanzanians to migrate internally. The CCDR presents how implementation of three multisectoral intervention areas could generate climate-positive, resilient, and inclusive growth in Tanzania by 2050. These are: integrating climate considerations when strengthening human capital and social protection; optimizing land and water use and management to boost agriculture and rural productivity, augment climate resilience, and lower greenhouses gas emissions; and prioritizing resilient and low-carbon transport, energy and digital infrastructure systems in urban areas and different sectors. The CCDR details governance arrangements for effective climate change action, presents investment needs, and describes options for mobilizing financing. Action is needed both to reduce vulnerabilities of Tanzania’s current economy and realize the country’s Vision 2050 goal of a more inclusive and sustainable growth trajectory. Targeted climate action could boost private investment and job creation, enabling Tanzania to meet its development objectives in the face of global risks. Technical background reports prepared for the CCDR are available upon request.Publication Services Unbound(Washington, DC: World Bank, 2024-12-09)Services are a new force for innovation, trade, and growth in East Asia and Pacific. The dramatic diffusion of digital technologies and partial policy reforms in services--from finance, communication, and transport to retail, health, and education--is transforming these economies. The result is higher productivity and changing jobs in the services sector, as well as in the manufacturing sectors that use these services. A region that has thrived through openness to trade and investment in manufacturing still maintains innovation-inhibiting barriers to entry and competition in key services sectors. 'Services Unbound: Digital Technologies and Policy Reform in East Asia and Pacific' makes the case for deeper domestic reforms and greater international cooperation to unleash a virtuous cycle of increased economic opportunity and enhanced human capacity that would power development in the region.Publication Business Ready 2024(Washington, DC: World Bank, 2024-10-03)Business Ready (B-READY) is a new World Bank Group corporate flagship report that evaluates the business and investment climate worldwide. It replaces and improves upon the Doing Business project. B-READY provides a comprehensive data set and description of the factors that strengthen the private sector, not only by advancing the interests of individual firms but also by elevating the interests of workers, consumers, potential new enterprises, and the natural environment. This 2024 report introduces a new analytical framework that benchmarks economies based on three pillars: Regulatory Framework, Public Services, and Operational Efficiency. The analysis centers on 10 topics essential for private sector development that correspond to various stages of the life cycle of a firm. The report also offers insights into three cross-cutting themes that are relevant for modern economies: digital adoption, environmental sustainability, and gender. B-READY draws on a robust data collection process that includes specially tailored expert questionnaires and firm-level surveys. The 2024 report, which covers 50 economies, serves as the first in a series that will expand in geographical coverage and refine its methodology over time, supporting reform advocacy, policy guidance, and further analysis and research.