Publication:
Weathering Shocks: Unraveling the Effects of Short-Term Weather Shocks on Poverty in Paraguay

Simple item page
dc.contributor.authorJanz, Teresa
dc.contributor.authorGassmann, Franziska
dc.contributor.authorde Ervin, Lyliana Gayoso
dc.date.accessioned2024-11-18T15:56:59Z
dc.date.available2024-11-18T15:56:59Z
dc.date.issued2024-11-18
dc.description.abstractIn Paraguay, poverty reduction has stalled since 2014 due to a deceleration in economic growth, which has been argued to be partly due to a series of climate-related events. Nevertheless, little is known about the impacts of climate-related shocks on the poor. This study analyzes the extent to which short-term weather shocks have affected incomes and poverty in Paraguay. It combines data from the yearly household survey series, the Permanent Continuous Household Survey; the fifth generation European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts atmospheric reanalysis of the global climate temperature data; and Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Station data from 2004 to 2019. The research design exploits variation in weather shocks across districts and time, using ordinary least squares pooled regression analysis. The results show that heat shocks led to significant household income reductions: 5 percent in urban areas and up to 8.8 percent in rural areas, on average. Heat shocks also increased poverty by 1.7 and 4.2 percentage points in urban and rural areas, respectively. Floods primarily affected urban areas, increasing poverty by 1.9 percentage points. The impacts vary substantially across regions and household characteristics: female-headed households in rural areas are particularly vulnerable to heat shocks, while households that are active in the primary sector suffer most from both heat and drought shocks. These findings evidence the disproportional impacts of short-term weather shocks on income and poverty across regions and household characteristics. The results highlight the need to consider actions to promote adaptation and climate risk strategies tailored to subpopulations that are vulnerable to climate, to enhance overall resilience in the country.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099331411062421620/IDU18dbff1ed1233a1447c190fc13c8ef3b583e8
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-10970
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/42431
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.publisherWashington, DC: World Bank
dc.relation.ispartofseriesPolicy Research Working Paper; 10970
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.subjectNO POVERTY
dc.subjectSDG 3
dc.subjectCLIMATE ACTION
dc.subjectSDG 13
dc.titleWeathering Shocksen
dc.title.subtitleUnraveling the Effects of Short-Term Weather Shocks on Poverty in Paraguayen
dc.typeWorking Paper
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.crossref.titleWeathering Shocks: Unraveling the Effects of Short-Term Weather Shocks on Poverty in Paraguay
okr.date.disclosure2024-11-18
okr.date.lastmodified2024-11-06T00:00:00Zen
okr.doctypePolicy Research Working Paper
okr.doctypePublications & Research
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099331411062421620/IDU18dbff1ed1233a1447c190fc13c8ef3b583e8
okr.guid099331411062421620
okr.identifier.docmidIDU-8dbff1ed-233a-447c-90fc-3c8ef3b583e8
okr.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-10970
okr.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-10970
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum34418587
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum34418587
okr.identifier.reportWPS10970
okr.import.id5804
okr.importedtrueen
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099331411062421620/pdf/IDU18dbff1ed1233a1447c190fc13c8ef3b583e8.pdfen
okr.region.administrativeLatin America & Caribbean
okr.region.countryParaguay
okr.sectorOther Public Administration
okr.topicEnvironment::Adaptation to Climate Change
okr.topicEnvironment::Climate Change Impacts
okr.topicUrban Development::Transport in Urban Areas
okr.topicRural Development::Rural Roads & Transport
okr.topicPoverty Reduction::Poverty Reduction Strategies
okr.unitEFI-LCR-Regional Director (ELCDR)
okr.unitEFI-AFR1-POV-Poverty and Equity (EAEPV)
relation.isSeriesOfPublication26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
relation.isSeriesOfPublication.latestForDiscovery26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
Files
Original bundle
Now showing 1 - 2 of 2
Thumbnail Image
Name:
IDU18dbff1ed1233a1447c190fc13c8ef3b583e8.pdf
Size:
12.96 MB
Format:
Adobe Portable Document Format
Download
No Thumbnail Available
Name:
IDU18dbff1ed1233a1447c190fc13c8ef3b583e8.txt
Size:
186.62 KB
Format:
Plain Text
Download
License bundle
Now showing 1 - 1 of 1
No Thumbnail Available
Name:
license.txt
Size:
1.71 KB
Format:
Plain Text
Description:
Download
Collections
Policy Research Working Papers