Publication:
A Reappraisal of the Migration-Development Nexus: Testing the Robustness of the Migration Transition Hypothesis

dc.contributor.authorBerthiaume, Nicolas
dc.contributor.authorLeefmans, Naomi
dc.contributor.authorOomes, Nienke
dc.contributor.authorRojas-Romagosa, Hugo
dc.contributor.authorVervliet, Tobias
dc.date.accessioned2021-01-21T17:09:31Z
dc.date.available2021-01-21T17:09:31Z
dc.date.issued2021-01
dc.description.abstractThis paper tests the migration transition hypothesis that emigration flows first increase and later decrease with a country’s economic development. Using a migration version of the gravity model, this hypothesis is tested on a global panel data set comprising 180 origin and destination countries and a 50-year timeframe (1970-2020). This is the most extensive panel data set used so far to test the migration transition hypothesis. The results confirm the existence of an inverted U-shaped relationship between development and emigration within a cross-country panel setting. Nevertheless, the migration hump cannot be interpreted as a causal relationship: for a given low-income country, an increase in economic development is not found to lead to higher emigration. For a subsample of 44 countries that have transitioned from low-income to middle-income status, emigration has rather declined with economic development. The migration transition hypothesis is therefore unfounded. Instead, the migration hump appears to be driven by an underlying cross-sectional pattern that cannot be fully controlled: middle-income countries tend to exhibit higher emigration rates than low- or high-income countries. The findings of this paper have important policy implications: development programs can simultaneously promote economic development and reduce emigration.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/786201611170919983/A-Reappraisal-of-the-Migration-Development-Nexus-Testing-the-Robustness-of-the-Migration-Transition-Hypothesis
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-9518
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/35032
dc.languageEnglish
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relation.ispartofseriesPolicy Research Working Paper;No. 9518
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo
dc.subjectINTERNATIONAL MIGRATION
dc.subjectECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
dc.subjectMIGRATION FLOW
dc.subjectTRADE AND INVESTMENT
dc.subjectLABOR MARKET
dc.subjectGRAVITY MODEL
dc.subjectMIGRATION HUMP
dc.titleA Reappraisal of the Migration-Development Nexusen
dc.title.subtitleTesting the Robustness of the Migration Transition Hypothesisen
dc.typeWorking Paperen
dc.typeDocument de travailfr
dc.typeDocumento de trabajoes
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.crossref.titleA Reappraisal of the Migration-Development Nexus: Testing the Robustness of the Migration Transition Hypothesis
okr.date.disclosure2021-01-20
okr.date.doiregistration2025-04-10T11:31:34.520783Z
okr.doctypePublications & Research
okr.doctypePublications & Research::Policy Research Working Paper
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/786201611170919983/A-Reappraisal-of-the-Migration-Development-Nexus-Testing-the-Robustness-of-the-Migration-Transition-Hypothesis
okr.guid786201611170919983
okr.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-9518
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum090224b0881ea848_1_0
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum32765093
okr.identifier.reportWPS9518
okr.importedtrueen
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/786201611170919983/pdf/A-Reappraisal-of-the-Migration-Development-Nexus-Testing-the-Robustness-of-the-Migration-Transition-Hypothesis.pdfen
okr.statistics.combined2600
okr.statistics.dr786201611170919983
okr.statistics.drstats1877
okr.topicPoverty Reduction::Migration and Development
okr.unitMacroeconomics, Trade and Investment Global Practice
relation.isSeriesOfPublication26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
relation.isSeriesOfPublication.latestForDiscovery26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
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