Publication: A Reappraisal of the Migration-Development Nexus: Testing the Robustness of the Migration Transition Hypothesis
dc.contributor.author | Berthiaume, Nicolas | |
dc.contributor.author | Leefmans, Naomi | |
dc.contributor.author | Oomes, Nienke | |
dc.contributor.author | Rojas-Romagosa, Hugo | |
dc.contributor.author | Vervliet, Tobias | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2021-01-21T17:09:31Z | |
dc.date.available | 2021-01-21T17:09:31Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2021-01 | |
dc.description.abstract | This paper tests the migration transition hypothesis that emigration flows first increase and later decrease with a country’s economic development. Using a migration version of the gravity model, this hypothesis is tested on a global panel data set comprising 180 origin and destination countries and a 50-year timeframe (1970-2020). This is the most extensive panel data set used so far to test the migration transition hypothesis. The results confirm the existence of an inverted U-shaped relationship between development and emigration within a cross-country panel setting. Nevertheless, the migration hump cannot be interpreted as a causal relationship: for a given low-income country, an increase in economic development is not found to lead to higher emigration. For a subsample of 44 countries that have transitioned from low-income to middle-income status, emigration has rather declined with economic development. The migration transition hypothesis is therefore unfounded. Instead, the migration hump appears to be driven by an underlying cross-sectional pattern that cannot be fully controlled: middle-income countries tend to exhibit higher emigration rates than low- or high-income countries. The findings of this paper have important policy implications: development programs can simultaneously promote economic development and reduce emigration. | en |
dc.identifier | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/786201611170919983/A-Reappraisal-of-the-Migration-Development-Nexus-Testing-the-Robustness-of-the-Migration-Transition-Hypothesis | |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1596/1813-9450-9518 | |
dc.identifier.uri | https://hdl.handle.net/10986/35032 | |
dc.language | English | |
dc.publisher | World Bank, Washington, DC | |
dc.relation.ispartofseries | Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9518 | |
dc.rights | CC BY 3.0 IGO | |
dc.rights.holder | World Bank | |
dc.rights.uri | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo | |
dc.subject | INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION | |
dc.subject | ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT | |
dc.subject | MIGRATION FLOW | |
dc.subject | TRADE AND INVESTMENT | |
dc.subject | LABOR MARKET | |
dc.subject | GRAVITY MODEL | |
dc.subject | MIGRATION HUMP | |
dc.title | A Reappraisal of the Migration-Development Nexus | en |
dc.title.subtitle | Testing the Robustness of the Migration Transition Hypothesis | en |
dc.type | Working Paper | en |
dc.type | Document de travail | fr |
dc.type | Documento de trabajo | es |
dspace.entity.type | Publication | |
okr.crossref.title | A Reappraisal of the Migration-Development Nexus: Testing the Robustness of the Migration Transition Hypothesis | |
okr.date.disclosure | 2021-01-20 | |
okr.date.doiregistration | 2025-04-10T11:31:34.520783Z | |
okr.doctype | Publications & Research | |
okr.doctype | Publications & Research::Policy Research Working Paper | |
okr.docurl | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/786201611170919983/A-Reappraisal-of-the-Migration-Development-Nexus-Testing-the-Robustness-of-the-Migration-Transition-Hypothesis | |
okr.guid | 786201611170919983 | |
okr.identifier.doi | 10.1596/1813-9450-9518 | |
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum | 090224b0881ea848_1_0 | |
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum | 32765093 | |
okr.identifier.report | WPS9518 | |
okr.imported | true | en |
okr.language.supported | en | |
okr.pdfurl | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/786201611170919983/pdf/A-Reappraisal-of-the-Migration-Development-Nexus-Testing-the-Robustness-of-the-Migration-Transition-Hypothesis.pdf | en |
okr.statistics.combined | 2600 | |
okr.statistics.dr | 786201611170919983 | |
okr.statistics.drstats | 1877 | |
okr.topic | Poverty Reduction::Migration and Development | |
okr.unit | Macroeconomics, Trade and Investment Global Practice | |
relation.isSeriesOfPublication | 26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87 | |
relation.isSeriesOfPublication.latestForDiscovery | 26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87 |
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