Publication:
After Big Droughts Come Big Cities: Does Drought Drive Urbanization?

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dc.contributor.authorChlouba, Vladimir
dc.contributor.authorMukim, Megha
dc.contributor.authorZaveri, Esha
dc.date.accessioned2023-04-19T16:46:53Z
dc.date.available2023-04-19T16:46:53Z
dc.date.issued2023-04-19
dc.description.abstractExisting research points to a possible link between slow-onset symptoms of climate change and migration. It is also known that rates of urbanization are fastest in some of the world’s poorest countries, which are incidentally also at greater risk of climate-induced migration. These separate findings suggest that slow-onset climate phenomena such as droughts have likely become a key driver of urbanization across much of the developing world. While intuitive, this link has not been convincingly established by extant research. This study examines the climate-urbanization nexus by constructing a novel measure of urban growth that uses remotely sensed information from the World Settlement Footprint dataset. Relying on panel data that cover the entire globe between 1985 and 2014, the paper shows that drought leads to faster urban growth. The results indicate that a hypothetical drought lasting 12 months is associated with a 27 percent increase in the average annual increment of built-up area. The paper leverages novel data from several Sahelian cities to illustrate that much of this growth takes the form of non-infill development that extends outward from previously built-up localities.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099710504122341303/IDU0233f5aa1021c7042440a9ae0da34cc4b0caf
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-10408
dc.identifier.urihttps://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/39712
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relation.ispartofseriesPolicy Research Working Papers; 10408
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.subjectDROUGHT
dc.subjectURBANIZATION
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectMIGRATION
dc.subjectRESILIENCE AND LAND
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ON MIGRATION
dc.titleAfter Big Droughts Come Big Citiesen
dc.title.subtitleDoes Drought Drive Urbanization?en
dc.typeWorking Paper
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.crossref.titleAfter Big Droughts Come Big Cities: Does Drought Drive Urbanization?
okr.date.disclosure2023-04-12
okr.date.lastmodified2023-04-12T00:00:00Zen
okr.doctypePolicy Research Working Paper
okr.doctypePublications & Research
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099710504122341303/IDU0233f5aa1021c7042440a9ae0da34cc4b0caf
okr.guid099710504122341303
okr.identifier.docmidIDU-233f5aa1-21c7-4244-a9ae-da34cc4b0caf
okr.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-10408
okr.identifier.doihttp://dx.doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-10408
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum34040228
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum34040228
okr.identifier.reportWPS10408
okr.import.id465
okr.importedtrueen
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099710504122341303/pdf/IDU0233f5aa1021c7042440a9ae0da34cc4b0caf.pdfen
okr.region.geographicalWorld
okr.topicSocial Development::Social Aspects of Climate Change
okr.topicEnvironment::Adaptation to Climate Change
okr.topicPublic Sector Development::Climate Change Policy and Regulation
okr.topicUrban Development::Urban Economic Development
okr.topicUrban Development::Urban Economics
okr.unitUrban ECA (SCAUR)
okr.unitGlobal Solutions Water (SWAGL)
relation.isAuthorOfPublication2363a65c-510b-5157-ac5a-d99b47f34e19
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery2363a65c-510b-5157-ac5a-d99b47f34e19
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