World Bank2015-08-192015-08-192015-03https://hdl.handle.net/10986/22505Effective January 1, 2015, Indonesia’s new government took the decisive step of implementing a new fuel pricing system, dramatically reducing gasoline and diesel subsidy costs. This paved the way for the government’s first budget, passed in February, to shift spending towards development priorities, especially infrastructure, the allocation for which is double the 2014 outturn. Successful implementation of the bold vision of the budget, however, will require overcoming administrative constraints to spending and dramatically lifting revenue collection performance. Achieving this, and having the benefits flow through into faster economic growth and poverty reduction, is likely to take time, especially with the pace of sustainable economic growth having slowed, due partly to lower commodity prices. Beyond the fiscal sector, reforms taken in the first months of the government’s term in key areas such as investment licensing also face complex challenges to make operational. The government has signaled its strong reform intentions, and raised expectations. Early progress will now need to be consolidated by effectively implementing major reforms and the budget posture, against a still-challenging global economic backdrop for Indonesia.en-USCC BY 3.0 IGOTOTAL REVENUEPURCHASE PRICEMONETARY POLICYRISKSGOVERNMENT EXPENDITURESECONOMIC GROWTHCOMMODITY EXPORTPRICE LEVELSPRODUCTIONPRICE INCREASESDEFLATIONPHILLIPS CURVEINCOMEMACROECONOMIC MANAGEMENTPROJECTIONSEXPECTATIONSINTEREST RATEREAL GDPEXCHANGECORPORATE PROFITSGDP PER CAPITALIQUIDITYEXPORTSPRODUCTION INCREASESPORTFOLIOFISCAL POLICYWELFARERISK PREMIUMBONDSGROSS VALUEINCENTIVESMACROECONOMIC CONDITIONSVARIABLESPRICINGSUBSIDYPRICEBENCHMARKSINPUTSRETURNS TO SCALEPAYMENTSWEALTHCENTRAL BANKSINFLATIONTRENDSCENTRAL BANKMARKET PARTICIPANTSDEVELOPMENTMACROECONOMIC STABILITYTRADE BALANCETOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITYCOSTSEXPORT GROWTHRENTCONSTANT RETURNS TO SCALEPRODUCTIVITYCRITERIADEBTMARKETSNET EXPORTSPOTENTIAL OUTPUTTRADE POLICYTAX REVENUESREAL INTEREST RATEINVENTORIESNATURAL RESOURCESBANK CREDITAVERAGINGGROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCTSUBSIDIESCOMMODITY PRICETAXESFISCAL DEFICITPROFIT MARGINUNEMPLOYMENTINCOME TAXESCOMMODITY EXPORTSPRODUCTIVITY GROWTHCONSUMPTIONGROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATIONHUMAN CAPITALOPPORTUNITY COSTCAPITALWAGESWHOLESALE PRICESECONOMIC OUTCOMESUNEMPLOYMENT RATEFINANCIAL CRISISVALUECOMPETITIVENESSCREDITMACROECONOMICSTRADE DEFICITDEMANDAGGREGATE DEMANDEXCESS DEMANDECONOMYAGRICULTURECONSUMERSMEASUREMENTSHARESBENCHMARKMONETARY POLICIESPRODUCTION FUNCTIONOUTPUTGOVERNANCETAXATIONTRADEGOVERNMENT BONDSGDPECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONSGOODSECONOMIES OF SCALEBANK LOANSFINANCIAL MARKETGROWTH RATEECONOMIC EXPANSIONINVESTMENTNATURAL RESOURCESHARECOMPARATIVE ADVANTAGEECONOMIC INFORMATIONSUPPLYECONOMIC TRENDSREVENUECONSUMER PRICE INDEXTOTAL OUTPUTGDP DEFLATORCOMMODITY PRICESOUTCOMESCOMMODITYPRICESBENEFITSPRODUCTION COSTSDEVELOPMENT POLICYIndonesia Economic Quarterly, March 2015ReportWorld BankHigh Expectations10.1596/22505