Walmsley, TerrieAguiar, AngelAhmed, S. Amer2014-02-042014-02-042013-10https://hdl.handle.net/10986/16858East and Southeast Asia face major demographic changes over the next few decades as many countries' labor forces will start to decline, while others will experience higher labor force growth as populations and participation rates increase. A well-managed labor migration strategy presents itself as a mechanism for ameliorating the impending labor shortages in some East-Asia Pacific countries, while providing an opportunity for other countries with excess labor to provide migrant workers that will contribute to the development of the home country through greater remittance flows. Although migration would be unable to offset the economic impacts of the declining labor forces in the countries with shrinking populations, a more flexible migration policy, allowing migrants to respond to the major demographic changes occurring in Asia over the next 50 years, would be beneficial to most economies in the region in terms of real incomes and real gross domestic product over the 2007-2050 period. Such a policy could deeply affect the net migration position of a country. Countries that were net recipients under current migration policies might become net senders under the more liberal policy regime.en-USCC BY 3.0 IGOADBAGEING POPULATIONSANNUAL GROWTHAVERAGE WAGESBENEFICIAL EFFECTSCAPITA INCOMECAPITAL ACCUMULATIONCAPITAL INFLOWSCAPITAL MOBILITYCAPITAL STOCKCOUNTRIES OF ORIGINCOUNTRY OF ORIGINDEMOGRAPHIC CHANGEDEMOGRAPHIC CHANGESDEMOGRAPHIC FACTORSDEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITIONDEPENDENCY RATIOSDEVELOPMENT POLICYDOMESTIC WORKERSDRIVERSECONOMIC ANALYSISECONOMIC GROWTHECONOMIC IMPLICATIONSECONOMICSEMPLOYMENT OPPORTUNITIESEMPLOYMENT RATEEMPLOYMENT STATUSEXCESS DEMANDEXTERNALITIESFEMALE LABORFEMALE LABOR FORCEFERTILITYFERTILITY RATESFLOWS OF PEOPLEFOREIGN LABORFOREIGN OWNERSHIPFOREIGN WORKERSGENERAL EQUILIBRIUMGLOBAL ECONOMYGLOBAL MARKETGROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCTGROWTH OF LABORGROWTH PATHGROWTH RATEGROWTH RATESGROWTH RESIDUALHIGH WAGEHIGH-POPULATION COUNTRIESHOST COUNTRYHOST GOVERNMENTILLEGAL IMMIGRATIONIMMIGRATIONIMMIGRATION POLICYIMMIGRATION REFORMIMPACT OF MIGRATIONINCOMEINCREASE IN CAPITALINTENSIVE INDUSTRIESINTERNATIONAL MIGRATIONINTERNATIONAL MIGRATION POLICIESJOBSLABOR DEMANDLABOR FORCELABOR FORCE GROWTHLABOR FORCE PARTICIPATIONLABOR FORCESLABOR MANAGEMENTLABOR MARKETLABOR MIGRATIONLABOR MOBILITYLABOR MOVEMENTLABOR MOVEMENTSLABOR POLICIESLABOR PRODUCTIVITYLABOR SHORTAGESLABOR SUPPLYLABOURLABOUR SUPPLYMEATMIGRANTMIGRANT LABORMIGRANT WORKERSMIGRANTSMIGRATIONMIGRATION DATAMIGRATION FLOWSMIGRATION POLICIESMIGRATION POLICYMORTALITYNATIONAL COUNCILNATIONAL POPULATIONSNATIONALSNUMBER OF MIGRANTSNUMBER OF PEOPLENUMBER OF WORKERSOCCUPATIONSPEACEPOLICY DISCUSSIONSPOLICY FRAMEWORKPOLICY REGIMEPOLICY RESEARCHPOLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPERPOLICY RESPONSEPOPULATION AND DEVELOPMENTPOPULATION CONFERENCEPOPULATION DYNAMICSPOPULATION FORECASTSPOPULATION STUDIESPOPULATION VARIABLESPROGRESSRATE OF POPULATION GROWTHREAL INCOMEREAL WAGEREAL WAGESREMITTANCEREMITTANCESRENTSRETIREMENTRETURN MIGRATIONRETURN ON INVESTMENTRETURN TO CAPITALRURAL AREASSKILL SHORTAGESSKILL TYPESKILLED LABORSKILLED MIGRANTSSKILLED WORKERSKILLED WORKERSSOCIAL COMMISSIONSOCIAL POLICYSOCIAL SERVICESSTATISTICAL ANALYSESTECHNOLOGICAL CHANGETEMPORARY MIGRATIONTRADITIONAL FAMILYTRANSPORTUNDOCUMENTED MIGRANTUNDOCUMENTED MIGRATIONUNEMPLOYMENTUNSKILLED LABORUNSKILLED WORKERUNSKILLED WORKERSURBAN AREASURBAN MIGRATIONWAGE DIFFERENTIALSWAGE RATEWORKERWORKFORCEWORLD POPULATIONWorld Bank10.1596/1813-9450-6643