Hertel, Thomas W.Winters, L. Alan2012-06-192012-06-192005-10https://hdl.handle.net/10986/8411This paper reports on the findings from a major international research project investigating the poverty impacts of a potential Doha Development Agenda (DDA). It combines in a novel way the results from several strands of research. Intensive analysis of the DDA Framework Agreement pays particularly close attention to potential reforms in agriculture. The scenarios are built up using newly available tariff line data and their implications for world markets are established using a global modeling framework. These world trade impacts, in turn, form the basis for 12 country case studies of the national poverty impacts of these DDA scenarios. The focus countries include Bangladesh, Brazil (two studies), Cameroon, China (two studies), Indonesia, Mexico, Mozambique, the Philippines, Russia, and Zambia. The diversity of approaches taken in these studies allows the paper to reflect local conditions and priorities and illustrates many important facets of the trade and poverty link. It does, however, limit the ability to draw broader conclusions. Thus an additional study provides a 15-country cross-section analysis, and a global analysis provides estimates for the world as a whole.CC BY 3.0 IGOAGRICULTURAL EXPORTSAGRICULTURAL EXTENSIONAGRICULTURAL PRODUCTSAGRICULTURAL SECTORAGRICULTURAL SUPPORTAGRICULTURAL TRADEAPPARELAPPAREL SECTORAPPLIED TARIFFAVERAGE INCOMEAVERAGE TARIFFSBALANCE OF PAYMENTSBENCHMARKCAPITAL MARKETCASE STUDIESCASE STUDYCHANGES IN TRADECONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORKCONSUMERSCOUNTRY CASECOUNTRY DATACOUNTRY LEVELDEMAND ELASTICITIESDEVELOPED COUNTRIESDEVELOPING COUNTRIESDEVELOPING COUNTRYDEVELOPING WORLDDEVELOPMENT ECONOMICSDEVELOPMENT EFFORTSDEVELOPMENT GOALSDISAGGREGATED LEVELDISPOSABLE INCOMEDOMESTIC MARKETDOMESTIC TAX SYSTEMDUMPINGECONOMETRIC ESTIMATESECONOMIC ACTIVITYECONOMIC CONSEQUENCESECONOMIC GROWTHECONOMIC OUTCOMESECONOMICS RESEARCHEDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENTEMPLOYMENT IN AGRICULTUREEXPORT SUBSIDIESEXPORT VOLUMESEXPORTSFACTOR ENDOWMENTSFACTOR PRICEFARM HOUSEHOLDSFARM PRODUCTSFARM SECTORFARMERSFINANCIAL SUPPORTFOOD AIDFOOD EXPORTSFOOD PRICESFOOD PRODUCTSFOOD SECURITYFULL LIBERALIZATIONGENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODELGINI INDEXGLOBAL COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUMGLOBAL ECONOMYGLOBAL MARKETPLACEGLOBAL MARKETSGLOBAL POVERTYGLOBAL TRADEGOVERNMENT SUBSIDIESGROWTH POTENTIALHIGH INCOME COUNTRIESHOUSEHOLD INCOMEHOUSEHOLD LEVELHOUSEHOLD SURVEYSHOUSEHOLD WELFAREIMPACT OF TRADEIMPACT ON POVERTYINCOMEINCOME COUNTRIESINCOME DISTRIBUTIONINCOME GAINSINCOME INEQUALITYINCOME LEVELSINCOME SHAREINCOME SHARESINCREASED DEMANDINDIVIDUAL COUNTRIESINEQUALITYINFORMAL SECTORINTERNATIONAL PRICESINTERNATIONAL TRADELABOR FORCELABOR MARKETLABOR MARKETSLDCSLOCAL CONDITIONSLONG TERMLOST TARIFF REVENUEMARKET ACCESSMIDDLE INCOME COUNTRIESMULTILATERAL TRADEMULTILATERAL TRADE LIBERALIZATIONMULTILATERAL TRADE REFORMNATIONAL POVERTYNET EXPORTERNON-POOR HOUSEHOLDSPATTERN OF TRADEPATTERNS OF TRADEPER CAPITA INCOMEPOLICY ANALYSISPOLICY REFORMSPOLICY RESEARCHPOORPOOR COUNTRIESPOOR HOUSEHOLDSPOOR INFRASTRUCTUREPOVERTY ALLEVIATIONPOVERTY ANALYSISPOVERTY ASSESSMENTPOVERTY HEADCOUNTPOVERTY INCIDENCEPOVERTY INCIDENCE ACROSS REGIONSPOVERTY INCREASEPOVERTY OUTCOMESPOVERTY POLICIESPOVERTY REDUCTIONPRICE INCREASESPUBLIC FUNDSREAL INCOMEREAL WAGESREGIONALISMRICH COUNTRIESRURALRURAL AREASRURAL HOUSEHOLDSRURAL LABORRURAL POVERTYRURAL PRODUCERSRURAL REGIONSSECTOR EMPLOYMENTSIGNIFICANT FACTORSPECIALIZATIONSTANDARD DEVIATIONSTATIC ANALYSISSURPLUS LABORTARIFF LEVELSTARIFF RATESTAX REVENUESTAXATIONTRADE AGREEMENTSTRADE FACILITATIONTRADE LIBERALIZATIONTRADE POLICIESTRADE POLICYTRADE REFORMTRADE REFORMSTRADE VOLUMESTRANSPORT COSTSUNEMPLOYMENTUNEMPLOYMENT RATEURBAN AREASURBAN HOUSEHOLDSURBAN POORURBAN POPULATIONURBAN WORKERSURUGUAY ROUNDWELFARE IMPACTSWORLD MARKETSWORLD PRICESWORLD TRADEWORLD TRADE ORGANIZATIONWTOWorld Bank10.1596/1813-9450-3757