Valenzuela, ErnestoAnderson, KymJackson, Lee Ann2012-06-212012-06-212006-05https://hdl.handle.net/10986/8663The authors provide estimates of the economic impact of initial adoption of genetically modified (GM) cotton and of its potential impacts beyond the few countries where it is currently common. They use the latest version of the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) database and model. The results suggest that by following the lead of China and South Africa, adoption of GM cotton varieties by other developing countries-especially in Sub-Saharan Africa-could provide even larger proportionate gains to farmer and national welfare than in those first-adopting countries. Furthermore, the estimated gains are shown to exceed those from a successful campaign under the World Trade Organization's Doha Development Agenda to reduce and remove cotton subsidies and import tariffs globally.CC BY 3.0 IGOADVERSE EFFECTSAGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIONAGRICULTURAL SUBSIDIESAGRICULTUREAIR POLLUTIONANIMALANIMAL HEALTHBILATERAL TRADEBIOTECHNOLOGYCGIARCLOTHINGCOMPARATIVE ADVANTAGECONSTANT RETURNS TO SCALECORNCOTTONCOTTON INDUSTRYCOTTON PRODUCTIONCOTTON SECTORCROPCROP VARIETIESCROPSDEVELOPMENT ECONOMICSECONOMIC EFFECTSECONOMIC IMPACTECONOMIC INTEGRATIONECONOMIC PERFORMANCEECONOMIC STRUCTURESECONOMIC WELFAREECONOMICSENVIRONMENTALEQUILIBRIUMEQUIVALENT VARIATIONEXPORTSEXTERNALITIESFAOFARMFARMERFARMERSFARMINGFIBERSFLAXFOOD CROPSFOOD SAFETYFOOD SAFETY ISSUESGDPGENERAL EQUILIBRIUM ANALYSISGENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODELIMPORTSINCOMEINTERMEDIATE INPUTSLATIN AMERICANMAIZEMARKET DISTORTIONSMILLMILL WASTENET EXPORTSPERFECT COMPETITIONPESTICIDEPLANTINGPRODUCERSPRODUCTIVITYPROPERTY RIGHTSQUOTASSEEDSEED COMPANIESSEED COTTONSEEDSSMALL FARMERSSOIL HEALTHSOYBEANSPRINGSUB-SAHARAN AFRICATECHNOLOGY ADOPTIONTERMS OF TRADETEXTILETEXTILE INDUSTRYTEXTILESTOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITYTRADE POLICYURUGUAY ROUNDVALUE ADDEDWELFARE EFFECTSWORLD TRADE ORGANIZATIONWTOYIELDSRecent and Prospective Adoption of Genetically Modified Cotton : A Global CGE Analysis of Economic ImpactsWorld Bank10.1596/1813-9450-3917