van der Mensbrugghe, DominiqueAnderson, KymMartin, Will2012-06-152012-06-152005-06https://hdl.handle.net/10986/8174This paper examines whether the Sub-Saharan African economies could gain from multilateral trade reform in the presence of trade preferences. The World Bank's LINKAGE model of the global economy is employed to examine the impact first of current trade barriers and agricultural subsidies, and then of possible outcomes from the WTO's Doha round. The results suggest moving to free global merchandise trade would boost real incomes in Sub-Saharan Africa proportionately more than in other developing countries or in high-income countries, despite a terms of trade loss in parts of the region. Farm employment and output, the real value of agricultural and food exports, the real returns to farm land and unskilled labor, and real net farm incomes would all rise in the region, thereby alleviating poverty. A Doha partial liberalization of both agricultural and nonagricultural trade could significantly benefit the region.CC BY 3.0 IGOAGGREGATE IMPORTSAGRICULTURAL EXPORT SUBSIDIESAGRICULTURAL MARKETSAGRICULTURAL OUTPUTAGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIONAGRICULTURAL PRODUCTSAGRICULTURAL PROTECTIONAGRICULTURAL SECTORAGRICULTURAL SUBSIDIESAGRICULTURAL SUPPORTAGRICULTURAL TRADEAGRICULTUREAPPLIED TARIFFAVERAGE TARIFFSBASE YEARBENCHMARKBILATERAL TRADECAPITAL ACCOUNTCAPITAL ACCUMULATIONCAPITAL GOODSCONCESSIONSCONSTANT RETURNS TO SCALECONSUMER PRICE INDEXCONSUMERSCOUNTRY CASE STUDYCOUNTRY MARKETSCURRENT ACCOUNTCURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCEDEVELOPED COUNTRIESDEVELOPING COUNTRIESDEVELOPING COUNTRYDEVELOPMENT AIDDOMESTIC CONSUMPTIONDOMESTIC PRODUCTIONDOMESTIC PRODUCTION SUBSIDIESECONOMIC ANALYSISECONOMIC GROWTHECONOMIC SECTORSECONOMIC WELFAREELASTICITIESELASTICITYEMPIRICAL ANALYSISEMPLOYMENTEQUIVALENT VARIATIONEXPORT PRICEEXPORT PRICESEXPORT SUBSIDIESEXPORT TAXESEXTREME POVERTYFARM HOUSEHOLDSFARMSFOOD EXPORTSFOOD INDUSTRYFREE ACCESSFULL EMPLOYMENTFULL LIBERALIZATIONGDPGENERALIZED SYSTEM OF PREFERENCESGLOBAL COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUMGLOBAL EXPORTSGLOBAL FREE TRADEGLOBAL TRADEGLOBAL TRADE ANALYSISHEADCOUNT INDEXHIGH TARIFFSHOUSEHOLD SURVEYHOUSEHOLD SURVEYSIMPORT BARRIERSIMPORT INCREASESIMPORT PRICESIMPORT TARIFFIMPORT TARIFFSINCOMEINCOME COUNTRIESINCOME HOUSEHOLDSINCREASED ACCESSINDIVIDUAL COUNTRIESINTERMEDIATE GOODSINTERNATIONAL MARKETSINTERNATIONAL PRICESINTERNATIONAL TERMSITCLORENZ CURVEMARKET ACCESSMARKET POWERMULTILATERAL NEGOTIATIONSMULTILATERAL TRADEMULTILATERAL TRADE NEGOTIATIONSMULTILATERAL TRADE REFORMNET EXPORTERNET EXPORTERSNON-TARIFF BARRIERSPATTERN OF TRADEPERFECT COMPETITIONPOLICY ANALYSISPOLICY CHANGESPOLICY IMPLICATIONSPOLICY RESEARCHPOOR LIVINGPOVERTY ALLEVIATIONPRICE CHANGESPRICE INDEXPRODUCERSPRODUCT DIFFERENTIATIONPRODUCT MARKETSPRODUCTION TECHNOLOGYPRODUCTIVITYPROTECTION DATAPROTECTION POLICIESPROTECTION RATESQUOTASREAL EXCHANGE RATEREAL INCOMERESEARCH INSTITUTIONSRULES OF ORIGINSAVINGSSUB-SAHARAN AFRICATARIFF BARRIERSTARIFF PREFERENCESTARIFF RATETARIFF REFORMTARIFF REVENUESTAXATIONTECHNOLOGICAL PROGRESSTERMS OF TRADETERMS OF TRADE LOSSTRADE BALANCETRADE BARRIERSTRADE DATATRADE EFFECTTRADE FACILITATIONTRADE FLOWSTRADE LIBERALIZATIONTRADE LOSSESTRADE MODELSTRADE NEGOTIATIONSTRADE PATTERNSTRADE POLICIESTRADE POLICYTRADE PREFERENCE ARRANGEMENTSTRADE PREFERENCESTRADE REFORMSUNEMPLOYMENTUNSKILLED LABORUNSKILLED WORKERSURUGUAY ROUNDVALUE ADDEDWAGESWELFARE GAINSWELFARE IMPACTSWORLD TRADEWORLD TRADE ORGANIZATIONWTOWorld Bank10.1596/1813-9450-3616