Dvorak, IrinaCervigni, RaffaelloRogers, John AllenCervigni, RaffaelloRogers, John AllenDvorak, Irina2013-09-242013-09-242013-01-01978-0-8213-9973-610.1596/978-0-8213-9973-6https://hdl.handle.net/10986/15797The Federal Government of Nigeria (FGN) and the World Bank have agreed to carry out a Climate Change Assessment (CCA) within the framework of the Bank's Country Partnership Strategy (CPS) for Nigeria (2010-13). The CCA includes an analysis of options for low-carbon development in selected sectors, including power, oil and gas, transport, and agriculture. The goal of the low-carbon analysis is to define likely trends in carbon emissions up to 2035, based on government sector development plans, and to identify opportunities for achieving equivalent development objectives with a reduced carbon footprint. This study comprises the following components: (i) development of a reference scenario of greenhouse gas (GHG) net emissions for the agriculture sector, consistent with vision 20: 2020 and other government plans; (ii) identification of opportunities for reduced net emissions- reduced emissions and or enhanced carbon sequestration- while achieving the same development objectives as in the reference scenario; and (iii) economic assessment of low-carbon options in order to help the Nigerian government to prioritize policy options. The study evaluates costs and benefits in a partial equilibrium setting, with no attempt to capture the indirect, general equilibrium effects of adopting low-carbon technologies or management practices. The results of this analysis (the first of its kind in Nigeria) should be considered as a first approximation of the potential for low-carbon development in the Nigerian agriculture sector. The study aims at providing policy makers with an order-of-magnitude estimate of mitigation potential, and an understanding of the value of dedicating further efforts (including through specific projects) at pursuing low-carbon development in agriculture, but is not meant to inform the design of specific, project-level interventions.en-USCC BY 3.0 IGOABATEMENT POTENTIALAFFORESTATIONAGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIONAIRAIR CONDITIONERSAIR QUALITYALTERNATIVE FUELSANNUAL EMISSIONSATMOSPHEREBIOMASSBUSBUS SERVICESCAPITAL COSTCAPITAL COSTSCARCAR OWNERSHIPCARBON ABATEMENTCARBON BALANCECARBON CAPTURECARBON DIOXIDECARBON EMISSIONCARBON EMISSIONSCARBON FINANCECARBON FOOTPRINTCARBON INTENSITYCARBON MARKETCARBON MARKETSCARBON POLICIESCARBON PRICECARBON TECHNOLOGIESCARBON TRANSPORTCENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICTCH4CITY TRANSPORTCLEAN DEVELOPMENT MECHANISMCLEAN TECHNOLOGYCLIMATECLIMATE ANALYSIS INDICATORSCLIMATE CHANGECLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATIONCLIMATE RESILIENCECLIMATE VARIABILITYCLIMATIC CONDITIONSCOCO2COALCOLORSCONDITIONERSCONGESTIONCOST SAVINGSDECISION MAKINGDEFORESTATIONDEMAND FOR TRANSPORTDEMAND FOR TRANSPORT SERVICESDIESELECONOMIC ANALYSISECONOMIC BENEFITSECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTECONOMIC EQUILIBRIUMECONOMIC GROWTHECONOMIC SECTORSECONOMICSELECTRICITYELECTRICITY CONSUMPTIONELECTRICITY DEMANDELECTRICITY GENERATIONELECTRICITY SECTORELECTRICITY SUPPLYEMISSIONEMISSION REDUCTIONEMISSION REDUCTIONSEMISSIONS FROM LAND USEEMISSIONS FROM LAND USE CHANGEEMISSIONS LEVELSEMISSIONS REDUCTIONEMISSIONS REDUCTIONSENERGY EFFICIENCYENERGY MIXENERGY PRODUCTIONENERGY SAVINGSENERGY SECURITYENERGY SOURCESENVIRONMENTALENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATIONENVIRONMENTAL POLICIESEQUILIBRIUMEXPENDITURESFARMSFEASIBILITYFINANCIAL INCENTIVESFINANCIAL MARKETSFINANCIAL SUPPORTFLEET MANAGEMENTFOOD POLICY RESEARCHFORESTRYFORESTSFOSSIL FUELFRAMEWORK CONVENTION ON CLIMATE CHANGEFREIGHTFREIGHT HANDLINGFREIGHT MANAGEMENTFREIGHT TRANSPORTFUEL CONSUMPTIONFUEL COSTSFUEL EFFICIENCYFUEL OILFUEL SAVINGSFUEL TYPEFUELSFUGITIVE EMISSIONSGASGAS FLARINGGAS PRICESGAS PRODUCTIONGAS SECTORGAS SUPPLYGAS TURBINEGAS TURBINESGENERATION CAPACITYGENERATION MIXGHGGHGSGLOBAL ENVIRONMENT FACILITYGLOBAL WARMINGGLOBAL WARMING POTENTIALGREENHOUSEGREENHOUSE GASGREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONSGREENHOUSE GASESGREENHOUSE WARMINGGWPHFCSHIGH CAR OWNERSHIPHISTORICAL EMISSIONHISTORICAL EMISSIONSIMPACT OF TRANSPORTIMPORTSINSOLATIONINSPECTIONINTEGRATED TRANSPORT PLANNINGIPCCIRRADIATIONJOBSLAND DEGRADATIONLAND MANAGEMENTLAND USELAND USE CHANGELIQUEFIED NATURAL GASLIQUEFIED PETROLEUM GASLNGLOW-CARBONLOWER CARBON EMISSIONSMARGINAL ABATEMENTMARGINAL ABATEMENT COSTMARGINAL ABATEMENT COSTSMARGINAL COSTMASS TRANSITMEANS OF TRANSPORTMILEAGEMINESMINISTRY OF TRANSPORTMODAL SHIFTMONETARY BENEFITSN2ONATIONAL INCOMENATURAL GASNATURAL RESOURCESO&MOIL PRODUCTIONPASSENGER TRANSPORTPASTURESPETROLEUM PRODUCTSPFCSPHOTOVOLTAICSPHYSICSPOLICY RELEVANCEPORTFOLIOPOWER GENERATIONPOWER PLANTSPOWER SECTORPOWER TECHNOLOGIESPREFERENTIAL ACCESSPRESENT VALUEPRIVATE CAR OWNERSHIPPROVEN RESERVESPSCPSCSPUBLIC TRANSPORTPURCHASING POWERQUANTITATIVE ANALYSISRAILRAIL SERVICESRAINFALLRAPID TRANSITRATES OF DEFORESTATIONRENEWABLE ENERGYRENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCESRESETTLEMENTROADROAD INFRASTRUCTUREROAD TRANSPORTROAD VEHICLESSCENARIOSSF6SMALL HYDROPOWERSOLAR POWERSOLAR RADIATIONSTORMSSUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENTSUSTAINABLE GROWTHTAXTECHNOLOGICAL CHANGETOTAL EMISSIONSTRADEOFFSTRAFFICTRAFFIC CONGESTIONTRANSPARENCYTRANSPORTTRANSPORT DEMANDTRANSPORT OF GOODSTRANSPORT SECTORTRANSPORT SERVICESTRANSPORTATIONTRANSPORTATION IMPACTTRAVEL TIMEUNCERTAINTIESURBAN BUSESURBAN TRANSPORTVEHICLEVEHICLE EFFICIENCYVEHICLE FLEETVEHICLE KILOMETERSVEHICLE OWNERSHIPVEHICLE POPULATIONVEHICLESWETLANDSWINDWorld Bank10.1596/978-0-8213-9973-6