De, PrabirRaihan, SelimGhani, Ejaz2013-09-262013-09-262013-06https://hdl.handle.net/10986/15844India and Pakistan, the two largest economies in South Asia, share a common border, culture and history. Despite the benefits of proximity, the two neighbors have barely traded with each other. In 2011, trade with Pakistan accounted for less than half a percent of India's total trade, whereas Pakistan's trade with India was 5.4 percent of its total trade. However, the recent thaw in India-Pakistan trade relations could signal a change. Pakistan has agreed to grant most favored nation status to India. India has already granted most favored nation status to Pakistan. What will be the gains from trade for the two countries? Will they be inclusive? Is most favored nation status a panacea? Should the granting of most favored nation status be accompanied by improvements in trade facilitation, infrastructure, connectivity, and logistics to reap the true benefits of trade and to promote shared prosperity? This paper attempts to answer these questions. It examines alternative scenarios on the gains from trade and it finds that what makes most favored nation status work is the trade facilitation that surrounds it. The results of the general equilibrium simulation indicate Pakistan's most favored nation status to India would generate larger benefits if it were supported by improved connectivity and trade facilitation measures. In other words, gains from trade would be small in the absence of improved connectivity and trade facilitation. The idea of trade facilitation is simple: implement measures to reduce the cost of trading across borders by improving infrastructure, institutions, services, policies, procedures, and market-oriented regulatory systems. The returns can be huge, even with modest resources and limited capacity. The dividends of trade facilitation can be shared by all.en-USCC BY 3.0 IGOACIDSADVANCED COUNTRYAGGREGATE CONSUMPTIONAGRICULTURAL PRODUCTSAGRICULTUREAIRAIR ROUTESAIR TRANSPORTAIR TRAVELAIRCRAFTAPPARELAVERAGE TARIFFAVERAGE TARIFFSBARRIERBARRIERS TO TRADEBASE YEARBENEFITS OF TRADEBENEFITS OF TRADE FACILITATIONBILATERAL FREE TRADE AGREEMENTBILATERAL TRADEBILATERAL TRADE AGREEMENTSBILATERAL TRADE RELATIONSBORDER CROSSINGSBORDER INFRASTRUCTUREBORDER TRADEBOTTLENECKSCHAMBERS OF COMMERCECOMMODITIESCOMMODITYCOMPARATIVE ADVANTAGECOMPARATIVE ADVANTAGESCOMPETITIVENESSCONGESTIONCONNECTIVITYCONSTANT ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTIONCONSTANT RETURNS TO SCALECONSUMERSCONSUMPTION SUBSIDIESCOST ANALYSISCROSS-BORDER ISSUECROSS-BORDER TRANSACTIONSCUSTOMSCUSTOMS AUTHORITIESCUSTOMS OFFICIALSCUSTOMS PROCEDURESDEBTDEMOGRAPHICDEVELOPING COUNTRIESDEVELOPMENT POLICYDIGITAL SIGNATUREDIVIDENDDIVIDENDSDOMESTIC ECONOMYDOMESTIC MARKETE-COMMERCEECONOMIC COOPERATIONECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTECONOMIC INTEGRATIONECONOMIC POLICYECONOMIC RELATIONSECONOMIC STRENGTHECONOMIES OF SCALEELASTICITIESELASTICITYELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTIONELASTICITY VALUEEQUILIBRIUMEXPORT BASESEXPORT SECTORSEXPORT SHAREEXPORT SUBSIDIESEXPORTERSEXPORTSFACTORS OF PRODUCTIONFINANCIAL CRISISFINANCIAL INSTITUTIONSFORECASTSFOREIGN INVESTMENTFREE TRADEFREE TRADE AGREEMENTFUELSFUTURE RESEARCHGDPGENERAL EQUILIBRIUMGENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODELGLOBAL COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUMGLOBAL INVESTMENTGLOBAL TRADEGLOBAL TRADE ANALYSISGLOBALIZATIONGRAVITY ESTIMATESGRAVITY MODELGRAVITY MODEL APPROACHGRAVITY MODELSHARMONIZATIONHIGH TARIFFSHIGHWAYIMPORT BANSIMPORT COSTSIMPORT DUTIESIMPORT PRICEIMPORT PRICESIMPORT TARIFFIMPORT TAXESIMPORTSIMPORTS OF TEXTILESINCOME LEVELSINCOME TAXINDUSTRIAL PRODUCTIVITYINDUSTRY TRADEINEFFICIENCYINFORMATION FLOWSINFORMATION SYSTEMINFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENTINFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTSINTELLECTUAL PROPERTYINTERMEDIATE INPUTSINTERNATIONAL ECONOMICSINTERNATIONAL TRADEINTRAREGIONAL TRADEMARKET ACCESSMARKET SIZEMETAL PRODUCTSMODE OF TRANSPORTMOST FAVORED NATIONMOTOR VEHICLESNATURAL RESOURCESNEW MARKETSNEW PRODUCTSNON-TARIFF BARRIERSONLINE BANKINGOUTPUTOUTPUTSPAYMENT SYSTEMSPER CAPITA INCOMEPER CAPITA INCOMESPERFECT COMPETITIONPETROLEUM PRODUCTSPORT OF ENTRYPORTFOLIOPOSITIVE EFFECTSPREFERENTIAL RATEPREFERENTIAL TRADEPREFERENTIAL TRADE AGREEMENTSPREFERENTIAL TREATMENTPRICE BANDSPRIMARY FACTORSPROTECTIONISTQUANTITATIVE RESTRICTIONSRAILRAIL CROSSINGRAIL NETWORKSRAIL TRAVELRAILWAYRAILWAYSREAL GDPREGIONAL INTEGRATIONREGIONAL TRANSPORTREGIONALISMREGULATORY SYSTEMSROADROAD NETWORKROUTESAVINGSSOURCINGSTATE BANKTARIFF BARRIERSTARIFF CHANGESTARIFF DISPERSIONTARIFF RATESTAXTAX REVENUESTECHNICAL BARRIERSTIRESTRADE AGREEMENTTRADE BALANCETRADE CLASSIFICATIONTRADE COOPERATIONTRADE COSTSTRADE CREATIONTRADE DEFICITTRADE DIVERSIONTRADE DIVERSION EFFECTTRADE FACILITATIONTRADE FINANCETRADE FLOWSTRADE IN GOODSTRADE LIBERALIZATIONTRADE LOGISTICSTRADE PARTNERSHIPTRADE POLICIESTRADE PROMOTIONTRADE REGIMETRADE REGIMESTRADE RELATIONTRADE RELATIONSTRADE ROUTESTRADE SURPLUSTRAFFICTRAINSTRAMWAYTRANSACTION COSTTRANSACTION COSTSTRANSACTIONS COSTSTRANSITTRANSIT TRADETRANSPARENCYTRANSPORTTRANSPORT EQUIPMENTTRANSPORT FACILITATIONTRANSPORT NETWORKTRANSPORTATIONTRANSPORTATION COSTTRANSPORTATION COSTSTRUCKSTRUEUNILATERAL LIBERALIZATIONUTILITY FUNCTIONVALUE ADDEDVEHICLESVERTICAL INTEGRATIONVOLUME OF TRADEWELFARE GAINSWELFARE IMPACTSWELFARE LOSSWTOZERO PROFITSWhat Does MFN Trade Mean for India and Pakistan? Can MFN be a Panacea?World Bankhttps://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-6483