Borja-Vega, Christiande la Fuente, Alejandro2013-09-042013-09-042013-04https://hdl.handle.net/10986/15560A climate change vulnerability index in agriculture is presented at the municipal level in Mexico. Because the index is built with a multidimensional approach to vulnerability (exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity), it represents a tool for policy makers, academics and government alike to inform decisions about climate change resilience and regional variations within the country. The index entails baseline (2005) and prediction (2045) levels based on historic climate data and future-climate modeling. The results of the analysis suggest a wide variation in municipal vulnerability across the country at baseline and prediction points. The vulnerability index shows that highly vulnerable municipalities demonstrate higher climate extremes, which increases uncertainty for harvest periods, and for agricultural yields and outputs. The index shows at baseline that coastal areas host some of the most vulnerable municipalities to climate change in Mexico. However, it also shows that the Northwest and Central regions will likely experience the largest shifts in vulnerability between 2005 and 2045. Finally, vulnerability is found to vary according to specific variables: municipalities with higher vulnerability have more adverse socio-demographic conditions. With the vast municipal data available in Mexico, further sub-index estimations can lead to answers for specific policy and research questions.en-USCC BY 3.0 IGOACCESS TO HEALTH CAREACCESS TO HEALTH SERVICESAGRICULTURAL INSURANCEAGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIONALLOCATIONANTHROPOGENIC EMISSIONSATMOSPHEREATMOSPHERE-OCEAN GENERAL CIRCULATIONATMOSPHERE-OCEAN GENERAL CIRCULATION MODELATMOSPHERIC SCIENCEAVERAGE ANNUAL RAINFALLAVERAGE RAINFALLBIODIVERSITYCARBONCARBON EMISSIONSCENSUSESCLIMATECLIMATE CHANGECLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATIONCLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTSCLIMATE CHANGE RESILIENCECLIMATE CHANGE RISKSCLIMATE CHANGE SIMULATIONSCLIMATE CHANGE STUDIESCLIMATE CHANGE VULNERABILITYCLIMATE CHANGESCLIMATE EVENTCLIMATE EXPOSURECLIMATE EXTREMESCLIMATE FLUCTUATIONSCLIMATE INDICATORSCLIMATE MODELINGCLIMATE MODELSCLIMATE POLICYCLIMATE PREDICTIONSCLIMATE RESEARCHCLIMATE RISKCLIMATE RISKSCLIMATE SCENARIOCLIMATE SCENARIOSCLIMATE SCIENCECLIMATE SENSITIVECLIMATE VARIABILITYCLIMATE VARIABLESCLIMATE VULNERABILITYCLIMATE-RELATED EVENTSCLIMATESCLIMATIC DISASTERSCLIMATIC EVENTSCLIMATIC HAZARDSCLIMATIC SCENARIOSCLIMATIC STIMULICLIMATIC VARIABILITYCLIMATOLOGYCOCO2COLORSCYCLONESDEGREE DAYSDEVELOPING COUNTRIESDEVELOPMENT POLICYDISASTER COMPENSATIONDROUGHTECONOMIC ACTIVITYECONOMIC CONDITIONSECONOMIC DATAECONOMIC IMPACTSECONOMIC IMPACTS OF CLIMATEECONOMIC IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGEEL NINOELDERLYELDERLY POPULATIONELECTRICITYEMISSIONEMISSION LEVELSEMISSIONS SCENARIOSENVIRONMENTAL CHANGEENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCESEXTREME EVENTSEXTREME RAINFALLEXTREME RAINFALL EVENTSEXTREME WEATHEREXTREME WEATHER EVENTSFINANCIAL INSTRUMENTSFINANCIAL LOSSESFINANCIAL MECHANISMSFINANCIAL PRODUCTSFLOODSFOOD INSECURITYFORESTFOREST COVERFORESTRYFROSTGASGCMGENERAL CIRCULATION MODELGLOBAL CLIMATEGLOBAL CLIMATE MODELGREENHOUSEGREENHOUSE GASESHEALTH CARE SERVICESHISTORIC CLIMATE DATAHOUSEHOLD SURVEYSHUMAN ACTIVITYHUMAN DEVELOPMENTHUMAN WELFAREHURRICANEHURRICANESHYDROLOGICAL CYCLEIMPACT OF CLIMATEIMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGEIMPACTS FROM CLIMATE CHANGEINCOMEINDIGENOUS POPULATIONSINFANTINFANT MORTALITYINFANT MORTALITY RATEINTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGEINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGYIPCCLABOR FORCELIVING CONDITIONSLOCAL GOVERNMENTSLONG-TERM CLIMATE CHANGELOSS OF FORESTLOW EMISSIONS SCENARIOMETEOROLOGICAL RESEARCHMETEOROLOGICAL STATIONSMETHANEMIGRATIONMIGRATION FLOWNATIONAL COUNCILNATIONAL LEVELNATIONAL POPULATIONNATIONAL POPULATION COUNCILNATURAL DISASTERSNATURAL RESOURCENITROUS OXIDENUMBER OF CHILDRENNUMBER OF WOMENNUTRITIONAL STATUSPETPOLICY DISCUSSIONSPOLICY MAKERSPOLICY RESEARCHPOLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPERPOLLUTIONPOPULATION DATAPOPULATION DENSITYPOPULATION ESTIMATESPOPULATION GROUPSPOPULATION GROWTHPOPULATION GROWTH RATEPPPRECIPITATIONPRIMARY EDUCATIONPROGRESSPUBLIC HEALTHRAINRAINFALLRAINFALL PATTERNSREGIONAL POLICIESREMITTANCESRESOURCE CONSTRAINTSRESPECTRISK MANAGEMENTRURAL AREASRURAL COMMUNITIESRURAL DEVELOPMENTRURAL PRODUCERSSEA-LEVELSEA-LEVEL RISESEASONAL PRECIPITATIONSMALLHOLDERSSOCIAL DEVELOPMENTSOCIAL DIMENSIONSSOCIAL DIMENSIONS OF CLIMATE CHANGESOCIAL SCIENCESOCIAL SECURITYSOCIAL VULNERABILITYSOCIOECONOMIC STATUSSOIL EROSIONSPATIAL DISTRIBUTIONSTORM SURGESSUBSISTENCE FARMERSSULFURSULFUR DIOXIDESURFACE PRESSURESUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENTTECHNICAL ASSISTANCETEMPERATURETEMPERATURE CHANGESTEMPERATURE DATATEMPERATURE EFFECTSTEMPERATURE INCREASESTEMPERATURE VARIABILITYTEMPERATURESTHUNDERSTORMTROPICSTROPOSPHEREVULNERABILITY FROM CLIMATE CHANGEVULNERABILITY TO CLIMATE CHANGEVULNERABLE GROUPSVULNERABLE POPULATIONSWATER CYCLEWATER RESOURCESWINDWorld Bank10.1596/1813-9450-6417