Nunez-Chaim, GonzaloPape, Utz Johann2022-09-122022-09-122022-09https://hdl.handle.net/10986/37986Somalia, one of the poorest countries in Sub-Saharan Africa, still faces many challenges as it remains fragile. Terrorist groups and their attacks are threatening the government and limiting its capacity to implement effective development policies. Using difference-in-difference and instrumental variables approaches with micro-data from two waves of the Somali High Frequency Survey, this paper estimates the immediate (within a week) impact of terrorist attacks on households. The consumption of households exposed to terrorist incidents decreases by 33 percent, mainly on food items. As a result, poverty and the depth of poverty among the poor increases. The decline in consumption seems to be explained by a smaller share of household members working and earning income after an attack. In addition, the effect on consumption is restricted to a 4-kilometer radius from incidents and has a heterogeneous impact, not affecting households in the top 20 percent of the consumption distribution. The paper also finds a deterioration in people’s perception of police competence. Achieving peace is a fundamental first step to increase welfare conditions that will also bring other wider long-term benefits in Somalia.enCC BY 3.0 IGOSOMALI HIGH FREQUENCY SURVEY (SHFS)VIOLENCE MICRO DATANATIONAL SECURITYPOVERTYCONFLICTVULNERABILITYECONOMIC IMPACT OF TERRORISMDECLINING FOOD CONSUMPTIONPOLICE COMPETENCEWorking PaperWorld Bank10.1596/1813-9450-10169