Ravallion, Martin2013-01-282013-01-282013-01https://hdl.handle.net/10986/12166Alternative scenarios are considered for reducing by one billion the number of people living below $1.25 a day. The low-case, "pessimistic," path to that goal would see the developing world outside China returning to its slower pace of growth and poverty reduction of the 1980s and 1990s, though with China maintaining its progress. This path would take another 50 years or more to lift one billion people out of poverty. The more optimistic path would maintain the (impressive) progress against poverty since 2000, which would instead reach the target by around 2025-30. This scenario is consistent with both linear projections of the time series data and non-linear simulations of inequality-neutral growth for the developing world as a whole.en-USCC BY 3.0 IGOABSOLUTE POVERTYABSOLUTE VALUEACCESS TO SCHOOLINGAGGREGATE POVERTYAGGREGATION BIASANNUAL GROWTHANNUAL GROWTH RATEANNUAL RATEAVERAGE INCOMESAVERAGE INEQUALITYCAPACITY BUILDINGCAPITAL FLOWSCHANGES IN POVERTYCONSTANT ELASTICITYCONSUMPTION GROWTHCONSUMPTION PER CAPITACONVERGENCE PROCESSCOUNTRY INEQUALITYCOUNTRY LEVELCROSS-COUNTRY COMPARISONSCUMULATIVE DISTRIBUTIONCUMULATIVE DISTRIBUTION FUNCTIONDECOMPOSABLE INCOME INEQUALITY MEASURESDEVELOPING COUNTRIESDEVELOPING WORLDDEVELOPMENT ECONOMICSDEVELOPMENT GOALSDEVELOPMENT INDICATORSDEVELOPMENT POLICYDIMENSIONS OF POVERTYDISTRIBUTIONAL CHANGEDISTRIBUTIONAL CHANGESECONOMIC ANALYSISECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTECONOMIC GROWTHECONOMIC GROWTH PERFORMANCEECONOMIC GROWTH PROSPECTSECONOMIC INEQUALITYECONOMIC PERFORMANCEECONOMIC REVIEWECONOMICS LETTERSECONOMICS LITERATUREELASTICITYENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITYEXTREME POVERTYFINANCIAL CRISISFORM OF POVERTYGLOBAL ECONOMYGLOBAL LEVELGLOBAL POVERTYGROWTH PERFORMANCEGROWTH PROSPECTSGROWTH RATEGROWTH RATESHEALTH CAREHIGH INEQUALITYHIGHER INEQUALITYHOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTIONHOUSEHOLD LIVING STANDARDSHOUSEHOLD SURVEYSHUMAN RIGHTSINCIDENCE OF POVERTYINCOME DISTRIBUTIONINCOME INEQUALITYINCOME LEVELSINDIVIDUAL COUNTRIESINEQUALITY FALLSINEQUALITY INDEXINEQUALITY MEASURESINEQUALITY REDUCTIONINEQUALITY WILLLIFE EXPECTANCYMACROECONOMIC POLICIESMARGINAL TAXMARGINAL TAX RATESMEAN CONSUMPTIONMEAN INCOMEMEAN LOG DEVIATIONMEASUREMENT ERRORSMICRO DATANATIONAL ACCOUNTSNATURAL RESOURCES0 HYPOTHESISOBSERVED POVERTY REDUCTIONPOINT DECLINEPOLICY DISCUSSIONSPOLICY REFORMSPOLICY RESEARCHPOLITICAL STABILITYPOORPOOR COUNTRIESPOOR HOUSEHOLDSPOOR PEOPLEPOPULATION GROWTHPOVERTY GAPPOVERTY GAP INDEXPOVERTY INCIDENCEPOVERTY LINEPOVERTY MEASUREPOVERTY MEASURESPOVERTY RATEPOVERTY RATESPOVERTY REDUCINGPOVERTY REDUCTIONPOVERTY TRAPSPOWER PARITYPRIVATE CONSUMPTIONPUBLIC SUPPORTREDUCING INEQUALITYREDUCING POVERTYREDUCTION IN POVERTYREGIONAL BREAKDOWNRELATIVE DISTRIBUTIONRISING INEQUALITYSAVINGSSERIES DATASERIES OBSERVATIONSSIGNIFICANT NEGATIVETARGETED TRANSFERSTARGETINGWorld Bank10.1596/1813-9450-6325