Newhouse, DavidWolff, Claudia2014-05-142014-05-142014-04https://hdl.handle.net/10986/18335This paper utilizes a cross-country panel of 83 developing countries to examine how changes in cohort size are correlated with subsequent employment outcomes for workers at different ages. The results depend on countries' level of development. In low-income countries, young adults that are born into smaller cohorts are less likely to work, but school attendance remains unchanged. In middle-income countries, young adults in smaller cohorts are less likely to be unemployed and more likely to work outside of agriculture. Neither pattern can be discerned among older adults, although the estimates are imprecise. In sum, reductions in cohort size are associated with moderate improvements in employment outcomes for youth in middle-income countries, but there is scant evidence that these improvements persist into adulthood.en-USCC BY 3.0 IGOADVANCED COUNTRIESAGE GROUPAGE GROUPSANNUALIZED CHANGEAVERAGE WAGESCOUNTRY CHARACTERISTICSCOUNTRY DUMMYCROSS-COUNTRY PANELCROSS-SECTION DATADATA SETDEMOGRAPHIC SHIFTSDEPENDENT VARIABLEDESCRIPTIVE STATISTICSDEVELOPED COUNTRIESDEVELOPING COUNTRIESDEVELOPING WORLDDIVIDENDECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTECONOMIC GROWTHECONOMIC POLICYECONOMIC RESEARCHECONOMIC SHOCKSECONOMIC STUDIESECONOMICSEDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENTEFFICIENCY WAGESELASTICITYEMPIRICAL RESULTSEMPLOYMENT EFFECTSEMPLOYMENT OPPORTUNITIESEMPLOYMENT OUTCOMESEMPLOYMENT POLICYEMPLOYMENT PROSPECTSEMPLOYMENT RATESEMPLOYMENT STATUSEMPLOYMENT STATUSESEQUILIBRIUM WAGESEXTERNAL FACTORSFAMILY INCOMEFEMALE EMPLOYMENTFEMALE LABORFEMALE LABOR FORCEGLOBAL ECONOMYGROWTH MODELGROWTH MODELSGROWTH RATEHIGH INCOMEHIGH INCOME COUNTRIESHOUSEHOLD SURVEYSHUMAN CAPITALINCOMEINCOME COUNTRIESINCOME DISTRIBUTIONINCOME GROUPINCOME GROUPSINFORMAL SECTORJOB STATUSJOBSLABOR MARKETLABOR MARKET CONDITIONSLABOR MARKET DEVELOPMENTLABOR MARKET INDICATORSLABOR MARKET OUTCOMELABOR MARKET OUTCOMESLABOR MARKET REGULATIONSLABOR MARKETSLABOR SUPPLYLABOR SURVEYSLABOURLABOUR MARKETLABOUR MARKETSLOW INCOMEMACROECONOMIC SHOCKSMEASUREMENT ERRORMIDDLE INCOMEMIDDLE INCOME COUNTRIESMORTALITYNATIONAL INCOMENEGATIVE CORRELATIONNEGATIVE RELATIONSHIPNEOCLASSICAL GROWTHOPPORTUNITY COSTPOLICY DISCUSSIONSPOLICY RESEARCHPOLITICAL ECONOMYPOOR COUNTRIESPOOR GROWTHPOOR HOUSEHOLDSPOPULATION DATAPOPULATION GROWTHPOPULATION GROWTH RATESPOSITIVE RELATIONSHIPPOVERTY REDUCTIONPRODUCTIVE EMPLOYMENTPRODUCTIVE SECTORPRODUCTIVITYPROPERTY RIGHTSREAL WAGEREAL WAGESSAFETYSAFETY NETSSALARIED WORKERSSIGNIFICANCE LEVELSOCIAL SAFETYSOCIAL SAFETY NETSSUBSTITUTION EFFECTUNEMPLOYEDUNEMPLOYMENTUNEMPLOYMENT RATEUNEMPLOYMENT RATESUNPAID WORKERSUNSKILLED WORKERSWAGE EMPLOYMENTWORKERWORKER PRODUCTIVITYWORKERSYOUNG ADULTSYOUNG PEOPLEYOUNG WOMENYOUNG WORKERSYOUTHYOUTH EMPLOYMENTYOUTH LABORYOUTH PARTICIPATIONYOUTH POPULATIONYOUTH UNEMPLOYMENTYOUTH WORK10.1596/1813-9450-6848