Malla, SunilTimilsina, Govinda R.2016-06-142016-06-142016-06https://hdl.handle.net/10986/24535This study develops an end-use energy demand analysis model for Romania to project energy demand by sector and end-use for 2015-50. The study finds that Romania's energy demand in 2050 would be 34 percent higher than the level in 2013. The industry sector would be the largest final energy-consuming sector, surpassing the residential sector from 2025 onward. The services sector would exhibit the fastest growth of energy consumption in line with the expected structural change from manufacturing to services. Although population in the country is projected to drop by 7 percent in 2050 from the 2013 level, electricity demand would increase by 46 percent over the same period, because of increased household income and the expanded service sector, which is relatively electricity intensive. Still, per capita electricity consumption in Romania will be about half the European Union 28 average. At the end-use level, thermal processes in the industry sector, space heating in the residential and services sectors, and road transportation in the transport sector would be dominant throughout the study period. The study also shows that improvement of energy efficiency in the heating system would be the main channel to cut energy demand in the country.en-USCC BY 3.0 IGOELECTRIC SERVICESLOW CARBON ECONOMYTRANSPORTATION SYSTEMTRANSPORT SECTORREDUCING ENERGY CONSUMPTIONFLOOR SPACEPASSENGERSDISTRICT HEATINGDISTRICT HEATING SYSTEMSHEATING SYSTEMSPUBLIC ROADVEHICLESACTIVITIESGENERATIONRAIL PASSENGERQUANTITY OF ELECTRICITYGROWTH IN DEMAND FOR ELECTRICITYFREIGHT TRANSPORTTRANSPORT MODEWOOD PRODUCTSTRENDEMISSIONSELASTICITYFREIGHT TRAVELPETROLEUM COKESPACE COOLINGRAIL TRANSPORTATIONPRIVATE VEHICLE OWNERSHIPINLAND WATERWAYSPASSENGER VEHICLEVEHICLE OWNERSHIPGASTRAFFICEFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTPRICECLEANERWEALTHAIRGREENHOUSE GASELECTRICITY CONSUMPTIONDRIVERSTRANSPORT MODESBIOMASSVEHICLEFREIGHT MOVEMENTREFINERY GASENERGY POLICIESPETROLEUMROADHEATING ENERGYRAIL TRANSPORTAIR POLLUTIONOILTRANSPORTPOPULATION GROWTHENERGY REQUIREMENTSTRANSPORT ACTIVITIESRESIDENTIAL ENERGYMOBILITYAIR CONDITIONINGOIL PRODUCTSWATERELECTRIC VEHICLESTRAVEL DEMANDWATER HEATINGCARBON ECONOMYFLOOR AREAPOLLUTIONSTEAM GENERATIONPRICE ELASTICITYTRANSPORT EQUIPMENTTHERMAL ENERGYGROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCTFUELSELASTICITY VALUESTRAVEL PATTERNSHEATING SYSTEMINFRASTRUCTUREAIR FREIGHTBUSESPETROCHEMICAL INDUSTRIESPASSENGER VEHICLESENERGY CONSUMPTIONELECTRIC ENERGYDRIVINGTRAVELTRANSPORTATIONTRANSITHEATCLIMATE CHANGEFUEL TYPESPOLICIESDEMAND FOR ELECTRICITYELECTRIC POWERBALANCEDISTRICT HEATPRICE ELASTICITIESELECTRICITY DEMANDMODE OF TRANSPORTATIONCARSENERGY NEEDSDEMAND FOR ENERGYLAND TRANSPORTPOWERELECTRICITYPOLLUTION IMPACTELASTICITIESMASS TRANSITMOTOR VEHICLESSOLID BIOMASSPASSENGER TRAVELMASS TRANSIT SYSTEMENERGY USERAILWAYBIOMASS FUELSTRANSPORTATION INDUSTRYENERGY EFFICIENCYENERGY OUTLOOKENERGY DEMANDMARITIME TRANSPORTRAILWAYSNATURAL GASAIR TRANSPORTVEHICLE FUELRAIL INLAND WATERWAYSENERGY BALANCECOALRAILFUELDEMAND FORECASTAVAILABILITYFACILITIESTRANSPORT DEMANDPRIVATE VEHICLETRANSIT SYSTEMSRENEWABLE ENERGYSPACE HEATINGAIR PASSENGERROAD TRANSPORTPASSENGER TRANSPORTPIPELINEFREIGHTPRICESAPPROACHTRANSIT SYSTEMROAD TRAFFICENERGYPASSENGER VOLUMESWorking PaperWorld Bank10.1596/1813-9450-7697