Kurukulasuriya, PradeepMendelsohn, RobertHassan, RashidBenhin, JamesDeressa, TemesgenDiop, MbayeEid, Helmy MohamedFosu, K. YerfiGbetibouo, GlwadysJain, SumanMahamadou, AliMano, RennethKabubo-Mariara, JaneEl-Marsafawy, SamiaMolua, ErnestOuda, SamihaOuedraogo, MathieuSene, IsidorMaddison, DavidSeo, S. NiggolDinar, Ariel2013-12-202013-12-202006-08-23World Bank Economic Reviewdoi:10.1093/wber/lhl004https://hdl.handle.net/10986/16440Measurement of the likely magnitude of the economic impact of climate change on African agriculture has been a challenge. Using data from a survey of more than 9,000 farmers across 11 African countries, a cross-sectional approach estimates how farm net revenues are affected by climate change compared with current mean temperature. Revenues fall with warming for dryland crops (temperature elasticity of -1.9) and livestock (-5.4), whereas revenues rise for irrigated crops (elasticity of 0.5), which are located in relatively cool parts of Africa and are buffered by irrigation from the effects of warming. At first, warming has little net aggregate effect as the gains for irrigated crops offset the losses for dryland crops and livestock. Warming, however, will likely reduce dryland farm income immediately. The final effects will also depend on changes in precipitation, because revenues from all farm types increase with precipitation. Because irrigated farms are less sensitive to climate, where water is available, irrigation is a practical adaptation to climate change in Africa.en-USCC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGOAGRICULTURAL CROPSAGRICULTURAL ECONOMICSAGRICULTURAL POLICIESAGRICULTURAL TRADEAGRICULTUREANNUAL PRECIPITATIONAPPLIED METEOROLOGYCALCULATIONCARBONCARBON DIOXIDECARBON DIOXIDE LEVELSCARBON FERTILIZATIONCLIMATECLIMATE ADAPTATIONCLIMATE CHANGECLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTSCLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOSCLIMATE CONDITIONSCLIMATE DATACLIMATE IMPACTSCLIMATE MODELSCLIMATE PREDICTIONCLIMATE RESPONSECLIMATE SCENARIOCLIMATE SCENARIOSCLIMATE SENSITIVITYCLIMATE VARIABILITYCLIMATE VARIABLECLIMATE VARIABLESCLIMATE VARIATIONCLIMATESCLIMATIC CHANGECLOUDSCROPCROP DEVELOPMENTCROP FARMCROP PRODUCTIONCROP PRODUCTIVITYCROP REVENUECROP SIMULATIONCROPLANDCROPSDEGREE DAYSECOLOGICAL SYSTEMSECONOMIC CONDITIONSECONOMIC IMPACTECONOMIC IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGEEFFECT OF TEMPERATUREELASTICITIESELECTRICITYEMPIRICAL STUDIESENVIRONMENTALENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICSEQUILIBRIUMEQUIPMENTEXTREME EVENTFARMFARM ACTIVITIESFARM DATAFARM INCOMEFARM SIZEFARMERSFARMINGFARMSFERTILIZERFOOD SECURITYFOOD SUPPLYGLOBAL CLIMATEGLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGEGLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL FACILITYGLOBAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGEGLOBAL WARMINGGREENHOUSEGREENHOUSE DAMAGEHIGH TEMPERATURESHUNGERHYDROLOGICAL DATAHYDROLOGICAL MODELHYDROLOGYHYDROMETEOROLOGYIMPACT OF CLIMATEIMPACT OF TEMPERATUREIMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGEINCOMESINCREASE IN TEMPERATUREINPUT PRICESINTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGEIRRIGATION WATERLABOR COSTSLABOR MARKETSLAND ECONOMICSLAND FOR LIVESTOCKLAND PRODUCTIVITYLAND SURFACELAND SURFACE TEMPERATURESLAND USELIVESTOCK FARMERSLIVESTOCK GRAZINGLIVESTOCK LOSSESLIVESTOCK PRODUCTSLIVESTOCK SECTORMARKET PRICESMEAN RAINFALLMEAN TEMPERATUREMETEOROLOGYMICROECONOMICSMITIGATION OF CLIMATE CHANGEMONSOONSNEGATIVE IMPACTPESTICIDESPESTSPPPRECIPITATIONPRICE CHANGESPRIVATE SECTORPROPERTY RIGHTSPUBLIC GOODRAINFALLRAINY SEASONSRESILIENCE OF AGRICULTURERURAL DEVELOPMENTSCIENTISTSSEASONSOCIAL COSTSSOCIAL COSTS OF CLIMATE CHANGESOCIAL DIMENSIONS OF CLIMATE CHANGESOILSSUMMER TEMPERATURESURFACE TEMPERATURESUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENTTECHNOLOGICAL CHANGETEMPERATE CLIMATETEMPERATE CLIMATESTEMPERATURETEMPERATURE EFFECTSWAGE RATESWAGESWARMER TEMPERATURESWELFARE EFFECTSWINTER TEMPERATUREJournal ArticleWorld Bank10.1596/16440