World Bank2014-09-092014-09-092014-06https://hdl.handle.net/10986/20025This is the fourth edition of the Uganda Economic Update series. As with previous editions, this update first provides information related to the current state of the economy before focusing on a particular subject of importance. The special focus of this issue concerns how pensions can reduce vulnerabilities at both individual and macroeconomic levels. The Ugandan economy has continued the process of recovery, growing by 5.9 percent during the first half of FY2013 and FY2014 amidst droughts, disruptions related to civil unrest in South Sudan, and aid cuts. Eight consecutive quarters of positive growth since the slump in FY2011 and FY2012 confirm that the economy has returned on the strong growth path and may reach a rate of growth of 6.0 percent per annum in FY2013 and FY2014. The positive outlook is subject to risks, key among which will be those emanating from its fiscal management regime due to continuous low revenue collection and reduction of aid to Uganda; increased spending pressures in the advent of the 2016 elections, and accelerating public investments amidst gaps in public investment efficiency. In addition, given its recently increased dependency on the South Sudan market for its exports, the protracted crisis in South Sudan could have severe consequences to the Ugandan economy. In that context, a coherent policy of social protection, including for the elderly, can promote social transformation and accelerate economic development. An effective social protection system is needed to protect vulnerable groups from negative shocks such as loss of employment, death of bread winner, or bad weather. Achieving the vision of a transformed Uganda means addressing vulnerabilities at both individual and at country levels. Uganda is already taking steps to start building an effective pension system, but challenges remain in ensuring transparent and proper governance of the pension funds; achieving efficiency objectives, building up the institutional capacity, and managing the fiscal pressures due to expenses to existing pensions and the new public pension scheme at the same time. Well designed and managed pension systems can contribute significantly to the country's ongoing transformation.en-USCC BY 3.0 IGOACCOUNTINGALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTSBALANCE OF PAYMENTSBANK RATEBORROWERBORROWING REQUIREMENTSBUSINESS ENVIRONMENTCAPITAL ACCOUNTCAPITAL GAINSCAPITAL INVESTMENTSCAPITAL MARKETSCENTRAL BANKCENTRAL BANKSCOMMERCIAL BANKCOMMERCIAL BANK CREDITCOMMERCIAL BANKSCOMMERCIAL BORROWINGCOMMERCIAL LENDINGCOMMODITIESCOMMODITYCOMMODITY PRICESCOMMUNICATIONS TECHNOLOGYCONSUMER PRICE INDEXCOPYRIGHT CLEARANCECOPYRIGHT CLEARANCE CENTERCORPORATE TAXESCREDIT GROWTHCREDIT RATINGSCURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCECURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITCURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITSDEBT FLOWSDEBT LEVELDEBT LEVELSDEBT MANAGEMENTDEBT RELIEFDEBT STOCKDEMOGRAPHICDEMOGRAPHIC CHANGEDEMOGRAPHIC CHANGESDEPOSITDEPOSIT RATESDEPOSITSDERIVATIVESDEVELOPING COUNTRIESDISBURSEMENTSDIVIDENDDOMESTIC BORROWINGDOMESTIC CAPITALDOMESTIC CAPITAL MARKETDOMESTIC CURRENCYDOMESTIC DEBTDOMESTIC ECONOMYDOMESTIC INTEREST RATESDOMESTIC MARKETDOMESTIC SECURITYECONOMIC CRISISECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTSECONOMIC PERFORMANCEECONOMIC REFORMSEQUIPMENTEXCHANGE RATEEXISTING INFRASTRUCTUREEXPENDITUREEXPENDITURESEXPOSUREEXTERNAL BORROWINGEXTERNAL FINANCINGFINANCE CORPORATIONFINANCIAL CRISISFINANCIAL MARKETSFINANCIAL SAVINGSFINANCIAL SYSTEMSFISCAL BURDENFISCAL DEFICITFISCAL DEFICITSFISCAL POLICYFOOD PRICESFOREIGN ASSETSFOREIGN CURRENCYFOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENTFOREIGN EXCHANGEFOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVESFOREIGN EXCHANGE TRANSACTIONSFOREIGN INTERESTFOREIGN MARKETSFRAUDGLOBAL MARKETSGOVERNANCE INDEXGOVERNMENT BORROWINGGOVERNMENT DEBTGOVERNMENT SAVINGSGOVERNMENT SECURITYGOVERNMENT SPENDINGGROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCTGROWTH RATEGROWTH RATESINCOMEINCOMESINFLATIONINFLATION INDEXINFLATION RATEINFLATION RATESINFLATION TARGETINGINFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENTINFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENTSINFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTSINSTRUMENTINSURANCEINSURANCE COMPANIESINTEREST PAYMENTSINTEREST RATESINTERNATIONAL BANKINTERNATIONAL BEST PRACTICESINTERNATIONAL FINANCEINVESTINGINVESTMENT ALLOCATIONSINVESTMENT CAPABILITIESINVESTMENT GUIDELINESINVESTMENT MANAGEMENTINVESTMENT PROJECTSINVESTMENT SPENDINGISSUANCEISSUANCE OF GOVERNMENT SECURITIESLEVEL OF COMMITMENTLIBERALIZATIONLIQUIDITYLOCAL CURRENCYLOCAL ECONOMYLOCAL GOVERNMENTLONG-TERM FINANCEMACRO-STABILITYMACROECONOMIC ENVIRONMENTMACROECONOMIC LEVELSMARKET INTERESTMARKET INTEREST RATESMARKET PRICESMONETARY FUNDMONETARY POLICIESMONETARY POLICYMONEY MARKETMORTGAGENATIONAL DEVELOPMENTNATURAL DISASTERSOIL RESERVESOIL RESOURCESOPEN MARKETOUTPUTOUTSTANDING CREDITPENSIONPENSION ASSETSPENSION FUNDPENSION FUNDSPENSION LIABILITIESPENSION REFORMPENSION REFORMSPENSION SYSTEMPENSION SYSTEMSPENSIONSPERSONAL LOANSPOLICY RESPONSEPOLITICAL ECONOMYPORTFOLIOPORTFOLIO FLOWSPORTFOLIO INVESTMENTPORTFOLIO INVESTMENTSPRICE VOLATILITYPRIVATE INVESTMENTPRIVATE INVESTMENTSPRIVATE PENSIONPRIVATE PENSIONSPRIVATE SECTOR CREDITPRODUCTIVE INVESTMENTSPUBLIC DEBTPUBLIC DEBT STOCKPUBLIC INVESTMENTPUBLIC INVESTMENTSPUBLIC PENSIONPUBLIC PENSIONSPUBLIC POLICIESPUBLIC SECTOR BORROWINGPUBLIC SPENDINGRAPID GROWTHRATE OF GROWTHREAL ESTATERECURRENT EXPENDITURERECURRENT EXPENDITURESREGULATORREGULATORY AUTHORITYREGULATORY FRAMEWORKREMITTANCESREPLACEMENT RATERETURNSAFETY NETSCANDALSCANDALSSOCIAL DEVELOPMENTSOCIAL PROTECTIONSOCIAL SAFETY NETSOVEREIGN DEBTSTABLE LOCAL CURRENCYSUPPLY SHOCKSSUSTAINABILITY ANALYSISTAXTAX CODESTAX EXEMPTIONSTELECOMMUNICATIONSTRADE BALANCETRADINGTRANSPARENCYWITHDRAWALWORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORSWORLD ECONOMIES10.1596/20025