World Bank2022-06-122022-06-122022-06https://hdl.handle.net/10986/37530After a strong start in early 2022, the largest COVID-19 wave in two years and resulting mobility restrictions have disrupted China’s growth normalization. The global environment has also significantly worsened following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Real gross domestic product (GDP) growth is projected to slow sharply to 4.3 percent in 2022. In the face of domestic and external headwinds, China's policymakers should carefully calibrate its policies. In the short term, China should balance COVID-19 mitigation with supporting economic growth. Over the medium term, greater efforts are needed to shift away from the old playbook of stimulus-led investment to boost economic growth. Decisive action to encourage a shift toward consumption, tackle social inequality, and rekindle innovation and productivity growth would help achieve a more balanced, inclusive, and sustainable growth trajectory for China.CC BY 3.0 IGOCOVID DISRUPTIONSHANGHAI LOCKDOWNTRADEVOLATILE CAPITAL FLOWSCOVID RESTRICTIONSOMICRON DISRUPTIONCARBON EMISSIONSHOUSING MARKETREAL ESTATE VULNERABILIITYRESIDENTIAL HOUSING DEMANDHOME OWNERSHIPSUSTAINALBLE GROWTHReportWorld Bank10.1596/37530