Navrud, StåleStrand, Jon2014-02-042014-02-042013-10https://hdl.handle.net/10986/16854The Amazon Rainforest is a global public good. As such, and given that 15 percent of the original Amazon forest area has already been lost, households worldwide might be willing to pay to reduce or avoid additional losses. A full elicitation of global preferences for valuing preservation of the current forest, using stated-preference population surveys, would be costly and time consuming. Alternatively, this paper uses a Delphi stated-preference technique in which 48 European environmental valuation experts were asked to provide "best guesses" on the possible outcomes of population surveys in their own countries and Europe as a whole. The expert judgments indicate willingness to pay in Europe for preserving the current Amazon Rainforest of about 28 Euro per household per year on average; a slightly lower value is inferred for a plan that allows a 10 percent future reduction from the current rainforest area. The income elasticity of experts' stated willingness to pay with respect to per-capita income in their own countries is in the range 0.5-0.8. These findings indicate that Delphi studies might be used more widely as a tool for global benefit transfer.en-USCC BY 3.0 IGOAIRAIR POLLUTIONAMAZON BASINAMAZON FORESTAMAZON RAINFORESTANIMALSBENEFIT ANALYSISBIODIVERSITYBIODIVERSITY VALUEBIOMASSBIRDSCALCULATIONCARBONCARBON EMISSIONSCARBON SEQUESTRATIONCARBON STORAGECATTLECLIMATECOCONTINGENT VALUATIONCONTINGENT VALUATION METHODCORRECTION FACTORCOST ANALYSISCOUNTRY OF ORIGINCULTURAL HERITAGEDEFORESTATIONDENSE FORESTDEVELOPING COUNTRIESDEVELOPMENT ECONOMICSDEVELOPMENT POLICYDICHOTOMOUS CHOICEECOLOGICAL ECONOMICSECONOMIC LOSSECONOMIC RESOURCESECONOMIC VALUEECONOMICSECOSYSTEMELASTICITIESELASTICITYEMPIRICAL STUDIESENVIRONMENTALENVIRONMENTAL CONSERVATIONENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICSENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMISTSENVIRONMENTAL GOODSENVIRONMENTAL POLICYENVIRONMENTAL VALUATIONENVIRONMENTAL VALUEENVIRONMENTAL VALUESEXCHANGE RATESEXPENDITURESEXTINCTIONFERTILITYFOOD SECURITYFOREST AREAFOREST LOSSFOREST LOSSESFRESH WATERGDPGDP PER CAPITAGLOBAL CARBON EMISSIONSGLOBAL POPULATIONHEDONIC PRICINGHOME COUNTRIESILLNESSINCOME LEVELSINDIGENOUS PEOPLEISSUESLAND ECONOMICSLOCAL POPULATIONLOGSLOSS OF FORESTLOW-INCOME COUNTRIESMAMMAL SPECIESNATIONAL INCOMENATIONAL PARKSNATIONAL POPULATIONNATIONAL POPULATIONSNATURAL RESOURCENON-USE VALUESOPTION VALUEOXYGENPASSIVE USEPATERNITY LEAVEPOLICY DISCUSSIONSPOLICY IMPLICATIONSPOLICY MAKERSPOLICY RESEARCHPOLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPERPOLLUTION LEVELSPOPULATION STUDIESPOPULATION SURVEYPOPULATION SURVEYSPPPRACTITIONERSPRICE LEVELSPROGRESSPUBLIC GOODPUBLIC GOODSPURCHASING POWERPURCHASING POWER PARITYRAINRAIN FORESTRAINFORESTSREAL INCOMERECREATIONRESPECTSOCIAL COSTSSPECIESSPECIES OF PLANTSSTATISTICAL ANALYSISSURVEY INSTRUMENTSURVEY METHODSTIMBERTIMBER EXTRACTIONTOTAL ECONOMIC VALUETOURISMTRANSPORTATIONTREESTROPICAL RAIN FORESTSTROPICAL RAINFORESTSUSE VALUEWELFARE GAINSWILLINGNESS TO PAYWTPWorld Bank10.1596/1813-9450-6637