Ivanic, MarosMartin, Will2014-10-022014-10-022014-08https://hdl.handle.net/10986/20350This study uses household models based on detailed expenditure and agricultural production data from 31 developing countries to assess the impacts of changes in global food prices on poverty in individual countries and for the world as a whole. The analysis finds that food price increases unrelated to productivity changes in developing countries raise poverty in the short run in all but a few countries with broadly-distributed agricultural resources. This result is primarily because the poor spend large shares of their incomes on food and many poor farmers are net buyers of food. In the longer run, two other important factors come into play: poor workers are likely to benefit from increases in wage rates for unskilled workers from higher food prices, and poor farmers are likely to benefit from higher agricultural profits as they raise their output. As a result, higher food prices appear to lower global poverty in the long run.en-USCC BY 3.0 IGOADVERSE IMPACTSAGGREGATE POVERTYAGRICULTURAL ACTIVITIESAGRICULTURAL ECONOMICSAGRICULTURAL LANDAGRICULTURAL OUTPUTAGRICULTURAL PRICESAGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIONAGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITYAGRICULTURAL PRODUCTSAGRICULTURAL SECTORSAGRICULTURAL WAGESAGRICULTUREANIMAL FEEDBEEFBEVERAGESCASSAVACHANGES IN POVERTYCOMMODITYCOMMODITY PRICESDAIRYDECLINE IN POVERTYDECOMPOSABLE POVERTYDEMOGRAPHICDEVELOPING COUNTRIESDEVELOPING COUNTRYEXTREME POVERTYEXTREME POVERTY LINEFARM ACTIVITIESFARM HOUSEHOLDSFARM INCOMESFARM OUTPUTFARMING ACTIVITIESFEMALE-HEADED HOUSEHOLDSFINANCIAL CRISISFOOD BUYERSFOOD COMMODITIESFOOD COMPONENTSFOOD CONSUMERSFOOD CONSUMPTIONFOOD DEMANDFOOD ITEMSFOOD OUTPUTFOOD POLICYFOOD POLICY RESEARCHFOOD PRICEFOOD PRICESFOOD PRODUCTIONFRUITSFUTURE PRICEGLOBAL POVERTYGRAINSHOUSEHOLD BUDGETHOUSEHOLD INCOMEHOUSEHOLD INCOMESHOUSEHOLD OUTPUTHOUSEHOLD SIZEHOUSEHOLD SURVEYHOUSEHOLD SURVEYSHOUSEHOLD WELFAREHUMAN DEVELOPMENTIFPRIIMPACT ON POVERTYINCOMEINCOME DISTRIBUTIONINTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTEINTERNATIONAL TRADELAMBLAND SUPPLYLIVING STANDARDSLOW-INCOME COUNTRIESMAIZEMIDDLE-INCOME COUNTRIESMILKNATURAL RESOURCESNET FOOD CONSUMERSOILS AND FATSOUTPUTSPOORPOOR FARMERSPOOR FARMINGPOOR HOUSEHOLDSPOOR PEOPLEPOOR POPULATIONPORKPOVERTY ASSESSMENTPOVERTY GAPPOVERTY IMPACTPOVERTY INCREASEPOVERTY LEVELSPOVERTY LINEPOVERTY LINESPOVERTY MEASURESPOVERTY RATEPOVERTY RATESPOVERTY REDUCTIONPRICE BEHAVIORPROCESSED FOODSPRODUCTION STRUCTUREPRODUCTION VOLUMESREDUCTION IN POVERTYREGIONAL GROUPSRICERURALRURAL AREASRURAL DEVELOPMENTRURAL FARMERRURAL HOUSEHOLDSRURAL POORRURAL WELFARESAFETY NETSAFETY NET PROGRAMSSELLING PRICESSHEEPSHEEP MEATSMALL FARM HOUSEHOLDSSOYBEANSSTAPLE FOODSSUGARTEAVEGETABLE OILSVEGETABLESVOLATILITYWAGE RATESWHEATWHEAT PRODUCTIONWORLD ECONOMY10.1596/1813-9450-7011