Mendelsohn, RobertEmanuel, KerryChonabayashi, Shun2012-03-192012-03-192011-02-01https://hdl.handle.net/10986/3638This paper constructs an integrated assessment model of tropical cyclones in order to quantify the impact that climate change may have on tropical cyclone damages in countries around the world. The paper relies on a tropical cyclone generator in each ocean and several climate models to predict tropical cyclones with and without climate change. A damage model is constructed to compute the resulting damage when a cyclone strikes each country. Economic development is expected to double global tropical cyclone damages because more will be in harm's way. Climate change is expected to double global damage again, causing an additional $54 billion of damage per year. The damage is projected to be concentrated in North America and eastern Asia but many Caribbean islands will suffer the highest damages per unit of GDP. Most of the increased damage will be caused by rare but very powerful storms.CC BY 3.0 IGOAPPLIED METEOROLOGYATMOSPHEREATMOSPHERIC SCIENCEBAROMETRIC PRESSUREBLANKETBUILDING CODESCALCULATIONCATASTROPHIC INSURANCECLIMATECLIMATE CHANGECLIMATE CHANGE DAMAGECLIMATE CHANGE DAMAGESCLIMATE CHANGE ECONOMICSCLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTSCLIMATE CHANGE PREDICTIONSCLIMATE CHANGESCLIMATE CONDITIONSCLIMATE DATACLIMATE DYNAMICSCLIMATE MODELCLIMATE MODELSCLIMATE RESEARCHCLIMATE SCENARIOCLIMATE SCENARIOSCLIMATE SYSTEMCLIMATESCLIMATOLOGYCO2COSTS OF CLIMATE CHANGECYCLONE ACTIVITIESCYCLONE CENTERCYCLONE TRACKSDAMAGE ASSESSMENTDISASTERDISASTER REDUCTIONDISASTER RELIEFECONOMIC GROWTHECONOMICS OF CLIMATE CHANGEEFFECT OF CLIMATE CHANGEEMISSIONEMISSION PATHEMISSION SCENARIOEMISSIONSEMISSIONS SCENARIOEMISSIONS SCENARIOSEXTREME EVENTEXTREME EVENTSFATALITIESFATALITYFLOODFLOOD INSURANCEGCMGENERAL CIRCULATION MODELGENERATORGLOBAL CLIMATEGLOBAL EMISSIONSGLOBAL WARMINGGREENHOUSEGREENHOUSE GASGREENHOUSE GAS CONCENTRATIONSGREENHOUSE GAS MITIGATIONGREENHOUSE GASESGWPHURRICANEHURRICANESIMPACT OF CLIMATEIMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGEIMPACTS FROM CLIMATE CHANGEINCOMEINTENSITY OF STORMSINTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGEIPCCLAND USEMAXIMUM WIND SPEEDMETEOROLOGYNATIONAL INCOMENATURAL HAZARDSOCEAN BASINSOCEANSPOLICY MAKERSPRESENT VALUEPROBABILITY DENSITYPROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONRISK ANALYSISSCENARIOSSCIENTISTSSEA LEVEL RISESEA SURFACE TEMPERATURESSEA WALLSSOCIAL AFFAIRSSOLAR RADIATIONSTORM DAMAGESTORM DAMAGESSTORM SURGESSTORMSTEMPERATURETEMPERATURE CHANGESTOTAL DAMAGESTROPICAL CYCLONETROPICAL CYCLONE IMPACTSTROPICAL CYCLONE INTENSITYTROPICAL CYCLONESTROPICAL STORMTROPICAL STORMSTYPHOONSUNCERTAINTIESVULNERABILITY TO CLIMATE CHANGEWARMER CLIMATEWEATHERWINDWIND DIRECTIONWIND SHEARWIND SPEEDWIND SPEEDSWorld Bank10.1596/1813-9450-5562