The Impact of Sea Level Rise on Developing Countries : A Comparative Analysis

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collection.link.5
https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/9
collection.name.5
Policy Research Working Papers
dc.contributor.author
Dasgupta, Susmita
dc.contributor.author
Laplante, Benoit
dc.contributor.author
Meisner, Craig
dc.contributor.author
Wheeler, David
dc.contributor.author
Yan, Jianping
dc.date.accessioned
2012-06-05T20:08:00Z
dc.date.available
2012-06-05T20:08:00Z
dc.date.issued
2007-02
dc.date.lastModified
2021-04-23T14:02:33Z
dc.description.abstract
Sea level rise (SLR) due to climate change is a serious global threat. The scientific evidence is now overwhelming. Continued growth of greenhouse gas emissions and associated global warming could well promote SLR of 1m-3m in this century, and unexpectedly rapid breakup of the Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets might produce a 5m SLR. In this paper, the authors have assessed the consequences of continued SLR for 84 developing countries. Geographic Information System (GIS) software has been used to overlay the best available, spatially-disaggregated global data on critical impact elements (land, population, agriculture, urban extent, wetlands, and GDP) with the inundation zones projected for 1-5m SLR. The results reveal that hundreds of millions of people in the developing world are likely to be displaced by SLR within this century, and accompanying economic and ecological damage will be severe for many. At the country level, results are extremely skewed, with severe impacts limited to a relatively small number of countries. For these countries (such as Vietnam, A. R. of Egypt, and The Bahamas), however, the consequences of SLR are potentially catastrophic. For many others, including some of the largest (such as China), the absolute magnitudes of potential impacts are very large. At the other extreme, many developing countries experience limited impacts. Among regions, East Asia and the Middle East and North Africa exhibit the greatest relative impacts. To date, there is little evidence that the international community has seriously considered the implications of SLR for population location and infrastructure planning in developing countries. The authors hope that the information provided in this paper will encourage immediate planning for adaptation.
en
dc.identifier
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/02/7383552/impact-sea-level-rise-developing-countries-comparative-analysis
dc.identifier.uri
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7174
dc.language
English
dc.publisher
World Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relation.ispartofseries
Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4136
dc.rights
CC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holder
World Bank
dc.rights.uri
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.subject
AGRICULTURE
dc.subject
ANTARCTIC ICE SHEETS
dc.subject
ANTARCTICA
dc.subject
ASPECT
dc.subject
ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION
dc.subject
ATMOSPHERIC CONCENTRATION
dc.subject
BIODIVERSITY
dc.subject
CENTER
dc.subject
CENTRE
dc.subject
CLIMATE
dc.subject
CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subject
COAST
dc.subject
COASTAL AREAS
dc.subject
COASTAL STATES
dc.subject
DATA QUALITY
dc.subject
DATA SETS
dc.subject
DATA SOURCES
dc.subject
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
dc.subject
DIGITAL ELEVATION
dc.subject
DIGITAL ELEVATION MODEL
dc.subject
FLOODS
dc.subject
FRAMEWORK CONVENTION ON CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subject
GDP
dc.subject
GEOGRAPHIC INFORMATION
dc.subject
GEOGRAPHIC INFORMATION SYSTEM
dc.subject
GIS
dc.subject
GLACIERS
dc.subject
GLOBAL DEVELOPMENT
dc.subject
GLOBAL WARMING
dc.subject
GREENHOUSE GAS
dc.subject
GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS
dc.subject
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
dc.subject
HEAT WAVES
dc.subject
HUMAN ACTIVITY
dc.subject
ICE CAPS
dc.subject
INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY
dc.subject
INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE
dc.subject
IPCC
dc.subject
LAKES
dc.subject
LAND AREA
dc.subject
LAND SURFACE
dc.subject
LAND USE
dc.subject
MIDDLE EAST
dc.subject
NATIONAL POPULATION
dc.subject
NORTH AFRICA
dc.subject
NUMBER OF PEOPLE
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OVERLAY
dc.subject
POLICY RESEARCH
dc.subject
POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER
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POTENTIAL IMPACTS
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PROGRESS
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QUALITY ASSURANCE
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QUALITY CONTROL
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REGIONAL IMPACTS
dc.subject
RESOURCE ALLOCATION
dc.subject
RISING SEA LEVELS
dc.subject
RIVER
dc.subject
RIVER DELTAS
dc.subject
SAHARA
dc.subject
SCIENTIFIC EVIDENCE
dc.subject
SEA LEVEL
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SEA LEVEL RISE
dc.subject
SHORELINES
dc.subject
SOUTH ASIAN
dc.subject
STORMS
dc.subject
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
dc.subject
TA
dc.subject
THE GAMBIA
dc.subject
TOLERANCE
dc.subject
URBAN INFRASTRUCTURE
dc.subject
URBAN POPULATION
dc.subject
WAVES
dc.subject
WETLAND
dc.subject
WETLANDS
dc.subject
WETLANDS LOSS
dc.title
The Impact of Sea Level Rise on Developing Countries : A Comparative Analysis
en
okr.dataset.url
https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/node/172666
okr.doctype
Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
okr.doctype
Publications & Research
okr.docurl
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/02/7383552/impact-sea-level-rise-developing-countries-comparative-analysis
okr.globalpractice
Environment and Natural Resources
okr.globalpractice
Water
okr.globalpractice
Health, Nutrition, and Population
okr.googlescholar.linkpresent
yes
okr.identifier.doi
10.1596/1813-9450-4136
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum
000016406_20070209161430
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum
7383552
okr.identifier.report
WPS4136
okr.language.supported
en
okr.pdfurl
http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/WDSContentServer/WDSP/IB/2007/02/09/000016406_20070209161430/Rendered/PDF/wps4136.pdf
en
okr.topic
Geographical Information Systems
okr.topic
Health, Nutrition and Population :: Population Policies
okr.topic
Country Strategy and Performance
okr.topic
Climate Change
okr.topic
Water Resources :: Wetlands
okr.topic
Environment
okr.unit
Development Research Group (DECRG)
okr.volume
1 of 1

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