Climate Volatility and Poverty Vulnerability in Tanzania

Show simple item record

collection.link.5
https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/9
collection.name.5
Policy Research Working Papers
dc.contributor.author
Ahmed, Syud Amer
dc.contributor.author
Diffenbaugh, Noah S.
dc.contributor.author
Hertel, Thomas W.
dc.contributor.author
Lobell, David B.
dc.contributor.author
Ramankutty, Navin
dc.contributor.author
Rios, Ana R.
dc.contributor.author
Rowhani, Pedram
dc.date.accessioned
2012-03-19T19:13:42Z
dc.date.available
2012-03-19T19:13:42Z
dc.date.issued
2009-11-01
dc.date.lastModified
2021-04-23T14:02:17Z
dc.description.abstract
Climate models generally indicate that climate volatility may rise in the future, severely affecting agricultural productivity through greater frequency of yield-diminishing climate extremes, such as droughts. For Tanzania, where agricultural production is sensitive to climate, changes in climate volatility could have significant implications for poverty. This study assesses the vulnerability of Tanzania s population to poverty to changes in climate variability between the late 20th century and early this century. Future climate scenarios with the largest increases in climate volatility are projected to make Tanzanians increasingly vulnerable to poverty through its impacts on the production of staple grains, with as many as 90,000 additional people, representing 0.26 percent of the population, entering poverty in the median case. Extreme poverty-increasing outcomes are also found to be greater in the future under certain climate scenarios. In the 20th century, the greatest predicted increase in poverty was equal to 880,000 people, while in the 21st century, the highest possible poverty increase was equal to 1.17 million people (approximately 3.4 percent of the population). The results suggest that the potential impacts of changes in climate volatility and climate extremes can be significant for poverty in Sub-Saharan African countries like Tanzania.
en
dc.identifier
http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20091109085100
dc.identifier.uri
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/4309
dc.language
English
dc.relation.ispartofseries
Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5117
dc.rights
CC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holder
World Bank
dc.rights.uri
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.subject
ACCESS TO FOOD
dc.subject
ADMINISTRATIVE REGION
dc.subject
ADVERSE CLIMATE
dc.subject
AGGREGATE LEVEL
dc.subject
AGGREGATE SUPPLY
dc.subject
AGRICULTURAL ACTIVITIES
dc.subject
AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS
dc.subject
AGRICULTURAL LAND
dc.subject
AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT
dc.subject
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
dc.subject
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY
dc.subject
AGRICULTURAL YIELDS
dc.subject
ARABLE LAND
dc.subject
ATMOSPHERIC GREENHOUSE GAS
dc.subject
ATMOSPHERIC GREENHOUSE GAS CONCENTRATIONS
dc.subject
ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
dc.subject
CLIMATE
dc.subject
CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subject
CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION
dc.subject
CLIMATE CHANGE ANALYSIS
dc.subject
CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS
dc.subject
CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH
dc.subject
CLIMATE CHANGES
dc.subject
CLIMATE DATA
dc.subject
CLIMATE EFFECTS
dc.subject
CLIMATE EXTREMES
dc.subject
CLIMATE IMPACTS
dc.subject
CLIMATE MODEL
dc.subject
CLIMATE MODELS
dc.subject
CLIMATE OUTCOMES
dc.subject
CLIMATE POLICY
dc.subject
CLIMATE PREDICTION
dc.subject
CLIMATE PREDICTIONS
dc.subject
CLIMATE PROJECTIONS
dc.subject
CLIMATE RESEARCH
dc.subject
CLIMATE RESEARCH UNIT
dc.subject
CLIMATE SCIENCE
dc.subject
CLIMATE SYSTEM
dc.subject
CLIMATE VARIABILITY
dc.subject
CLIMATE VARIABLES
dc.subject
CLIMATE VARIATION
dc.subject
CLIMATE VARIATIONS
dc.subject
CLIMATEPOVERTY
dc.subject
CLIMATES
dc.subject
CONSUMER BEHAVIOR
dc.subject
CONSUMER DEMAND
dc.subject
CONSUMER PRICES
dc.subject
CONSUMPTION DATA
dc.subject
CONSUMPTION PATTERNS
dc.subject
CROP PRODUCTION
dc.subject
CROP YIELD
dc.subject
CROP YIELDS
dc.subject
CROPLAND
dc.subject
CRU
dc.subject
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
dc.subject
DIVERSIFICATION
dc.subject
DROUGHT
dc.subject
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
dc.subject
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
dc.subject
EMISSIONS
dc.subject
EMISSIONS SCENARIO
dc.subject
EXTREME CLIMATE EVENTS
dc.subject
EXTREME EVENTS
dc.subject
EXTREME HEAT
dc.subject
EXTREME POVERTY
dc.subject
EXTREMES OF CLIMATE
dc.subject
FAMINE
dc.subject
FARMER
dc.subject
FARMERS
dc.subject
FINANCIAL SERVICES
dc.subject
FLOODS
dc.subject
FOOD EXPENDITURE
dc.subject
FOOD INSECURITY
dc.subject
FOOD POLICY
dc.subject
FOOD PRICE
dc.subject
FOOD PRICES
dc.subject
FOOD PRODUCTION
dc.subject
FOOD SECURITY
dc.subject
FOOD SUPPLY
dc.subject
FOREST
dc.subject
FOREST METEOROLOGY
dc.subject
FUTURE CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subject
FUTURE CLIMATE SCENARIOS
dc.subject
GCM
dc.subject
GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL
dc.subject
GLOBAL CLIMATE
dc.subject
GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subject
GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE POLICY
dc.subject
GLOBAL WARMING
dc.subject
GREENHOUSE
dc.subject
GREENHOUSE GAS SOURCES
dc.subject
GROWING SEASON TEMPERATURE
dc.subject
GROWING SEASON TEMPERATURES
dc.subject
HOUSEHOLD BEHAVIOR
dc.subject
HOUSEHOLD BUDGET
dc.subject
HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION
dc.subject
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
dc.subject
HOUSEHOLD INCOMES
dc.subject
HOUSEHOLD SURVEY
dc.subject
IMPACT OF CLIMATE
dc.subject
IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subject
IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON AGRICULTURE
dc.subject
INCOME
dc.subject
INCOME ON FOOD
dc.subject
INCREASE IN TEMPERATURE
dc.subject
INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subject
IPCC
dc.subject
IRRIGATION
dc.subject
LAND USE
dc.subject
MEAN TEMPERATURE
dc.subject
MEAT
dc.subject
MONETARY FUND
dc.subject
NATIONAL INCOME
dc.subject
NATIONAL POVERTY
dc.subject
NATIONAL POVERTY HEADCOUNT
dc.subject
NATIONAL POVERTY LINE
dc.subject
NATIONAL POVERTY RATE
dc.subject
NET INCOME
dc.subject
PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION
dc.subject
POLICY MAKERS
dc.subject
POOR
dc.subject
POVERTY ANALYSIS
dc.subject
POVERTY HEADCOUNT RATE
dc.subject
POVERTY IMPACT
dc.subject
POVERTY INCREASE
dc.subject
POVERTY LEVEL
dc.subject
POVERTY PROFILE
dc.subject
PP
dc.subject
PRECIPITATION
dc.subject
PRICE VOLATILITY
dc.subject
RAINFALL
dc.subject
REDUCTION OF POVERTY
dc.subject
REGIONAL CLIMATE
dc.subject
REGIONAL CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subject
RURAL
dc.subject
RURAL AREAS
dc.subject
RURAL DEVELOPMENT
dc.subject
RURAL LABOR
dc.subject
RURAL SECTOR
dc.subject
SEASON
dc.subject
SUBSISTENCE
dc.subject
SUBSTITUTION
dc.subject
TEMPERATURE
dc.subject
TEMPERATURE DATA
dc.subject
TEMPERATURE RELATIVE
dc.subject
TEMPORAL TRENDS
dc.subject
TOTAL POVERTY
dc.subject
UNCERTAINTIES
dc.subject
UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES
dc.subject
UTILITY FUNCTION
dc.title
Climate Volatility and Poverty Vulnerability in Tanzania
en
okr.doctype
Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
okr.docurl
http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20091109085100
okr.globalpractice
Poverty
okr.googlescholar.linkpresent
yes
okr.identifier.doi
10.1596/1813-9450-5117
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum
000158349_20091109085100
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum
11324716
okr.identifier.report
WPS5117
okr.language.supported
en
okr.pdfurl
http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/WDSContentServer/WDSP/IB/2009/11/09/000158349_20091109085100/Rendered/PDF/WPS5117.pdf
en
okr.region.administrative
Africa
okr.region.administrative
Africa
okr.region.country
Tanzania
okr.region.geographical
Sub-Saharan Africa
okr.region.geographical
East Africa
okr.sector
Industry and trade :: Other domestic and international trade
okr.theme
Trade and integration :: Other trade and integration
okr.topic
Poverty Reduction :: Rural Poverty Reduction
okr.unit
Development Research Group (DECRG)
okr.volume
1 of 1

Show simple item record



This item appears in the following Collection(s)