Working Paper

Piloting the Use of Network Analysis and Decision-Making under Uncertainty in Transport Operations : Preparation and Appraisal of a Rural Roads Project in Mozambique under Changing Flood Risk and Other Deep Uncertainties

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collection.link.5
https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/9
collection.name.5
Policy Research Working Papers
dc.contributor.author
Espinet, Xavier
dc.contributor.author
Rozenberg, Julie
dc.contributor.author
Rao, Kulwinder Singh
dc.contributor.author
Ogita, Satoshi
dc.date.accessioned
2018-06-28T15:21:27Z
dc.date.available
2018-06-28T15:21:27Z
dc.date.issued
2018-06
dc.date.lastModified
2021-06-08T14:42:46Z
dc.description.abstract
This paper presents a methodology to identify key priority areas for transport investments. The methodology uses a geospatial data-driven approach and then proposes an innovative economic analysis for project appraisal. The two main steps involve (i) prioritization of road interventions based on a set of economic, social, and risk reduction criteria; and (ii) assessment of monetized and nonmonetized costs and benefits of road interventions under many scenarios covering the uncertainty on future risks and other factors. This methodology is used at different stages of project preparation for a rural roads lending operation to the Government of Mozambique. In the two regions of Mozambique considered, the analysis prioritizes regions along the coast when combining agriculture, fisheries, poverty, network criticality, and hazard risk criteria. With a limited budget of US$15 million per district, the results show that investing in repairing and rehabilitating culverts and bridges is the intervention that performs better under most of the scenarios.
en
dc.identifier
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/787411529606457222/Piloting-the-use-of-network-analysis-and-decision-making-under-uncertainty-in-transport-operations-preparation-and-appraisal-of-a-rural-roads-project-in-Mozambique-under-changing-flood-risk-and-other-deep-uncertainties
dc.identifier.uri
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29943
dc.language
English
dc.publisher
World Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relation.ispartofseries
Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8490
dc.rights
CC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holder
World Bank
dc.rights.uri
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo
dc.subject
TRANSPORT
dc.subject
TRANSPORT POLICY
dc.subject
TRANSPORT PLANNING
dc.subject
CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subject
DECISION MAKING
dc.subject
GEOSPATIAL ECONOMICS
dc.subject
RURAL DEVELOPMENT
dc.subject
RURAL TRANSPORT
dc.subject
RURAL ROADS
dc.subject
RISK MANAGEMENT
dc.title
Piloting the Use of Network Analysis and Decision-Making under Uncertainty in Transport Operations
en
dc.title.subtitle
Preparation and Appraisal of a Rural Roads Project in Mozambique under Changing Flood Risk and Other Deep Uncertainties
en
dc.type
Working Paper
en
okr.crossref.title
Piloting the Use of Network Analysis and Decision-Making under Uncertainty in Transport Operations: Preparation and Appraisal of a Rural Roads Project in Mozambique Under Changing Flood Risk and Other Deep Uncertainties
okr.date.disclosure
2018-06-21
okr.doctype
Publications & Research
okr.doctype
Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
okr.docurl
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/787411529606457222/Piloting-the-use-of-network-analysis-and-decision-making-under-uncertainty-in-transport-operations-preparation-and-appraisal-of-a-rural-roads-project-in-Mozambique-under-changing-flood-risk-and-other-deep-uncertainties
okr.googlescholar.linkpresent
yes
okr.identifier.doi
10.1596/1813-9450-8490
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum
090224b085c5ca7b_1_0
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum
30187741
okr.identifier.report
WPS8490
okr.imported
true
en
okr.language.supported
en
okr.pdfurl
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/787411529606457222/pdf/WPS8490.pdf
en
okr.region.administrative
Africa
okr.region.country
Mozambique
okr.statistics.dr
787411529606457222
okr.topic
Environment :: Climate Change Impacts
okr.topic
Macroeconomics and Economic Growth :: Spatial and Local Economic Development
okr.topic
Rural Development :: Rural Roads & Transport
okr.topic
Water Resources :: Flood Control
okr.topic
Transport :: Roads & Highways
okr.topic
Transport :: Transport Economics Policy & Planning
okr.unit
Sustainable Development Chief Economist Office; and Transport and Digital Development Global Practice

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