Publication: Heat Exposure and Youth Migration in Central America and the Caribbean

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Date
2017-05
ISSN
0002-8282
Published
2017-05
Author(s)
Baez, Javier
Caruso, German
Mueller, Valerie
Niu, Chiyu
Abstract
We employ a triple difference-in-difference approach, using censuses and georeferenced temperature data, to quantify heat effects on internal migration in Central America and the Caribbean. A 1-standard deviation increase in heat would affect the lives of 7,314 and 1,578 unskilled young women and men. The effect is smaller than observed in response to droughts and hurricanes but could increase with climate change. Interestingly, youth facing heat waves are more likely to move to urban centers than when exposed to disasters endemic to the region. Research identifying the implications of these choices and interventions available to minimize distress migration is warranted.
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