Working Paper

How Much Oil is the Islamic State Group Producing? : Evidence from Remote Sensing

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collection.link.5
https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/9
collection.name.5
Policy Research Working Papers
dc.contributor.author
Do, Quy-Toan
dc.contributor.author
Shapiro, Jacob N.
dc.contributor.author
Elvidge, Christopher D.
dc.contributor.author
Abdel-Jelil, Mohamed
dc.contributor.author
Ahn, Daniel P.
dc.contributor.author
Baugh, Kimberly
dc.contributor.author
Hansen-Lewis, Jamie
dc.contributor.author
Zhizhin, Mikhail
dc.date.accessioned
2017-11-01T17:16:10Z
dc.date.available
2017-11-01T17:16:10Z
dc.date.issued
2017-10
dc.description.abstract
Accurately measuring oil production in low-governance contexts is an important task. Many terrorist organizations and insurgencies -- including the Islamic State group, also known as ISIL/ISIS or Daesh -- tap oil as a revenue source. Understanding spatial and temporal variation in production in their territory can help address such threats by providing near real-time monitoring of their revenue streams, helping to assess long-term economic potential, and informing reconstruction strategies. More broadly, remotely measuring extractive industry activity in conflict-affected areas and other regions without reliable administrative data can support a broad range of public policy decisions and academic research. This paper uses satellite multi-spectral imaging and ground-truth pre-war output data to effectively construct a real-time day-to-day census of oil production in areas controlled by the terrorist group. The estimates of production levels were approximately 56,000 barrels per day (bpd) from July-December 2014, drop to an average of 35,000 bpd throughout 2015, before dropping further to approximately 16,000 bpd in 2016.
en
dc.identifier.uri
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/28617
dc.language
English
dc.publisher
World Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relation.ispartofseries
Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8231
dc.rights
CC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holder
World Bank
dc.rights.uri
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo
dc.subject
OIL
dc.subject
REMOTE SENSING
dc.subject
FLARING
dc.subject
ISLAMIC STATE
dc.subject
OIL PRODUCTION
dc.subject
OIL REVENUE
dc.subject
ISIL
dc.subject
ISIS
dc.subject
DAESH
dc.title
How Much Oil is the Islamic State Group Producing?
en
dc.title.subtitle
Evidence from Remote Sensing
dc.type
Working Paper
en
okr.date.disclosure
2017-10-31
okr.doctype
Publications & Research
okr.doctype
Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
okr.docurl
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/239611509455488520/How-much-oil-is-the-Islamic-state-group-producing-evidence-from-remote-sensing
okr.googlescholar.linkpresent
yes
okr.identifier.doi
10.1596/1813-9450-8231
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum
090224b085180c0a_1_0
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum
28121390
okr.identifier.report
WPS8231
okr.imported
true
en
okr.language.supported
en
okr.pdfurl
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/239611509455488520/pdf/WPS8231.pdf
en
okr.region.administrative
Middle East and North Africa
okr.region.country
Iraq
okr.region.country
Syrian Arab Republic
okr.topic
Conflict and Development :: Armed Conflict
okr.topic
Conflict and Development :: Conflict and Fragile States
okr.topic
Conflict and Development :: International Terrorism & Counterterrorism
okr.topic
Energy :: Oil & Gas
okr.topic
Conflict and Development :: Post Conflict Reconstruction
okr.unit
Poverty and Inequality Team, Development Research Group

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