Gone with the Storm : Rainfall Shocks and Household Well-Being in Guatemala

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collection.link.5
https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/9
collection.name.5
Policy Research Working Papers
dc.contributor.author
Baez, Javier E.
dc.contributor.author
Lucchetti, Leonardo
dc.contributor.author
Genoni, Maria E.
dc.contributor.author
Salazar, Mateo
dc.date.accessioned
2015-02-03T17:21:14Z
dc.date.available
2015-02-03T17:21:14Z
dc.date.issued
2015-01
dc.date.lastModified
2021-04-23T14:04:02Z
dc.description.abstract
This paper investigates the causal consequences of Tropical Storm Agatha (2010) -- the strongest tropical storm ever to strike Guatemala since rainfall records have been kept -- on household welfare. The analysis reveals substantial negative effects, particularly among urban households. Per capita consumption fell by 12.6 percent, raising poverty by 5.5 percentage points (an increase of 18 percent). The negative effects of the shock span other areas of human welfare. Households cut back on food consumption (10 percent or 43 to 108 fewer calories per person per day) and reduced expenditures on basic durables. These effects are related to a drop in income per capita (10 percent), mostly among salaried workers. Adults coped with the shock by increasing their labor supply (on the intensive margin) and simultaneously relying on the labor supply of their children and withdrawing them from school. Impact heterogeneity is associated with the intensity of the shock, food price inflation, and the timing of Agatha with respect to the harvest cycle of the main crops. The results are robust to placebo treatments, household migration, issues of measurement error, and different samples. The negative effects of the storm partly explain the increase in poverty seen in urban Guatemala between 2006 and 2011, which national authorities and analysts previously attributed solely to the collateral effects of the global financial crisis.
en
dc.identifier
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/01/23884248/gone-storm-rainfall-shocks-household-well-being-guatemala
dc.identifier.uri
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/21396
dc.language
English
dc.language.iso
en_US
dc.publisher
World Bank Group, Washington, DC
dc.relation.ispartofseries
Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7177
dc.rights
CC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.uri
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.subject
ACCESS TO ELECTRICITY
dc.subject
AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS
dc.subject
AGRICULTURAL LAND
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ALLOCATION
dc.subject
ALLOCATION MECHANISM
dc.subject
ANTI-POVERTY
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AVERAGE PRICE
dc.subject
BUFFER STOCK
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CALORIE INTAKE
dc.subject
CALORIES PER DAY
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CALORIES PER PERSON
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CALORIES PER PERSON PER DAY
dc.subject
CASH TRANSFERS
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CHILD LABOR
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CHILD NUTRITION
dc.subject
CLIMATE
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COLLATERAL EFFECTS
dc.subject
CONSUMPTION AGGREGATE
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CONSUMPTION BASKET
dc.subject
CONSUMPTION DATA
dc.subject
CONSUMPTION INSURANCE
dc.subject
CONSUMPTION MEASURE
dc.subject
CONSUMPTION PRICE
dc.subject
CONSUMPTION SMOOTHING
dc.subject
CROP INCOME
dc.subject
DEMOGRAPHIC CHARACTERISTICS
dc.subject
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
dc.subject
DIVERSIFICATION
dc.subject
DOMESTIC PRODUCTION
dc.subject
DROUGHT
dc.subject
ECONOMETRIC MODELS
dc.subject
ECONOMIC IMPACTS
dc.subject
ENERGY CONSUMPTION
dc.subject
EXTREME EVENTS
dc.subject
EXTREME POVERTY
dc.subject
EXTREME POVERTY LINE
dc.subject
EXTREME RAINFALL
dc.subject
EXTREME WEATHER
dc.subject
EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS
dc.subject
FINANCIAL CRISIS
dc.subject
FOOD AID
dc.subject
FOOD CONSUMPTION
dc.subject
FOOD EXPENDITURES
dc.subject
FOOD ITEMS
dc.subject
FOOD PRICE
dc.subject
FOOD PRICES
dc.subject
FOOD SECURITY
dc.subject
GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM
dc.subject
GEOGRAPHICAL REGIONS
dc.subject
HIGHER INCIDENCE OF POVERTY
dc.subject
HOUSEHOLD BUDGET
dc.subject
HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION
dc.subject
HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA
dc.subject
HOUSEHOLD DATA
dc.subject
HOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURES
dc.subject
HOUSEHOLD HEAD
dc.subject
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
dc.subject
HOUSEHOLD MEMBERS
dc.subject
HOUSEHOLD SURVEY
dc.subject
HOUSEHOLD WELFARE
dc.subject
HOUSING
dc.subject
HUMAN CAPITAL
dc.subject
HUMAN CAPITAL FORMATION
dc.subject
HUMANITARIAN ASSISTANCE
dc.subject
HURRICANE
dc.subject
HURRICANE RISK
dc.subject
HURRICANES
dc.subject
INCOME
dc.subject
INCOME RISK
dc.subject
INCOME SHOCK
dc.subject
INEQUALITY
dc.subject
INFANT MORTALITY
dc.subject
INFANT MORTALITY RATES
dc.subject
INSURANCE
dc.subject
JOBS
dc.subject
LABOR INCOME
dc.subject
LABOR SUPPLY
dc.subject
LIVING STANDARDS
dc.subject
LOSSES IN CONSUMPTION
dc.subject
MALNUTRITION
dc.subject
MILK
dc.subject
NATIONAL POVERTY
dc.subject
NATIONAL POVERTY LINE
dc.subject
NATIONAL POVERTY RATE
dc.subject
NATURAL DISASTER
dc.subject
NATURAL DISASTERS
dc.subject
NATURAL SHOCKS
dc.subject
NUTRITION
dc.subject
PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION
dc.subject
POOR
dc.subject
POVERTY GAP
dc.subject
POVERTY INCIDENCE
dc.subject
POVERTY LINES
dc.subject
POVERTY MAP
dc.subject
POVERTY PERSISTENCE
dc.subject
POVERTY RATE
dc.subject
POVERTY RATES
dc.subject
POVERTY STATUS
dc.subject
POVERTY THRESHOLD
dc.subject
PRICE INDEX
dc.subject
PRIVATE TRANSFERS
dc.subject
PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION
dc.subject
REDUCTION IN CONSUMPTION
dc.subject
RESOURCE ECONOMICS
dc.subject
RISK MANAGEMENT
dc.subject
RURAL
dc.subject
RURAL AREAS
dc.subject
RURAL FAMILIES
dc.subject
RURAL HOUSEHOLDS
dc.subject
RURAL POOR
dc.subject
RURAL POOR HOUSEHOLDS
dc.subject
RURAL VILLAGES
dc.subject
SANITATION
dc.subject
SCHOOL ATTENDANCE
dc.subject
SCHOOLING
dc.subject
SOCIAL PROTECTION
dc.subject
STORMS
dc.subject
SUBSISTENCE
dc.subject
TOTAL CONSUMPTION
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TOTAL DAMAGES
dc.subject
TOTAL INCOME
dc.subject
TROPICAL CYCLONE
dc.subject
TROPICAL STORM
dc.subject
VULNERABILITY TO POVERTY
dc.subject
WELFARE INDICATOR
dc.title
Gone with the Storm : Rainfall Shocks and Household Well-Being in Guatemala
en
okr.date.disclosure
2015-01-15
okr.doctype
Publications & Research
okr.doctype
Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
okr.docurl
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/01/23884248/gone-storm-rainfall-shocks-household-well-being-guatemala
okr.globalpractice
Poverty
okr.googlescholar.linkpresent
yes
okr.identifier.doi
10.1596/1813-9450-7177
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum
000158349_20150126092238
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum
23884248
okr.identifier.report
WPS7177
okr.language.supported
en
okr.pdfurl
http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/WDSContentServer/WDSP/IB/2015/01/26/000158349_20150126092238/Rendered/PDF/WPS7177.pdf
en
okr.region.administrative
Latin America & Caribbean
okr.region.country
Guatemala
okr.topic
Poverty Reduction :: Rural Poverty Reduction
okr.topic
Macroeconomics and Economic Growth :: Regional Economic Development
okr.topic
Macroeconomics and Economic Growth :: Consumption
okr.topic
Macroeconomics and Economic Growth :: Climate Change Economics
okr.topic
Poverty Reduction :: Poverty, Environment and Development
okr.unit
Poverty Global Practice Group

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