How Significant is Africa's Demographic Dividend for Its Future Growth and Poverty Reduction?

Show simple item record

collection.link.5
https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/9
collection.name.5
Policy Research Working Papers
dc.contributor.author
Ahmed, S. Amer
dc.contributor.author
Cruz, Marcio
dc.contributor.author
Go, Delfin S.
dc.contributor.author
Maliszewska, Maryla
dc.contributor.author
Osorio-Rodarte, Israel
dc.date.accessioned
2014-12-12T21:26:12Z
dc.date.available
2014-12-12T21:26:12Z
dc.date.issued
2014-12
dc.description.abstract
Africa will be undergoing substantial demographic changes in the coming decades with the rising working age share of its population. The opportunity of African countries to convert these changes into demographic dividends for growth and poverty reduction will depend on several factors. The outlook will likely be good if African countries can continue the gains already made under better institutions and policies, particularly those affecting the productivity of labor, such as educational outcomes. If African countries can continue to build on the hard-won development gains, the demographic dividend could account for 11 to 15 percent of gross domestic product volume growth by 2030, while accounting for 40 to 60 million fewer poor in 2030. The gains can become much more substantial with even better educational outcomes that allow African countries to catch up to other developing countries. If the skill share of Africa's labor supply doubles because of improvements in educational attainment, from 25 to about 50 percent between 2011 and 30, then the demographic dividends can expand the regional economy additionally by 22 percent by 2030 relative to the base case and reduce poverty by an additional 51 million people.
en
dc.identifier
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/12/22316368/significant-africas-demographic-dividend-future-growth-poverty-reduction
dc.identifier.uri
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/20697
dc.language
English
dc.language.iso
en_US
dc.publisher
World Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relation.ispartofseries
Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7134
dc.rights
CC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.uri
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.subject
AGRICULTURAL SECTOR
dc.subject
AGRICULTURE
dc.subject
ANNUAL GROWTH
dc.subject
AVERAGE ANNUAL GROWTH
dc.subject
AVERAGE GROWTH
dc.subject
AVERAGE GROWTH RATE
dc.subject
BASE YEAR
dc.subject
BENCHMARK
dc.subject
CAPITAL ACCUMULATION
dc.subject
CAPITAL FORMATION
dc.subject
CAPITAL STOCK
dc.subject
CONSTANT RATE
dc.subject
CONSUMPTION GROWTH
dc.subject
CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE
dc.subject
CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCES
dc.subject
DAMAGES
dc.subject
DEBT
dc.subject
DEBT RELIEF
dc.subject
DEMOGRAPHIC
dc.subject
DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE
dc.subject
DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES
dc.subject
DEMOGRAPHIC EFFECTS
dc.subject
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
dc.subject
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
dc.subject
DEVELOPING COUNTRY
dc.subject
DEVELOPING COUNTRY ECONOMIES
dc.subject
DEVELOPING WORLD
dc.subject
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
dc.subject
DEVELOPMENT GOALS
dc.subject
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
dc.subject
DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH
dc.subject
DIVIDEND
dc.subject
DIVIDENDS
dc.subject
DOMESTIC SAVINGS
dc.subject
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
dc.subject
ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS
dc.subject
ECONOMIC CONSEQUENCES
dc.subject
ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENTS
dc.subject
ECONOMIC GROWTH
dc.subject
ECONOMIC IMPACT
dc.subject
ECONOMIC STRUCTURE
dc.subject
EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT
dc.subject
EMPIRICAL ESTIMATES
dc.subject
EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE
dc.subject
EMPIRICAL LITERATURE
dc.subject
EXPORTS
dc.subject
EXPOSURE
dc.subject
EXTERNAL SHOCKS
dc.subject
EXTREME POVERTY
dc.subject
FERTILITY RATES
dc.subject
FORECASTS
dc.subject
FOREIGN CAPITAL
dc.subject
FOREIGN INVESTMENT
dc.subject
FUNCTIONAL FORM
dc.subject
FUTURE GROWTH
dc.subject
GDP
dc.subject
GDP PER CAPITA
dc.subject
GLOBAL ECONOMIC PROSPECTS
dc.subject
GLOBAL ECONOMICS
dc.subject
GLOBAL ECONOMY
dc.subject
GLOBAL EXPORTS
dc.subject
GLOBAL INVESTMENT
dc.subject
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
dc.subject
GROSS OUTPUT
dc.subject
GROWTH ASSUMPTIONS
dc.subject
GROWTH OF LABOR
dc.subject
GROWTH PATH
dc.subject
GROWTH PERFORMANCE
dc.subject
GROWTH RATE
dc.subject
GROWTH RATES
dc.subject
GROWTH TERM
dc.subject
GROWTH THEORY
dc.subject
HEADCOUNT POVERTY
dc.subject
HIGH GROWTH
dc.subject
HIGH INCOME
dc.subject
HIGH INCOME COUNTRIES
dc.subject
HIGH POVERTY
dc.subject
HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS
dc.subject
HUMAN CAPITAL
dc.subject
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
dc.subject
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
dc.subject
INCOME DISTRIBUTIONS
dc.subject
INCOME GROWTH
dc.subject
INCOMES
dc.subject
INCREASE IN CAPITAL
dc.subject
INDIVIDUAL COUNTRIES
dc.subject
INEQUALITY OUTCOMES
dc.subject
LABOR DEMAND
dc.subject
LABOR FORCE
dc.subject
LABOR FORCE GROWTH
dc.subject
LABOR MARKET
dc.subject
LABOR MARKETS
dc.subject
LABOR SUPPLY
dc.subject
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
dc.subject
LEVEL OF EDUCATION
dc.subject
LIC
dc.subject
LONG RUN
dc.subject
LOW INCOME
dc.subject
LOW INCOME COUNTRIES
dc.subject
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
dc.subject
MACROECONOMIC STABILIZATION
dc.subject
MARGINAL PROPENSITY
dc.subject
MARGINAL PROPENSITY TO CONSUME
dc.subject
MARKET PRICES
dc.subject
MEAN INCOME
dc.subject
MICRO DATA
dc.subject
MIDDLE INCOME
dc.subject
MIDDLE INCOME COUNTRIES
dc.subject
MIDDLE-INCOME COUNTRIES
dc.subject
NATIONAL ACCOUNTS
dc.subject
NATURAL CAPITAL
dc.subject
NATURAL RESOURCES
dc.subject
OUTPUT GROWTH
dc.subject
OUTPUT PER CAPITA
dc.subject
PER CAPITA GROWTH
dc.subject
PERFECT COMPETITION
dc.subject
POLICY MAKERS
dc.subject
POLICY RESEARCH
dc.subject
POOR GOVERNANCE
dc.subject
POPULATION SHARE
dc.subject
POVERTY IMPACT
dc.subject
POVERTY LINE
dc.subject
POVERTY RATE
dc.subject
POVERTY RATES
dc.subject
POVERTY REDUCTION
dc.subject
PRIVATE SAVING
dc.subject
PRODUCTIVITY
dc.subject
PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
dc.subject
RAPID GROWTH
dc.subject
REAL GDP
dc.subject
REAL GROWTH RATE
dc.subject
REAL INCOME
dc.subject
REDUCING POVERTY
dc.subject
REGIONAL ECONOMY
dc.subject
REVIEW OF ECONOMICS
dc.subject
SHARE OF LABOR
dc.subject
SKILLED WORKER
dc.subject
SKILLED WORKERS
dc.subject
STATE INTERVENTIONS
dc.subject
TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY
dc.subject
UNDERESTIMATES
dc.subject
UNEMPLOYMENT
dc.subject
UNEMPLOYMENT RATES
dc.subject
UNSKILLED LABOR
dc.subject
URBANIZATION
dc.subject
VALUE ADDED
dc.subject
VOLATILITY
dc.subject
WAGES
dc.title
How Significant is Africa's Demographic Dividend for Its Future Growth and Poverty Reduction?
en
okr.date.disclosure
2014-12-05
okr.doctype
Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
okr.doctype
Publications & Research
okr.docurl
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/12/22316368/significant-africas-demographic-dividend-future-growth-poverty-reduction
okr.globalpractice
Macroeconomics and Fiscal Management
okr.globalpractice
Poverty
okr.googlescholar.linkpresent
yes
okr.identifier.doi
10.1596/1813-9450-7134
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum
000158349_20141208151209
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum
22316368
okr.identifier.report
WPS7134
okr.language.supported
en
okr.pdfurl
http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/WDSContentServer/WDSP/IB/2014/12/08/000158349_20141208151209/Rendered/PDF/WPS7134.pdf
en
okr.region.administrative
Africa
okr.sector
Health and other social services :: Other social services
okr.theme
Economic management :: Economic statistics, modeling and forecasting
okr.theme
Human development :: Population and reproductive health
okr.topic
Poverty Reduction :: Achieving Shared Growth
okr.topic
Macroeconomics and Economic Growth :: Economic Growth
okr.topic
Economic Theory and Research
okr.topic
Private Sector Development :: Emerging Markets
okr.topic
Macroeconomics and Economic Growth :: Economic Conditions and Volatility

Show simple item record



This item appears in the following Collection(s)