Turn Down the Heat : Confronting the New Climate Normal

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collection.link.129
https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/5993
collection.link.131
https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/5996
collection.name.129
Stand alone books
collection.name.131
Arabic PDFs Available
dc.contributor.author
World Bank Group
dc.date.accessioned
2014-11-22T18:53:11Z
dc.date.available
2014-11-22T18:53:11Z
dc.date.issued
2014-11-23
dc.date.lastModified
2020-07-23T18:22:12Z
dc.description.abstract
This report focuses on the risks of climate change to development in Latin America and the Caribbean, the Middle East and North Africa, and parts of Europe and Central Asia. Building on earlier Turn Down the Heat reports, this new scientific analysis examines the likely impacts of present day (0.8°C), 2°C and 4°C warming above pre-industrial temperatures on agricultural production, water resources, ecosystem services, and coastal vulnerability for affected populations. Data show that dramatic climate changes, heat, and weather extremes are already impacting people, damaging crops and coastlines, and putting food, water, and energy security at risk. Across the three regions studied in this report, record-breaking temperatures are occurring more frequently, rainfall has increased in intensity in some places, while drought-prone regions are getting dryer. The poor and underprivileged, as well as the elderly and children, are found to be hit the hardest. There is growing evidence that even with very ambitious mitigation action, warming close to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels by mid-century is already locked into the Earth’s atmospheric system, and climate change impacts such as extreme heat events may now be unavoidable. If the planet continues warming to 4°C, climatic conditions, heat, and other weather extremes considered highly unusual or unprecedented today would become the new climate normal—a world of increased risks and instability. The consequences for development would be severe as crop yields decline, water resources change, diseases move into new ranges, and sea levels rise. The task of promoting human development, ending poverty, increasing global prosperity, and reducing global inequality will be very challenging in a 2°C world, but in a 4°C world there is serious doubt whether this can be achieved at all. Immediate steps are needed to help countries adapt to the climate impacts being felt today and the unavoidable consequences of a rapidly warming world. The benefits of strong, early action on climate change -- action that follows clean, low carbon pathways and avoids locking in unsustainable growth strategies -- far outweigh the costs. Many of the worst projected climate impacts could still be avoided by holding warming to below 2°C. But the time to act is now.
en
dc.identifier.isbn
978-1-4648-0437-3
dc.identifier.uri
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/20595
dc.language.iso
en_US
dc.publisher
Washington, DC: World Bank
dc.rights
CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.uri
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo
dc.subject
4 degree celsius warmer world
dc.subject
adaptation
dc.subject
agricultural production
dc.subject
agriculture
dc.subject
cities
dc.subject
aridity
dc.subject
climate change
dc.subject
climate extremes
dc.subject
climate impacts
dc.subject
climate policy
dc.subject
climate risks
dc.subject
climate variability
dc.subject
coasts
dc.subject
coral reefs
dc.subject
crop yield
dc.subject
disaster risk management
dc.subject
drought
dc.subject
ecosystems
dc.subject
extreme weather
dc.subject
floods
dc.subject
food security
dc.subject
glaciers
dc.subject
greenhouse gas emissions
dc.subject
heat extremes
dc.subject
heat waves
dc.subject
mitigation
dc.subject
monsoon
dc.subject
regional climate impacts
dc.subject
resilience
dc.subject
sea-level rise
dc.subject
snow melt
dc.subject
temperature changes
dc.subject
tropical cyclones
dc.subject
water
dc.subject
water resources
dc.title
Turn Down the Heat : Confronting the New Climate Normal
en
okr.crosscuttingsolutionarea
Climate Change
okr.date.disclosure
2014-11-23
okr.doctype
Publications & Research :: Publication
okr.globalpractice
Environment and Natural Resources
okr.globalpractice
Water
okr.globalpractice
Agriculture
okr.googlescholar.linkpresent
yes
okr.identifier.doi
10.1596/978-1-4648-0437-3
okr.identifier.report
92704
okr.language.supported
en
okr.language.supported
es
okr.language.supported
fr
okr.peerreview
Academic Peer Review
okr.region.administrative
Africa
okr.region.administrative
East Asia and Pacific
okr.region.administrative
Europe and Central Asia
okr.region.administrative
Latin America & Caribbean
okr.region.administrative
South Asia
okr.region.administrative
Middle East and North Africa
okr.topic
Agriculture :: Climate Change and Agriculture
okr.topic
Environment :: Climate Change Impacts
okr.topic
Environment :: Climate Change Mitigation and Green House Gases
okr.topic
Environment :: Climate Change and Environment
okr.topic
Environment :: Environmental Economics & Policies
okr.topic
Environment :: Environmental Governance
okr.topic
Environment :: Water Resources Management
okr.topic
Water Resources :: Water Economics
okr.unit
GCCVP

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