Conflict, Food Price Shocks, and Food Insecurity : The Experience of Afghan Households

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dc.contributor.author
D'Souza, Anna
en_US
dc.contributor.author
Jolliffe, Dean
en_US
dc.date.accessioned
2014-01-02T20:18:58Z
en_US
dc.date.available
2014-01-02T20:18:58Z
en_US
dc.date.issued
2013-10
en_US
dc.identifier.citation
Food Policy
en_US
dc.identifier.issn
0306-9192
en_US
dc.identifier.uri
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/16459
en_US
dc.description.abstract
Using nationally-representative household survey data and confidential geo-coded data on violence, we examine the relationship between conflict and food security in Afghanistan. Spatial mappings of the raw data reveal large variations in levels of food insecurity and conflict across the country; surprisingly, high conflict provinces are not the most food insecure. Using a simple bivariate regression model of conflict (violent incidents and persons killed or injured) on food security (calorie intake and the real value of food consumed), we find mixed associations. But once we move to a multivariate framework, accounting for household characteristics and key commodity prices, we find robust evidence that in Afghanistan levels of conflict and food security are negatively correlated. We also find that households in provinces with higher levels of conflict experience muted declines in food security due to staple food price increases relative to households in provinces with lower levels of conflict, perhaps because the former are more disconnected from markets. Gaining a better understanding of linkages between conflict and food security and knowing their spatial distributions can serve to inform policymakers interested in targeting scarce resources to vulnerable populations, for example, through the placement of strategic grain reserves or targeted food assistance programs.
en_US
dc.language.iso
en_US
en_US
dc.publisher
Elsevier
en_US
dc.relation.uri
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo
en_US
dc.rights
CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO
en_US
dc.rights.uri
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo
en_US
dc.subject
food security
en_US
dc.subject
conflict
en_US
dc.subject
nutrition
en_US
dc.subject
poverty
en_US
dc.subject
spatial distribution
en_US
dc.title
Conflict, Food Price Shocks, and Food Insecurity : The Experience of Afghan Households
en_US
dc.type
Journal Article
en_US
okr.volume
42
en_US
okr.date.disclosure
2016-07-04
en_US
okr.topic
Agriculture::Food Security
en_US
okr.topic
Conflict and Development::Conflict and Fragile States
en_US
okr.topic
Health, Nutrition and Population::Food & Nutrition Policy
en_US
okr.topic
Poverty Reduction::Poverty and Health
en_US
okr.region.country
Afghanistan
en_US
okr.doctype
Publications & Research :: Journal Article
en_US
dc.rights.holder
World Bank
en_US
okr.peerreview
Academic Peer Review
en_US
okr.relation.associatedurl
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306919213000730
en_US
okr.externalcontent
External Content
en_US
okr.journal.nbpages
32-47
en_US
okr.googlescholar.linkpresent
yes

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