Publication:
Piloting the Use of Network Analysis and Decision-Making under Uncertainty in Transport Operations: Preparation and Appraisal of a Rural Roads Project in Mozambique under Changing Flood Risk and Other Deep Uncertainties

dc.contributor.author Espinet, Xavier
dc.contributor.author Rozenberg, Julie
dc.contributor.author Rao, Kulwinder Singh
dc.contributor.author Ogita, Satoshi
dc.date.accessioned 2018-06-28T15:21:27Z
dc.date.available 2018-06-28T15:21:27Z
dc.date.issued 2018-06
dc.description.abstract This paper presents a methodology to identify key priority areas for transport investments. The methodology uses a geospatial data-driven approach and then proposes an innovative economic analysis for project appraisal. The two main steps involve (i) prioritization of road interventions based on a set of economic, social, and risk reduction criteria; and (ii) assessment of monetized and nonmonetized costs and benefits of road interventions under many scenarios covering the uncertainty on future risks and other factors. This methodology is used at different stages of project preparation for a rural roads lending operation to the Government of Mozambique. In the two regions of Mozambique considered, the analysis prioritizes regions along the coast when combining agriculture, fisheries, poverty, network criticality, and hazard risk criteria. With a limited budget of US$15 million per district, the results show that investing in repairing and rehabilitating culverts and bridges is the intervention that performs better under most of the scenarios. en
dc.identifier http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/787411529606457222/Piloting-the-use-of-network-analysis-and-decision-making-under-uncertainty-in-transport-operations-preparation-and-appraisal-of-a-rural-roads-project-in-Mozambique-under-changing-flood-risk-and-other-deep-uncertainties
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29943
dc.language English
dc.publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relation.ispartofseries Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8490
dc.rights CC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holder World Bank
dc.rights.uri http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo
dc.subject TRANSPORT
dc.subject TRANSPORT POLICY
dc.subject TRANSPORT PLANNING
dc.subject CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subject DECISION MAKING
dc.subject GEOSPATIAL ECONOMICS
dc.subject RURAL DEVELOPMENT
dc.subject RURAL TRANSPORT
dc.subject RURAL ROADS
dc.subject RISK MANAGEMENT
dc.title Piloting the Use of Network Analysis and Decision-Making under Uncertainty in Transport Operations en
dc.title.subtitle Preparation and Appraisal of a Rural Roads Project in Mozambique under Changing Flood Risk and Other Deep Uncertainties en
dc.type Working Paper en
dc.type Document de travail fr
dc.type Documento de trabajo es
dspace.entity.type Publication
okr.crossref.title Piloting the Use of Network Analysis and Decision-Making under Uncertainty in Transport Operations: Preparation and Appraisal of a Rural Roads Project in Mozambique Under Changing Flood Risk and Other Deep Uncertainties
okr.date.disclosure 2018-06-21
okr.doctype Publications & Research
okr.doctype Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
okr.docurl http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/787411529606457222/Piloting-the-use-of-network-analysis-and-decision-making-under-uncertainty-in-transport-operations-preparation-and-appraisal-of-a-rural-roads-project-in-Mozambique-under-changing-flood-risk-and-other-deep-uncertainties
okr.identifier.doi 10.1596/1813-9450-8490
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum 090224b085c5ca7b_1_0
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum 30187741
okr.identifier.report WPS8490
okr.imported true en
okr.language.supported en
okr.pdfurl http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/787411529606457222/pdf/WPS8490.pdf en
okr.region.administrative Africa
okr.region.country Mozambique
okr.statistics.combined 1536
okr.statistics.dr 787411529606457222
okr.statistics.drstats 855
okr.topic Environment :: Climate Change Impacts
okr.topic Macroeconomics and Economic Growth :: Spatial and Local Economic Development
okr.topic Rural Development :: Rural Roads & Transport
okr.topic Water Resources :: Flood Control
okr.topic Transport :: Roads & Highways
okr.topic Transport :: Transport Economics Policy & Planning
okr.unit Sustainable Development Chief Economist Office; and Transport and Digital Development Global Practice
relation.isAuthorOfPublication ef7c7b61-a9b3-579e-b957-0461412ced50
relation.isSeriesOfPublication 26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
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