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Piloting the Use of Network Analysis and Decision-Making under Uncertainty in Transport Operations: Preparation and Appraisal of a Rural Roads Project in Mozambique under Changing Flood Risk and Other Deep Uncertainties

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dc.contributor.authorEspinet, Xavier
dc.contributor.authorRozenberg, Julie
dc.contributor.authorRao, Kulwinder Singh
dc.contributor.authorOgita, Satoshi
dc.date.accessioned2018-06-28T15:21:27Z
dc.date.available2018-06-28T15:21:27Z
dc.date.issued2018-06
dc.description.abstractThis paper presents a methodology to identify key priority areas for transport investments. The methodology uses a geospatial data-driven approach and then proposes an innovative economic analysis for project appraisal. The two main steps involve (i) prioritization of road interventions based on a set of economic, social, and risk reduction criteria; and (ii) assessment of monetized and nonmonetized costs and benefits of road interventions under many scenarios covering the uncertainty on future risks and other factors. This methodology is used at different stages of project preparation for a rural roads lending operation to the Government of Mozambique. In the two regions of Mozambique considered, the analysis prioritizes regions along the coast when combining agriculture, fisheries, poverty, network criticality, and hazard risk criteria. With a limited budget of US$15 million per district, the results show that investing in repairing and rehabilitating culverts and bridges is the intervention that performs better under most of the scenarios.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/787411529606457222/Piloting-the-use-of-network-analysis-and-decision-making-under-uncertainty-in-transport-operations-preparation-and-appraisal-of-a-rural-roads-project-in-Mozambique-under-changing-flood-risk-and-other-deep-uncertainties
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-8490
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/29943
dc.languageEnglish
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relation.ispartofseriesPolicy Research Working Paper;No. 8490
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo
dc.subjectTRANSPORT
dc.subjectTRANSPORT POLICY
dc.subjectTRANSPORT PLANNING
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectDECISION MAKING
dc.subjectGEOSPATIAL ECONOMICS
dc.subjectRURAL DEVELOPMENT
dc.subjectRURAL TRANSPORT
dc.subjectRURAL ROADS
dc.subjectRISK MANAGEMENT
dc.titlePiloting the Use of Network Analysis and Decision-Making under Uncertainty in Transport Operationsen
dc.title.subtitlePreparation and Appraisal of a Rural Roads Project in Mozambique under Changing Flood Risk and Other Deep Uncertaintiesen
dc.typeWorking Paperen
dc.typeDocument de travailfr
dc.typeDocumento de trabajoes
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.crossref.titlePiloting the Use of Network Analysis and Decision-Making under Uncertainty in Transport Operations: Preparation and Appraisal of a Rural Roads Project in Mozambique Under Changing Flood Risk and Other Deep Uncertainties
okr.date.disclosure2018-06-21
okr.doctypePublications & Research
okr.doctypePublications & Research::Policy Research Working Paper
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/787411529606457222/Piloting-the-use-of-network-analysis-and-decision-making-under-uncertainty-in-transport-operations-preparation-and-appraisal-of-a-rural-roads-project-in-Mozambique-under-changing-flood-risk-and-other-deep-uncertainties
okr.guid787411529606457222
okr.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-8490
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum090224b085c5ca7b_1_0
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum30187741
okr.identifier.reportWPS8490
okr.importedtrueen
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/787411529606457222/pdf/WPS8490.pdfen
okr.region.administrativeAfrica
okr.region.countryMozambique
okr.statistics.combined2069
okr.statistics.dr787411529606457222
okr.statistics.drstats1176
okr.topicEnvironment::Climate Change Impacts
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth::Spatial and Local Economic Development
okr.topicRural Development::Rural Roads & Transport
okr.topicWater Resources::Flood Control
okr.topicTransport::Roads & Highways
okr.topicTransport::Transport Economics Policy & Planning
okr.unitSustainable Development Chief Economist Office; and Transport and Digital Development Global Practice
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relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscoveryef7c7b61-a9b3-579e-b957-0461412ced50
relation.isSeriesOfPublication26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
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