Publication: Job Creation and Labor Reform in Latin America
Abstract
This paper studies the effects of labor-regulation reform using data for 10,396 firms from 14 Latin American countries. Firms are asked both how many permanent workers they would have hired and how many they would have terminated if labor regulations were made more flexible. I find that making labor regulations more flexible would lead to an average net increase of 2.08 percent in total employment. Firms with fewer than 20 employees would benefit the most, with average gains in net employment of 4.27 percent. Countries with more regulated labor markets would experience larger gains in total employment. These larger gains in total employment, however, would be achieved through higher rates of hiring and higher rates of termination. These results may explain why there is substantial opposition to labor reforms despite the predicted gains in efficiency and total employment.
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Publication Job Creation and Labor Reform in Latin America(World Bank, Washington, DC, 2008-09)This paper studies the effects of labor-regulation reform using data for 10,396 firms from 14 Latin American countries. Firms are asked both how many permanent workers they would have hired and how many they would have terminated if labor regulations were made more flexible. I find that making labor regulations more flexible would lead to an average net increase of 2.08 percent in total employment. Firms with fewer than 20 employees would benefit the most, with average gains in net employment of 4.27 percent. Countries with more regulated labor markets would experience larger gains in total employment. These larger gains in total employment, however, would be achieved through higher rates of hiring and higher rates of termination. These results may explain why there is substantial opposition to labor reforms despite the predicted gains in efficiency and total employment.Publication Romania - Functional Review : Labor and Social Protection Sector, Final Report, Volume 2(Washington, DC, 2011-06)The Government of Romania (GOR), in agreement with the European Commission (EC), requested functional reviews of the Romanian public administration through an independent advisory service with the World Bank. The general objective of this advisory service is to review the current situation of the Labor and Social Protection (L&SP) sector, assess its functioning and develop an action plan that the GOR can use over the short- to medium-term to strengthen its effectiveness in the public administration. In meeting this objective, the World Bank examined: (i) whether the policy goals and objectives of the Ministry of Labor and Social Protection (MoLFSP) and its agencies are clearly defined in measurable and achievable terms; (ii) whether the management systems, policies, staffing, and organizational structure are appropriate for them to meet their objectives; and (iii) whether factors external to the institutions that may impede their ability to meet their objectives. The report is organized into two volumes. Volume One summarizes the main findings and messages, presents priorities for reform, and suggests an action plan to carry out these priority reforms. Volume Two provides chapters with the background diagnostics, assessment and findings in depth, covering: Main Sector Features and Institutional Mapping; Ministry of Labor Family and Social Protection; Labor Market; Pensions; Social Assistance (Cash Transfers); Social Assistance Services; Information Management (cross-cutting)Publication Enforcement of Labor Regulation and Informality(American Economic Association, 2012-07)Enforcement of labor regulations in the formal sector may drive workers to informality because they increase the costs of formal labor. But better compliance with mandated benefits makes it attractive to be a formal employee. We show that, in locations with frequent inspections, workers pay for mandated benefits by receiving lower wages. Wage rigidity prevents downward adjustment at the bottom of the wage distribution. As a result, lower paid formal sector jobs become attractive to some informal workers, inducing them to want to move to the formal sector.Publication Labor Restructuring in China : Toward a Functioning Labor Market(2009)This paper examines the patterns and determinants of the labor restructuring process in China using two large firm-level datasets for the period between 1998 and 2002. We find that the public sector has undergone substantial labor retrenchment. The removal of employment guarantees for state workers has led to substantial employment shifts both within and between sectors. As compared to many Central and East European countries and the countries of the Commonwealth of Independent States in their early phases of transition, China has experienced a more synchronized pace of job destruction and creation as well as higher rates of excessive reallocation. Our results also show that the employment adjustment and downsizing process has been driven largely by market forces. We find a notable resemblance in the patterns of enterprise response to demand shocks across the public and the private sectors.Publication Job Creation in Mozambique : Is Labor Law Reform the Answer?(World Bank, Washington, DC, 2006-11)This paper analyzes the potential economic impact of changes to the labor laws proposed in 2006. The economic logic behind these reforms is reviewed, and the conditions under which the reforms could be expected to have the maximum impact on employment are isolated. Next, the experiences of selected developing countries which have undertaken similar reforms are reviewed, which showed the importance of initial conditions and economic trends outside of the labor market in ensuring a successful reform. Third, the main provisions of the proposed reforms are explained. The analysis concludes that given Mozambique s initial conditions, including strong demand from private sector employers for change, the scope of proposed reforms, and the potential for continued economic growth, the reforms should increase firms' profit margins, and as a result, a positive employment effect is possible in the medium term. The analysis also shows that although the reforms are deep compared with the starting point, even if reforms are enacted, Mozambique's labor market would still be classified as rigid by international benchmarks. The report concludes with a discussion of the possible social and poverty effect. In the short run, there is a danger of layoffs in some of the larger firms which had previously reported being overstaffed. If this happens, the poverty effect would certainly be negative in the short run. The concluding section notes that other countries have avoided these types of layoffs by introducing transition arrangements.
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