Publication: Unpacking the Disaster-FCV Nexus: Household Economic Impacts of Conflict and Floods in Nigeria
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2025-07-09
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2025-07-09
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Abstract
This paper investigates the impact of conflicts on flood-affected households in Nigeria, utilizing a balanced panel dataset derived from the Living Standards Measurement Survey data collected in 2012, 2015, and 2018, and geo-spatial conflict data from the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data Project. The analysis employs difference-in-difference regressions to examine whether conflicts have a measurable effect on households and whether this effect is intensified when considering flood exposure. The study focuses on households' consumption expenditure outcomes, comparing conflict-affected and non-conflict-affected households, and further narrows down to flood-affected households. The results indicate that conflict-affected households experience lower consumption expenditure compared to non-conflict-affected households, with the adverse effects being significantly more pronounced for those also affected by floods. The study also investigates these effects on households’ income, albeit with a smaller sample. Similar findings, although less robust, were noted when analyzing income trends. The findings underscore the compounded vulnerabilities faced by households in conflict and flood-prone areas, highlighting the need for integrated policy interventions to address the compounded impacts of these shocks.
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“Ben Bih, Karima; Jafino, Bramka; Desjonqueres, Chloe; Masson, Solene. 2025. Unpacking the Disaster-FCV Nexus: Household Economic Impacts of Conflict and Floods in Nigeria. Policy Research Working Paper; 11167. © World Bank. http://hdl.handle.net/10986/43437 License: CC BY 3.0 IGO.”
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