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Date

2017-10

ISSN

0002-8282

Published

2017-10

Author(s)

Bernard, Andrew B.

Boler, Esther Ann

Massari, Renzo

Reyes, Jose-Daniel

Taglioni, Daria

Abstract

Two identical firms who start exporting in different months, one each in January and December, will report dramatically different exports for the first calendar year. This partial-year effect biases down first-year export levels and biases up first-year export growth rates. For Peruvian exporters, the partial-year bias is large: first-year export levels are understated by 54 percent and the first-year growth rate is overstated by 112 percentage points. Correcting the partial-year effect dramatically reduces first-year export growth rates, raises initial export levels, and almost doubles the contribution of net firm entry and exit to overall export growth.

URI

http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29061

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• Cited 18 times in Scopus (View citations)